TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

49ers vs. Jets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
49ersof 49ers, Jets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$890,024
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$841,050

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $890,024 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 311 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd42f…047dbacked Jets33c74,305$24,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,377.0532438%123 W · 201 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d84…1344backed Jets28c54,470$15,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,178.5412827.3%35 W · 93 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-38.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb35b…fc08backed Jets3c48,533$1,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,372.8317823%41 W · 137 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-48.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47bc…c043backed Jets16c36,893$5,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,899.566734.3%23 W · 44 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed 49ers63c34,651$21,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,787.5525137.5%94 W · 157 L-18.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x741e…2f80backed Jets36c33,294$11,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,820.25933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-33.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6356…1885backed Jets35c29,000$10,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,219.996350.8%32 W · 31 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc50…4c82backed 49ers64c28,324$18,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,281.642250%11 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0f3…d82cbacked 49ers65c26,360$17,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,239.69949.5%49 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fec…313abacked Jets23c20,019$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,70010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a12…01cebacked 49ers60c12,675$7,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,102.314351.2%22 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f47…af93backed 49ers52c9,184$4,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,415.35846.6%27 W · 31 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09af…d337backed 49ers65c8,502$5,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,017.123357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa710…4173backed Jets36c8,250$2,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,957.516036.3%58 W · 102 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x75e0…fe50backed 49ers65c7,803$5,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,710.9210960.6%66 W · 43 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Jets37c6,863$2,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,537.42828.6%8 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-33.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb789…706fbacked Jets37c6,720$2,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,498.642347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d7…e17ebacked 49ers65c6,536$4,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,287.669240.2%37 W · 55 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc109…1ad2backed Jets46c6,304$2,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,889.462931%9 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-45.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f91…907fbacked 49ers71c6,226$4,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,792.3812843.8%56 W · 72 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Jets43c5,816$2,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,503.6610334%35 W · 68 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcede…f2f6backed Jets23c4,911$1,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,126.699022.2%20 W · 70 L-0.4wins0.00per pick23cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Jets37c4,362$1,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,606.3336246.7%169 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fc8…39efbacked 49ers63c4,005$2,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,461.8514248.6%69 W · 73 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eab…5692backed Jets31c3,900$1,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2261353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+56.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed 49ers64c3,500$2,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,24534349.3%169 W · 174 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0deb…2549backed 49ers65c3,428$2,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.822842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d80…ee8ebacked Jets9c3,388$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Jets23c3,251$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.954348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb27d…fc9cbacked Jets37c3,206$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.953060%18 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ac…08d5backed Jets35c3,003$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,041.0612934.9%45 W · 84 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb33b…092fbacked Jets34c2,710$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.3940%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3195…a94fbacked 49ers56c2,600$1,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1443455.9%19 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7dd0…2b4bbacked 49ers56c2,547$1,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.778951.7%46 W · 43 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Jets7c2,438$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.556944.9%31 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4975…c492backed 49ers65c2,367$1,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.063661.1%22 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf374…ce1abacked 49ers64c2,100$1,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.991566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+26.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe411…04c5backed Jets35c2,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7003030%9 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick36cpaid+81.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Jets34c2,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.964436.4%16 W · 28 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5eb7…05f6backed Jets24c1,995$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.3110144.6%45 W · 56 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Jets21c1,944$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.3433328.5%95 W · 238 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9212…2ff6backed 49ers67c1,698$1,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.46333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb98…969dbacked 49ers65c1,620$1,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.071241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-38.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaee3…1b0fbacked Jets22c1,618$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.112240.9%9 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+88.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5380…28debacked Jets36c1,599$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.97054.3%38 W · 32 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xed7c…da06backed 49ers63c1,596$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.394634.8%16 W · 30 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc34…ff67backed Jets35c1,397$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.871947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6727…db84backed 49ers77c1,380$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.672548%12 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76e4…c5aebacked Jets35c1,358$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.89728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f00…7162backed Jets37c1,351$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Jets35c1,329$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46524738.1%94 W · 153 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8159…8d5cbacked Jets38c1,278$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.738043.8%35 W · 45 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed 49ers65c1,250$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.530446.7%142 W · 162 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe91…70ffbacked 49ers64c1,203$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.2213751.8%71 W · 66 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Jets30c1,161$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.113942.4%59 W · 80 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Jets35c1,110$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.820736.2%75 W · 132 L-13.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed 49ers66c1,105$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.74546.7%21 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe932…0f05backed 49ers56c1,071$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.749754.6%53 W · 44 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x24c8…23e1backed Jets35c1,000$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.264143.9%18 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed 49ers67c1,000$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33023937.7%90 W · 149 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed 49ers72c1,000$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.55955.9%33 W · 26 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Jets37c1,000$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.5416439.6%65 W · 99 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c67…bb39backed Jets35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35020246%93 W · 109 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed Jets34c810.65$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.6217144.4%76 W · 95 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9693…07c3backed Jets25c785.71$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011949.6%59 W · 60 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd057…ae9fbacked 49ers66c751.48$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.4911821.2%25 W · 93 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick18cpaid+46.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf59e…39cfbacked 49ers52c700$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3387847.4%37 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfda…4fe6backed Jets36c699.98$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.992839.3%11 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed 49ers76c648.93$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.1914457.6%83 W · 61 L+11.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa8c5…132ebacked Jets34c626.06$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.86450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+35.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc31…971fbacked 49ers66c615.92$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.3614750.3%74 W · 73 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e91…b801backed Jets17c593.61$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1035034%17 W · 33 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a14…0762backed Jets35c578.52$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.3410239.2%40 W · 62 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4b6…bb1cbacked 49ers53c566.03$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.032240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ed6…e8aabacked Jets36c556.94$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked 49ers65c555$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.254360.5%26 W · 17 L+6.1wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+42.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Jets34c554.97$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.2611839%46 W · 72 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24dc…7f5abacked Jets7c550.2$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+23.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3fad…171ebacked 49ers65c518.09$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.332100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x024f…2ec0backed Jets35c501$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.351030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7591…9829backed Jets20c500$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e1f…c855backed 49ers66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1702657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb49…97a0backed Jets35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1754339.5%17 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x070f…0caabacked 49ers66c491.53$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e2b…8fa0backed Jets41c487.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001233.3%4 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-49.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xa5d9…42fcbacked Jets36c486.11$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed 49ers67c474.63$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.6314349%70 W · 73 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05e9…39b7backed 49ers65c462.88$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.01366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+62.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc417…3ca6backed Jets6c462.41$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.376050%30 W · 30 L-6.6wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-23.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbd17…42c6backed Jets36c458.33$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3b…ffcebacked Jets39c450.1$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.981040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-40.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b2e…0c87backed Jets35c440$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+43.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d46…cefbbacked 49ers76c407.33$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.57714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.32per pick47cpaid-81.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5834…f0cbbacked Jets36c400$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14218650.5%94 W · 92 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc615…221dbacked 49ers51c388$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.12650%3 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+51.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x31e0…0bc0backed 49ers66c375.83$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.781080%8 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe41a…a42dbacked 49ers64c375$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1355036%18 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dbd…af92backed Jets23c373.66$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.6418645.7%85 W · 101 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Jets34c352.94$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203740.5%15 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed 49ers65c327.08$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.483759.5%22 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.