TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-17.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Spurs, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$128,376
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$128,904

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,376 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x198f…c419backed Kings47c27,103$12,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,364.6217249.4%85 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Spurs53c26,406$13,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,995.4344352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Kings47c20,750$9,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,008.062,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Kings47c20,670$9,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,921.961,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Spurs53c14,258$7,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,556.621,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Spurs53c9,434$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00026648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Kings48c8,784$4,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,567.541,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Spurs53c8,000$4,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2401,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Spurs53c4,735$2,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,509.5565750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Spurs54c4,623$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5001,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Spurs53c4,342$2,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,301.2437747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1175…7f33backed Kings47c4,270$2,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,263.13100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Kings48c4,161$1,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,179.524,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Spurs53c4,060$2,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,136.8141553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5778…3acabacked Spurs53c4,000$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,12040%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Spurs53c3,050$1,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,616.6942648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kings47c2,871$1,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,532.959,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Kings47c2,679$1,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,419.9369149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Spurs52c2,164$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.3260351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Kings47c1,871$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992.123,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Spurs53c1,509$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80024847.6%118 W · 130 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Spurs45c1,479$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.664,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cc7…0602backed Spurs54c1,471$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.329352.7%49 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kings50c1,457$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.668,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Kings47c1,359$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.5315147%71 W · 80 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Spurs53c1,180$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.485147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Spurs54c1,100$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.0189050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Kings47c680.16$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.411,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Kings47c656$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.6817953.1%95 W · 84 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Kings48c625$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32564944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Spurs54c585.51$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.1850653.2%269 W · 237 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Kings54c555.56$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.5632347.1%152 W · 171 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57e5…e51ebacked Spurs51c512$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.0533360.4%201 W · 132 L+17.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Spurs54c462.96$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25052951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Spurs53c427.35$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.576552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Kings46c415.73$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.4921243.4%92 W · 120 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Spurs55c411.86$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22550954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Spurs52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed Spurs53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020147.8%96 W · 105 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Spurs52c358.61$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.484,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f52…c525backed Kings56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1414152.5%74 W · 67 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Spurs53c344.44$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.5522048.6%107 W · 113 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Kings45c343.02$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.6687144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9665…424cbacked Kings48c329.17$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.171485.7%12 W · 2 L+5.1wins+0.37per pick49cpaid+89.2%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Kings45c311.14$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.733,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4f43…c0c2backed Spurs53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15923435.9%84 W · 150 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Spurs53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15966645.9%306 W · 360 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Kings46c299.99$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.9691148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Spurs53c273.59$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1451,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4dd…3f0fbacked Spurs53c262.26$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.39per pick53cpaid-77.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Kings47c258$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.7445646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Kings48c250$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1304746.8%22 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf17…dc1abacked Spurs55c223.64$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1231921.1%4 W · 15 L-5.7wins-0.30per pick51cpaid-65.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xc1fd…8fe6backed Spurs53c221.32$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.3540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Kings47c199.99$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.9929346.4%136 W · 157 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x86d9…b214backed Kings48c199.36$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.421854.6%119 W · 99 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Spurs55c189.43$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1041,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Spurs53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10061957.5%356 W · 263 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Spurs53c172$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.1623946.4%111 W · 128 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked Spurs55c160$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8849358.6%289 W · 204 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec55…6870backed Kings48c157.35$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.664443.2%19 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Kings46c152.17$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.1749246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Kings47c139.25$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.813,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Spurs52c136.73$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.12,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7509…d031backed Kings46c134.44$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.620847.1%98 W · 110 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Kings47c129$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.3756547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2646…ac99backed Kings55c127.27$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.272100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Spurs47c114.25$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.191,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6b1…a7b6backed Spurs53c107.55$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Spurs53c103.65$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5536453%193 W · 171 L-17.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb87…4611backed Kings68c101.47$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4712151.2%62 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Spurs43c99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5743246.1%199 W · 233 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0aa0…be2dbacked Kings47c95.74$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.749445.7%43 W · 51 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Spurs53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023446.2%108 W · 126 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95be…9968backed Spurs53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5033552.8%177 W · 158 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Kings68c88.85$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8595452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5558…f9c4backed Spurs53c80$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.437549.6%186 W · 189 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5425…8b3abacked Spurs53c75.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4029156.4%164 W · 127 L+13.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Kings51c74.32$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.425,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed Spurs54c74.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4025752.5%135 W · 122 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Spurs42c70.32$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.41,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcf0…b95dbacked Spurs53c66.04$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510955%60 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfec0…f051backed Kings48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.081546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa42b…45d2backed Kings52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249653.1%51 W · 45 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Kings47c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.515156.3%85 W · 66 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Kings47c49$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.721,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaec…eaafbacked Spurs53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2529348.5%142 W · 151 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Spurs43c45.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7645452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Spurs34c44.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.448937.1%33 W · 56 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Spurs53c43.28$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9441947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65d8…bac6backed Kings47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5538350.4%193 W · 190 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60c2…8052backed Kings48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6715347.1%72 W · 81 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x220e…3b20backed Spurs53c39.85$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.122454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea33…ae06backed Spurs66c39.5$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0711759.8%70 W · 47 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf85…03f9backed Spurs52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd62d…5992backed Spurs52c38.35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2037852.9%200 W · 178 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60a0…da0dbacked Spurs53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202045%9 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e51…9531backed Spurs53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2036751.5%189 W · 178 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e29…31c9backed Spurs53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203444.1%15 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7169…3f14backed Spurs54c37.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.