TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2c0e…1411

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
123
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NHL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 56 out of 100; worst NFL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST3831.6%12 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$88.44
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$118
Lions vs. Eaglesbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+92.3%+$92.31
Vikings vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Commanders vs. Chiefsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$85
Packers vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.4
Vikings vs. Chargersbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Eagles vs. Vikingsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
Dolphins vs. Brownsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Bills vs. Falconsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$148.2
Lions vs. Chiefsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.65
Eagles vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+334.8%+$77
Jets vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$41
Lions vs. Ravensbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+181.7%+$129
Bengals vs. Vikingsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
Dolphins vs. Billsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$102
Chiefs vs. Chargersbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$51
Cowboys vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$132.91
Cowboys vs. Eagles: O/U 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$130
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$164.09
Bills vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST+81.8%+$51
Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$732Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$732.3
Will the Dolphins win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$24.61
Will the Dolphins win the AFC East?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2024, EST-100%-$42
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST2010%2 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-68.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,259Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,259.29
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,978Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+147.7%+$2,922
Venezuela Parlaybacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,441Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,440.99
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+284.6%+$711.54
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$40
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$2,180Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$2,179.97
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$52
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$25
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$281.79
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$42
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$46
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$44
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,018Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$1,017.59
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$48
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on November 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$57
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on November 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$40.2
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$28.64
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$40
US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$315
All 20 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST1625%4 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-32.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$978Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$978.2
Will the Government shutdown end October 6-9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$280
Will the Government shutdown end October 3-5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$240
US forces in Venezuela by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+566.7%+$510
Will Bill Clinton be named in Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.33
US military action against Iran before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$6,112Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+30.9%+$1,890.91
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.5
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$105
Will Kash Patel be Trump's FBI director?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST+44.9%+$46.5
Will Trump issue 40 or more executive orders on Day 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$102
Trump cryptocurrency executive order on Day 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$133
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+32%+$60.15
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$80
All 16 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gustavo Bolívar win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Winsome Earle-Sears win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$122
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.5
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$260
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST-100%-$13.88
Will Trump impose tariffs on Canada before March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+31.6%+$33.57
South Korean President impeached in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST+70.1%+$103
Will Edmundo González win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2024, EDT+439%+$384.85
All 8 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-38.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-73%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+79.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-44.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+95.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$62.4
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+100%+$70
Panthers vs. Hurricanesbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$18.33
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+72.4%+$37.8
Hoffman vs. Warwickbacked Hoffman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2024, EDT+70.9%+$83
All 2 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+150%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+177.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+334.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will xAI have the top AI model on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+334.1%+$668.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+230.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bryson complete the Hole in 1 Challenge by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST+230.1%+$118.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST+47.1%+$9.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Miami (FL) win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colombia wins Copa America 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$21.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$32.61
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.