Venezuela · resolved market
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92a5c5555d26f52758609c2da6a684a96fd54265abfb1d3c247d57335b6e13bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $931,284
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,025,566
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $931,284 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 655 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed No | 73c | 37,046$26,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,902.44 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d63…348dbacked Yes | 23c | 29,061$6,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,318.27 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +160.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes | 23c | 26,614$6,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,460.69 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe487…aca6backed No | 74c | 25,188$18,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,700.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5666…c630backed Yes | 34c | 20,300$6,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,423.94 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 31c | 19,876$6,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,706.34 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 14cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…4278backed No | 78c | 18,224$14,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,300 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1913…b494backed Yes | 24c | 16,722$3,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,788.14 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80a0…5708backed Yes | 29c | 16,647$4,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,815.75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 32cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Yes | 40c | 14,606$5,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,720.63 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes | 26c | 12,246$3,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,043.74 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +6.3wins | +0.48per pick | 21cpaid | +234.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 29c | 11,890$3,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,439.78 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Yes | 31c | 11,761$3,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,121.87 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…f20bbacked No | 71c | 11,375$8,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,129.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17ce…beecbacked No | 76c | 11,199$8,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,483.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 77c | 11,082$8,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,547.73 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 75c | 10,204$7,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,674.32 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedc0…99f3backed Yes | 47c | 10,037$4,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,287.17 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c83…0f55backed No | 1c | 10,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fe…8fb0backed Yes | 29c | 9,750$2,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,922.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…cb10backed Yes | 30c | 9,664$2,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,809.74 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed No | 1c | 9,400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.6 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…43dcbacked Yes | 28c | 8,461$2,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,056.07 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf05…70dabacked Yes | 30c | 7,858$2,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,474.91 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 64c | 7,006$4,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,492.47 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaddd…9407backed No | 57c | 7,004$4,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,020.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed No | 12c | 6,952$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.87 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 25c | 6,879$1,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,187.7 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33e0…7d46backed No | 79c | 6,776$5,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,341.14 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab19…4876backed No | 68c | 6,744$4,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,585.84 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.1wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6735…f5b7backed No | 7c | 6,600$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc77a…daf8backed Yes | 17c | 6,514$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,419.18 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 5cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0cb…a002backed Yes | 46c | 6,302$2,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,405.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 33cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbaed…fd99backed Yes | 32c | 6,252$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,251.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 20cpaid | +162.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb86…72e9backed Yes | 25c | 6,121$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,621.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.56per pick | 19cpaid | +323.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 30c | 5,896$1,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,119.53 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…2427backed No | 55c | 5,664$3,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,117.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6989…b412backed No | 70c | 5,576$3,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,886.33 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…b496backed Yes | 21c | 5,264$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,164.13 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 31cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4014…f72cbacked Yes | 22c | 5,184$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,044.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +355.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed No | 57c | 5,174$2,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,930.45 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48af…89ccbacked Yes | 32c | 5,018$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,428.35 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 38cpaid | +200.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 23c | 4,831$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.13 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed No | 20c | 4,800$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.65 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 28cpaid | +129.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 31c | 4,550$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,119.11 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b0…ba0bbacked Yes | 35c | 4,533$1,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,927.83 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x784f…5df9backed Yes | 34c | 4,530$1,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,006.71 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed No | 66c | 4,272$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,819.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f62…e744backed No | 72c | 4,069$2,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,918.69 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b22…c59cbacked No | 62c | 4,000$2,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,497.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 24c | 4,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,039.92 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5922…3388backed Yes | 48c | 3,870$1,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,007.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe79c…c715backed Yes | 16c | 3,804$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,203.57 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +495.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbea5…c857backed No | 40c | 3,647$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Yes | 22c | 3,568$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,785.19 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d9…3581backed No | 71c | 3,550$2,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 27c | 3,518$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,569.63 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…1047backed Yes | 25c | 3,504$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,618.59 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.30per pick | 16cpaid | +109.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6371…46c8backed No | 71c | 3,350$2,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,378.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 75c | 3,323$2,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,482.33 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb52…92eebacked No | 63c | 3,185$1,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,996.53 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed No | 67c | 3,067$2,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,052.4 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 28cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed No | 76c | 3,000$2,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,289.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e7c…596cbacked Yes | 25c | 3,000$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,256.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9433…ca82backed No | 79c | 2,980$2,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,363.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa364…792ebacked Yes | 30c | 2,900$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,023.45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 34cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x697d…4080backed No | 70c | 2,867$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,994.91 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -45%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…e90fbacked Yes | 24c | 2,854$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,171.07 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95ad…9921backed No | 71c | 2,850$2,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,023.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…72bebacked Yes | 30c | 2,824$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,976.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +102.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7369…59a1backed Yes | 21c | 2,800$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,221.99 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +4.6wins | +0.51per pick | 27cpaid | +189%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad2…54bdbacked Yes | 36c | 2,743$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,743.03 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed No | 60c | 2,680$1,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,618.66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4266…0e08backed No | 68c | 2,673$1,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810.56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b92…45eebacked No | 69c | 2,592$1,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,786.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf710…edc9backed Yes | 31c | 2,414$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,664.92 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5031…1ffbbacked No | 67c | 2,400$1,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,608 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc775…6b22backed No | 10c | 2,400$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 29c | 2,400$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.97 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 20cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…e410backed No | 67c | 2,397$1,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,614.48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 29c | 2,385$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,704.66 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7687…d750backed No | 19c | 2,375$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…ad9fbacked Yes | 34c | 2,180$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.8 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf03…3f1dbacked No | 70c | 2,174$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.95 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 32c | 2,140$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.26 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f9…2697backed Yes | 38c | 2,127$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.02 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x357e…2a0cbacked Yes | 38c | 2,079$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.69 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +5.5wins | +0.29per pick | 50cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x000d…758ebacked Yes | 32c | 2,078$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 30cpaid | +153.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22b3…62e0backed Yes | 30c | 2,057$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 64c | 2,054$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.61 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 61cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x640d…51e2backed No | 63c | 2,046$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.59 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeec5…1862backed Yes | 25c | 2,015$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +305.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…1d43backed No | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cf…88fabacked Yes | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18aa…f6ecbacked Yes | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +63%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad23…47c4backed No | 70c | 1,990$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,383.8 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…1d1ebacked No | 63c | 1,960$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef0a…23d2backed No | 66c | 1,950$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.52 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -3.1wins | -0.52per pick | 68cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x753b…5c2bbacked No | 71c | 1,948$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,383.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f20…fdc9backed Yes | 29c | 1,944$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?this page
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31, 2026?Yes won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 9?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?Yes won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?Yes won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 1?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 21?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 23?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 24?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 25?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 26?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 27?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 2?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 3?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 5?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by October 24?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by October 27?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.