Venezuela · resolved market
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e4108df7616c998a17721c3331e6a58faa68814cab6a9a42026e2f76d913775
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $401,690
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $428,093
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $401,690 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes | 0c | 47,594$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.19 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Yes | 0c | 38,669$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.3 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03af…87cbbacked Yes | 23c | 28,057$6,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,473.96 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 0c | 21,397$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.31 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4a…a1dcbacked Yes | 2c | 15,602$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked Yes | 0c | 13,847$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -88%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b49…f2dfbacked Yes | 1c | 13,379$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.52 | 70 | 2.9%2 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed Yes | 10c | 10,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0e…1411backed Yes | 0c | 9,548$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62b3…209ebacked Yes | 2c | 8,515$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x819e…e967backed Yes | 1c | 5,947$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 71c | 5,777$4,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,659.38 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33e0…7d46backed No | 70c | 5,225$3,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,567.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef5…5d4fbacked No | 78c | 4,775$3,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.33 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 1c | 4,752$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.77 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff2b…b73abacked Yes | 2c | 4,700$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Yes | 6c | 4,617$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.68 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd11e…699fbacked Yes | 15c | 4,539$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.29 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8b…3c39backed Yes | 0c | 4,040$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…974ebacked Yes | 10c | 3,256$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecf4…9979backed No | 79c | 3,184$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.77 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…c3b9backed Yes | 1c | 2,961$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x448b…181abacked Yes | 10c | 2,500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed No | 77c | 2,178$1,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.08 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b6…95c1backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17a5…e00abacked Yes | 3c | 1,893$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.98 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2853…3482backed Yes | 5c | 1,806$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.9 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…f2a8backed No | 78c | 1,756$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.63 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c69…51cabacked Yes | 2c | 1,660$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…14f3backed No | 80c | 1,653$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.25 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…15dfbacked Yes | 3c | 1,538$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.34 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e6…1abcbacked Yes | 1c | 1,451$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe336…bcacbacked Yes | 27c | 1,319$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc08c…fa1fbacked No | 76c | 1,200$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 12c | 1,124$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.62 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -85.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…f511backed Yes | 2c | 1,123$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Yes | 4c | 1,100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6561…c074backed No | 71c | 1,093$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9373…9014backed No | 73c | 1,069$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe9…8308backed No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bb…4982backed Yes | 25c | 956.42$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Yes | 9c | 631.41$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.08 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5be9…9106backed Yes | 21c | 600$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc36a…c0f2backed Yes | 23c | 599.98$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.51 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a8…416cbacked Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc3…b21fbacked No | 75c | 508.24$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.65 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +19%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ac…ad7fbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Yes | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x290f…7e47backed No | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11f3…d859backed Yes | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47f5…934dbacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2383…34b1backed Yes | 20c | 473.24$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.65 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…59fdbacked No | 80c | 453.38$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.91 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9394…37dabacked Yes | 18c | 442.11$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…8218backed Yes | 19c | 434.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.25 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecef…75fabacked No | 80c | 407.56$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +11%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe52…32c5backed Yes | 6c | 399.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a66…3dbabacked Yes | 16c | 399.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…7444backed Yes | 13c | 375$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ac…2c21backed Yes | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked Yes | 11c | 254.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…9138backed Yes | 19c | 252.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 21c | 250$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed No | 75c | 240$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…f8a7backed No | 78c | 234.78$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked No | 77c | 230$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa88c…254fbacked No | 78c | 228.21$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe131…174abacked Yes | 24c | 208.57$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec55…6870backed No | 79c | 207.42$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f2…7027backed Yes | 17c | 205.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.21per pick | 33cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51f8…e23ebacked Yes | 12c | 205$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9a…7991backed Yes | 17c | 204.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x716d…eaf2backed No | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a0…7e0abacked No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90be…c800backed Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc21e…0215backed Yes | 21c | 200$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e81…5d10backed No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f8…7175backed No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 73c | 200$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 20c | 197.22$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.08 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fef…24d6backed Yes | 24c | 188.87$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 11c | 188.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72dd…8be4backed Yes | 26c | 181$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…755fbacked Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…7aafbacked No | 77c | 178$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.94 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03b2…567cbacked Yes | 25c | 164$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x413f…47f3backed Yes | 22c | 160$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…c913backed No | 74c | 121$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced1…280ebacked No | 80c | 120$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +124.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x899e…f470backed Yes | 26c | 100.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…c4a9backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9394…45e5backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c60…9c5ebacked No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 69cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fe…a403backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10eb…b078backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…28f9backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e6…6fcbbacked No | 79c | 88.92$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa457…1a93backed No | 74c | 83$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 29cpaid | +149.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x253f…e642backed No | 75c | 82$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 27?this page
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31, 2026?Yes won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 9?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?Yes won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?Yes won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?Yes won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 1?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 21?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 23?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 24?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 25?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 26?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 2?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 3?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 5?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by October 24?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by October 27?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.