TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xec55…6870

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
83
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Lol, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 52 out of 100; worst World Politics at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT4443.2%19 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$13.05
Suns vs. Raptorsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.62
Hawks vs. Bucksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+124.8%+$28.71
Thunder vs. Knicksbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+37.5%+$9.85
Celtics vs. Nuggetsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10.23
Celtics vs. Nuggets: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+96.1%+$17.36
Spread: 76ers (-10.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$19.05
Spread: Rockets (-13.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$33.28
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$48.96
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$158.63
Kings vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Spurs vs. Pistons: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+96.9%+$77.25
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$159.53
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+78.6%+$42.13
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+96.1%+$150.43
Cavaliers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+50.9%+$53.33
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$33.92
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+100%+$80.47
Spread: Heat (-11.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$158.94
Spread: Heat (-12.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$25.92
Spread: Spurs (-18.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+92.3%+$23.04
Spread: Spurs (-17.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+107.9%+$81.66
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$14.79
76ers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+150%+$74.99
Spread: 76ers (-3.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+99%+$53.72
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.37per pick50cpaid-63.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.07
Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$158.62
Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+190.5%+$388.83
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$656Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$656.23
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$854Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$854.02
Will Franco Parisi endorse José Antonio Kast for President of Chile?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$40.75
Will Franco Parisi endorse no candidate for President of Chile?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$34.26
All 8 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-59%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+82.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-55.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$39.6
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+122.2%+$71.83
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$17.21
Jets vs. Canucksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+83.5%+$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+92.3%+$9.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houston Cougars vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+30.4%+$12.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$18.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$83.57
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.