Venezuela · resolved market
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5268d9f23e0092bbb4f352c6eacf577b3349c76c4f7e0bd6197fdb56037df277
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $731,935
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $690,796
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $731,935 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x950a…b380backed Yes | 0c | 113,780$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.4 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -86.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Yes | 1c | 49,985$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.75 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 1c | 37,419$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.44 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 1c | 34,221$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.5 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…ae74backed Yes | 10c | 22,751$2,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.17 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +63%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 3c | 14,500$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -75%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5273…d975backed Yes | 3c | 12,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 46 | 0%0 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2853…3482backed Yes | 0c | 9,930$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe8…f492backed Yes | 3c | 8,707$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.2 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8474…247bbacked Yes | 4c | 8,221$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.07 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 0c | 8,194$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 44 | 4.5%2 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff2b…b73abacked Yes | 0c | 7,101$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…324ebacked Yes | 0c | 6,996$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 1c | 6,285$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.91 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 4c | 5,929$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.05 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0221…9964backed Yes | 0c | 5,358$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e84…ef69backed Yes | 2c | 5,102$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.76 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 14cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed Yes | 4c | 5,000$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.82 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d3…ea4ebacked Yes | 1c | 4,923$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0e…1411backed Yes | 6c | 4,460$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.79 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…5bf6backed Yes | 7c | 4,339$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 5c | 4,294$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.68 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5666…c630backed Yes | 3c | 4,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x037b…47f4backed Yes | 1c | 3,799$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb20b…8da0backed Yes | 6c | 3,668$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.53 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd5…5542backed Yes | 3c | 3,562$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…15dfbacked Yes | 1c | 3,559$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd061…d5e4backed Yes | 1c | 3,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa31e…e625backed Yes | 1c | 3,215$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8296…e9cbbacked Yes | 5c | 3,115$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.84 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 8c | 3,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.4 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c23…0266backed Yes | 6c | 2,750$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbab9…9d74backed Yes | 1c | 2,393$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e6…7af5backed Yes | 1c | 2,301$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked No | 74c | 2,222$1,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.72 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2a…9757backed Yes | 4c | 2,108$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8b…3c39backed Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84fa…1327backed Yes | 4c | 2,000$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x376d…9b48backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8420…6183backed Yes | 4c | 1,860$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x628e…1d80backed Yes | 7c | 1,832$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…0099backed Yes | 13c | 1,800$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 1,718$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.06 | 164 | 4.9%8 W · 156 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2c…047cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,622$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a66…3dbabacked Yes | 2c | 1,600$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…9232backed Yes | 10c | 1,565$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe05…cbb2backed Yes | 5c | 1,457$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…272dbacked Yes | 18c | 1,326$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.85 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,273$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x626d…ff68backed Yes | 8c | 1,150$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,111$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf56…ee5fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…e863backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9111…36a1backed Yes | 3c | 999.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef6…4daebacked Yes | 2c | 999.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 3c | 800$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 20cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2feb…d157backed Yes | 4c | 741.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 3c | 731.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…f9f4backed Yes | 10c | 681.23$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.7 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x442d…523ebacked Yes | 3c | 677.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1128…cfa5backed Yes | 3c | 647.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…3715backed Yes | 10c | 632$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.64 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0622…cd28backed Yes | 2c | 613.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes | 5c | 584.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c22…9b23backed Yes | 8c | 550$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe809…039bbacked Yes | 5c | 520.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…cbdcbacked Yes | 6c | 500.12$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea6…b249backed Yes | 6c | 450$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 9c | 446.87$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.73 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 5c | 420$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b13…a72bbacked Yes | 11c | 409.09$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…48cfbacked Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa493…612ebacked No | 73c | 400$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 3c | 399.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d56…0ba5backed Yes | 5c | 399.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1605…43bfbacked Yes | 6c | 390.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaef5…a454backed Yes | 7c | 385.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1e…bfe7backed Yes | 4c | 364.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe973…f834backed Yes | 7c | 322.24$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 7c | 319.42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7330…ea0abacked Yes | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…7222backed Yes | 14c | 286.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53a0…4af0backed Yes | 7c | 269.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf710…edc9backed Yes | 4c | 250$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…8218backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Yes | 4c | 249.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 19cpaid | -84.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2276…3089backed Yes | 6c | 226$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2af…f8fbbacked Yes | 9c | 224.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8690…46f7backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b59…f523backed Yes | 11c | 209.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9349…8d0fbacked Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked No | 72c | 150$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ed…6dbabacked Yes | 10c | 128.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x131b…2d3cbacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc9b…d776backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5125…601abacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…5c00backed Yes | 78c | 98.8$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.2 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?this page
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31, 2026?Yes won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 9?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?Yes won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?Yes won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?Yes won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 1?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 21?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 23?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 24?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 25?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 26?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 27?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 2?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 3?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 5?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by October 24?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by October 27?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.