Venezuela · resolved market
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc3b5ca63d2588fe51c1027c182bccb58e50d0bbca6bfeb2fbff76f6499b7c5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $841,108
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $858,134
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $841,108 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 304 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes | 13c | 25,000$3,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,246.13 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e86…8727backed Yes | 19c | 24,550$4,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,747.74 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 16c | 18,655$2,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,970.65 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4266…0e08backed No | 76c | 18,582$14,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,405.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Yes | 14c | 17,306$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340.46 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Yes | 26c | 17,147$4,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,431.9 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 1c | 15,062$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.34 | 50 | 14%7 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -69%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 1c | 12,459$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.51 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 5c | 12,036$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.16 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd95…8c17backed Yes | 4c | 12,000$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.05 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -63%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed Yes | 1c | 12,000$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…5d8ebacked Yes | 2c | 11,851$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b49…f2dfbacked Yes | 3c | 11,316$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.93 | 70 | 2.9%2 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Yes | 1c | 11,191$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.29 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Yes | 14c | 11,000$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.99 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a35…fc8ebacked Yes | 1c | 10,294$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.77 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c47…882abacked Yes | 3c | 9,671$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 9,280$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Yes | 3c | 8,641$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.34 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x251a…32adbacked Yes | 1c | 8,621$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e84…ef69backed Yes | 2c | 8,580$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.37 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57aa…04c5backed Yes | 1c | 8,267$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5273…d975backed Yes | 10c | 8,137$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.17 | 46 | 0%0 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 11c | 7,503$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.23 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 1c | 7,290$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.1 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d04…cfc5backed Yes | 24c | 7,256$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f82…e964backed Yes | 2c | 6,034$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed Yes | 3c | 5,912$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.15 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b48…3b37backed Yes | 2c | 5,063$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.52 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6da…a209backed Yes | 3c | 5,001$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 14c | 4,831$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.34 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 3c | 4,822$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.56 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb612…c6b0backed Yes | 3c | 4,618$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e28…dc83backed Yes | 25c | 4,532$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.97 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 8c | 4,328$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.13 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x711c…8495backed Yes | 1c | 4,098$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…15dfbacked Yes | 1c | 4,000$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a64…efd5backed Yes | 1c | 3,870$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.96 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 5cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7912…ffc3backed Yes | 1c | 3,786$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.26 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d27…62cabacked Yes | 2c | 3,745$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 2c | 3,725$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 14cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd11e…699fbacked Yes | 17c | 3,671$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.48 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e76…2c4ebacked Yes | 2c | 3,419$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a66…3dbabacked Yes | 9c | 3,338$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.24 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…1da2backed No | 76c | 3,320$2,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 3,312$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.76 | 164 | 4.9%8 W · 156 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd2…2925backed Yes | 10c | 3,228$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd74d…ff5ebacked No | 79c | 3,029$2,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1128…cfa5backed Yes | 9c | 3,024$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.27 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d9…5670backed Yes | 27c | 2,850$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1db…838dbacked Yes | 2c | 2,786$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.54 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 3c | 2,649$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.47 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -85.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c22…9b23backed Yes | 3c | 2,555$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.18 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4a…a1dcbacked Yes | 15c | 2,534$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…5226backed No | 79c | 2,523$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fe…ce76backed Yes | 1c | 2,519$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f2…7027backed Yes | 4c | 2,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.21per pick | 33cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x919e…d915backed Yes | 5c | 2,500$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.98 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Yes | 8c | 2,400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.09 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…e863backed No | 76c | 2,397$1,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.5 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71ff…acc5backed No | 73c | 2,322$1,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.87 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x017b…1ef4backed Yes | 3c | 2,300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed Yes | 23c | 2,297$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.38 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0943…5fc0backed Yes | 2c | 2,257$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 1c | 2,222$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x028c…2419backed No | 77c | 2,219$1,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6e…7918backed Yes | 5c | 2,165$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8867…4ae5backed Yes | 28c | 2,080$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb1…36f3backed Yes | 3c | 2,029$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…aa2cbacked No | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62af…89f3backed No | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.99 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e6…1abcbacked Yes | 3c | 2,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked Yes | 19c | 1,998$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.63 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -50%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2853…3482backed Yes | 4c | 1,950$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.82 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…d37cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,931$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.2 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…3715backed Yes | 15c | 1,908$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…9232backed Yes | 3c | 1,833$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 14c | 1,779$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.79 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6989…b412backed No | 72c | 1,776$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.81 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfac…490fbacked No | 75c | 1,769$1,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.59 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf45c…90b5backed Yes | 3c | 1,671$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9256…2e8bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,658$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ec…8bf1backed Yes | 2c | 1,619$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.77 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cdc…ab3abacked Yes | 21c | 1,615$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes | 1c | 1,572$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 13cpaid | +41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…f622backed Yes | 3c | 1,542$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…6fb8backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a9…67e4backed Yes | 3c | 1,449$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d6…395bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,424$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf710…edc9backed Yes | 3c | 1,402$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.34 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x638d…3e5bbacked No | 73c | 1,402$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…43dcbacked Yes | 12c | 1,360$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.6 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b4…27f7backed Yes | 5c | 1,345$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x819e…e967backed Yes | 1c | 1,335$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8b…3c39backed Yes | 3c | 1,305$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89ae…4b0abacked Yes | 1c | 1,304$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 14cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb07a…4d19backed No | 79c | 1,266$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf6…fecebacked Yes | 3c | 1,223$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 21?this page
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31, 2026?Yes won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 9?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?Yes won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?Yes won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?Yes won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 1?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 23?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 24?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 25?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 26?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 27?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 2?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 3?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 5?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by October 24?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by October 27?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.