TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Lions vs. Buccaneers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Buccaneersof Lions, Buccaneers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,095
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$72,498

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,095 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a14…0762backed Lions50c5,635$2,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,813.9410239.2%40 W · 62 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd057…ae9fbacked Buccaneers39c3,500$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,12011821.2%25 W · 93 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick18cpaid+46.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb35b…fc08backed Buccaneers52c3,212$1,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,553.3417823%41 W · 137 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-48.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Lions76c2,632$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00036246.7%169 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5c0…3f84backed Lions76c2,431$1,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,848.456950.7%35 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…4173backed Buccaneers23c1,659$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,277.7116036.3%58 W · 102 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb27d…fc9cbacked Lions67c1,630$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.13060%18 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dbd…af92backed Lions74c1,250$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.518645.7%85 W · 101 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd398…46d7backed Lions11c1,068$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.9825643.8%112 W · 144 L+14.6wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe877…bb43backed Buccaneers33c1,066$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.486028.3%17 W · 43 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-25.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc711…d3c6backed Buccaneers25c1,036$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.6wins+0.46per pick42cpaid+142.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Lions75c1,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.996844.1%30 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2137…0677backed Buccaneers25c1,000$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75020440.7%83 W · 121 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf59e…39cfbacked Lions50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007847.4%37 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5380…28debacked Lions77c1,000$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7657054.3%38 W · 32 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4b36…acebbacked Lions67c975.69$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.753256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Buccaneers25c892.92$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67133328.5%95 W · 238 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdaae…031bbacked Buccaneers25c800$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+22.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40d5…acd1backed Buccaneers24c720$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.223351.9%121 W · 112 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa34e…895ebacked Lions41c704.88$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2892630.8%8 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Buccaneers32c662.85$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.3414457.6%83 W · 61 L+11.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x21e7…5e93backed Buccaneers41c616.71$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.71837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-34%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Lions67c600.8$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.985955.9%33 W · 26 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Buccaneers42c600$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34812842.2%54 W · 74 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0a3…cc69backed Lions47c570$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2662142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd13…e6f1backed Lions8c550$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442114.3%3 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick6cpaid+209.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaee3…1b0fbacked Buccaneers70c541.1$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.082240.9%9 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+88.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c67…bb39backed Buccaneers28c500$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36120246%93 W · 109 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Buccaneers26c450.2$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.6524738.1%94 W · 153 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd28e…d68fbacked Buccaneers65c430$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.67467.6%50 W · 24 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x569e…67dbbacked Lions59c429.87$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2541752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9693…07c3backed Buccaneers25c405.84$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.8411949.6%59 W · 60 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc9c…d5c5backed Lions77c389.61$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e1d…fcc4backed Buccaneers71c378.88$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.55560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Lions3c371.07$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8452828.6%151 W · 377 L+1.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Buccaneers24c363.68$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.3932438%123 W · 201 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0545…4e37backed Lions76c361.84$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2753815.8%6 W · 32 L-5.2wins-0.14per pick29cpaid-74.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x26d9…eff0backed Buccaneers25c337.76$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.323043.3%13 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf54…676abacked Buccaneers25c320$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2402133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid+14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb236…1d5dbacked Buccaneers27c300$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.181625%4 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+81.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe91…70ffbacked Lions77c299.93$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.9513751.8%71 W · 66 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5616…a88cbacked Buccaneers51c296.04$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.041838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick30cpaid-14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d9d…a6d7backed Lions77c258.44$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6116…f247backed Buccaneers27c250$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.56240.3%25 W · 37 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+42.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed Lions75c240$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1805433.3%18 W · 36 L-7.6wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-32.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Buccaneers25c222$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.520736.2%75 W · 132 L-13.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3832…35e1backed Lions53c210.79$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11116451.2%84 W · 80 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Lions77c200$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15433047.9%158 W · 172 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6678…d4b6backed Buccaneers25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15018144.8%81 W · 100 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcec3…53a1backed Lions75c200$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502250%11 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Lions52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013040%52 W · 78 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8311…a7dcbacked Buccaneers26c192.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.31560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+44%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8635…396cbacked Lions68c186.59$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.34333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick71cpaid-53.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x08e2…e186backed Buccaneers27c185.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.197448.6%36 W · 38 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6248…51cfbacked Lions62c180$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.942536%9 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc626…2beabacked Buccaneers25c160$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1206546.2%30 W · 35 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+55.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc50…4c82backed Lions75c160$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202250%11 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc465…fcfbbacked Buccaneers26c153.85$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.8520758%120 W · 87 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a9d…39b7backed Buccaneers40c150$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901910.5%2 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-76.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Lions69c140$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.829356%164 W · 129 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8976…b2a7backed Lions77c129.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002161.9%13 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b41…e0d3backed Lions77c129.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019864.6%128 W · 70 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5697…cddfbacked Lions77c129.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002871.4%20 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e00…14ecbacked Buccaneers25c115$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.251050%5 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+52.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Lions65c107.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.3731439.8%125 W · 189 L-16.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7591…9829backed Buccaneers34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf86c…ba99backed Buccaneers24c100$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768760.9%53 W · 34 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ab2…6435backed Lions77c100$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771942.1%8 W · 11 L-4.4wins-0.23per pick65cpaid-33.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x668d…97d2backed Lions75c100$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x07ed…4d6abacked Buccaneers25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752326.1%6 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fb1…466ebacked Lions50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80f5…46f2backed Buccaneers24c100$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid+38.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xceea…8c07backed Buccaneers24c100$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769645.8%44 W · 52 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0b1…28cfbacked Lions76c100$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+53.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b51…7708backed Buccaneers31c96.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.773641.7%15 W · 21 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5007…f0c3backed Lions53c94.32$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.99520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-69.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x403b…7b70backed Buccaneers25c80$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60475%3 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick32cpaid+141.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b50…87fbbacked Buccaneers25c80$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604744.7%21 W · 26 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+35.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x75d1…b18cbacked Buccaneers25c80$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6016645.8%76 W · 90 L+9.1wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d36…4a5abacked Buccaneers25c80$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ff…c62cbacked Buccaneers25c80$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602744.4%12 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x021b…3c73backed Buccaneers32c77.23$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.152055%11 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+39.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe8b5…e05cbacked Buccaneers61c74$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.793036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea04…b8c2backed Lions62c71.07$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.723250%16 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-21.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf168…5725backed Lions75c66.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-32.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xab6b…bff7backed Lions77c64.94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Buccaneers24c50$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3828436.3%103 W · 181 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+39.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a12…01cebacked Buccaneers47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.54351.2%22 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0328…d834backed Buccaneers24c50$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389747.4%46 W · 51 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x900d…2961backed Lions76c50$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382360.9%14 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c0e…1411backed Lions53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.53831.6%12 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x61af…a1b2backed Buccaneers33c45.45$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.454632.6%15 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3a8…a04bbacked Buccaneers25c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307145.1%32 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7415…fae8backed Buccaneers25c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304647.8%22 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa842…e305backed Buccaneers25c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+25.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67b5…9f1ebacked Lions44c37.16$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.352937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xac10…63c6backed Lions73c35$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.61030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-47.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd5db…ee3dbacked Buccaneers52c33.98$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.312462.5%15 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdd4…7696backed Buccaneers33c31.55$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.141353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+30.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed Lions67c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.111945.4%54 W · 65 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.