NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Spurs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9f2a4cbca268e625520e860292b9442765e2782eae762066d27e0abebeecd90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Kings, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,741,821
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,671,474
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,741,821 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 276 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Kings | 8c | 1,775,000$149,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149,334.67 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Kings | 8c | 113,524$9,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,081.93 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…8f6abacked Kings | 8c | 98,721$7,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,897.68 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Kings | 7c | 80,346$5,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,624.23 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Kings | 7c | 69,999$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,899.96 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Kings | 8c | 60,050$4,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,804 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Kings | 8c | 50,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.99 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Kings | 7c | 50,000$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,699.98 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…67efbacked Kings | 8c | 45,125$3,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,610.02 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Kings | 7c | 41,700$2,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,918.98 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Kings | 8c | 34,522$2,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,734.05 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0a…4a63backed Kings | 9c | 30,305$2,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,727.46 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbab7…bc7cbacked Kings | 8c | 30,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Kings | 7c | 28,782$1,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,918.79 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…0caabacked Kings | 8c | 26,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Kings | 7c | 25,017$1,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,774.49 | 400 | 35.5%142 W · 258 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Kings | 8c | 25,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Kings | 2c | 23,386$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459 | 317 | 9.5%30 W · 287 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…c16abacked Kings | 6c | 22,593$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…3819backed Kings | 8c | 20,012$1,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,612.04 | 129 | 38.8%50 W · 79 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c9…0f2bbacked Kings | 8c | 17,776$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.08 | 135 | 43.7%59 W · 76 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Kings | 9c | 17,330$1,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,553.31 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6e…ddf7backed Kings | 8c | 17,100$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdab4…a27abacked Kings | 8c | 15,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Kings | 7c | 14,772$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.04 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Kings | 8c | 12,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x899a…2a22backed Kings | 8c | 11,696$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.7 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Kings | 1c | 11,690$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 286 | 16.4%47 W · 239 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Kings | 8c | 10,956$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.44 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Kings | 1c | 10,312$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.2 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cde…b97dbacked Kings | 9c | 10,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…fa80backed Kings | 8c | 10,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 180 | 45%81 W · 99 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Kings | 9c | 8,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kings | 7c | 7,911$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.37 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46bc…2d14backed Kings | 8c | 7,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 189 | 31.2%59 W · 130 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ec…81c2backed Kings | 2c | 7,200$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.31 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Kings | 3c | 6,499$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.47 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xace9…f74abacked Kings | 8c | 6,250$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.13 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76cb…55d3backed Kings | 14c | 5,672$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.6 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Kings | 4c | 5,662$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.96 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Kings | 8c | 5,212$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.06 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Kings | 12c | 5,076$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Kings | 3c | 5,032$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.39 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa051…54ebbacked Kings | 8c | 5,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 154 | 35.7%55 W · 99 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Kings | 8c | 5,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 470 | 43.8%206 W · 264 L | -22.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Kings | 8c | 4,764$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 134 | 29.9%40 W · 94 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Kings | 2c | 4,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 448 | 21.4%96 W · 352 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Kings | 8c | 3,750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Kings | 12c | 3,693$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.91 | 385 | 40.3%155 W · 230 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…d4cebacked Kings | 13c | 3,073$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…3406backed Kings | 7c | 3,073$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 161 | 62.7%101 W · 60 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Kings | 8c | 3,056$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.46 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Kings | 8c | 3,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Kings | 8c | 3,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…35aebacked Kings | 8c | 2,999$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.96 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Kings | 13c | 2,733$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.23 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07c…c4b7backed Kings | 8c | 2,700$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kings | 5c | 2,679$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.1 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd472…cc7cbacked Kings | 8c | 2,650$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03d9…e693backed Kings | 0c | 2,600$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 169 | 0%0 W · 169 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0b…44fdbacked Kings | 3c | 2,533$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Kings | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Kings | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe756…e006backed Kings | 5c | 2,500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 328 | 27.4%90 W · 238 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Kings | 11c | 2,404$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.21 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Kings | 4c | 2,350$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.1 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x512e…4f1bbacked Kings | 8c | 2,350$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kings | 9c | 2,326$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.17 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Kings | 1c | 2,255$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…31ecbacked Kings | 6c | 2,225$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Kings | 9c | 2,202$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Kings | 7c | 2,157$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.7 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Kings | 11c | 2,097$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.65 | 308 | 40.9%126 W · 182 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Kings | 7c | 2,074$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.69 | 334 | 28.1%94 W · 240 L | -20.3wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d60…649fbacked Kings | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kings | 7c | 1,956$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.19 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x899a…708fbacked Kings | 8c | 1,875$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Kings | 12c | 1,872$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.54 | 122 | 27%33 W · 89 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Kings | 11c | 1,868$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c6…6d67backed Kings | 5c | 1,864$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Kings | 1c | 1,793$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 358 | 44.1%158 W · 200 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf67…eee6backed Kings | 8c | 1,700$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Kings | 2c | 1,651$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.17 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…135fbacked Kings | 9c | 1,624$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.93 | 458 | 38%174 W · 284 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8590…07adbacked Kings | 10c | 1,520$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…db9dbacked Kings | 9c | 1,513$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 206 | 51.5%106 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3064…99d4backed Kings | 8c | 1,500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e20…b6b5backed Kings | 8c | 1,475$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…fb2dbacked Kings | 4c | 1,464$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Kings | 9c | 1,343$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.14 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed Kings | 7c | 1,271$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.29 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe29e…fa35backed Kings | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 341 | 36.1%123 W · 218 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Kings | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 185 | 33%61 W · 124 L | -19.5wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a38…4e1abacked Kings | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8a…4d5fbacked Kings | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Kings | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Kings | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 279 | 50.5%141 W · 138 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f00…be86backed Kings | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbda…6e2cbacked Kings | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Kings | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 179 | 40.2%72 W · 107 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Spursthis page
- DeMar DeRozan: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Keegan Murray: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Kings vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Kings vs. Spurs: O/U 226.5Over won
- Kings vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5Over won
- Kings vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5Over won
- Kings vs. Spurs: O/U 229.5Over won
- Kings vs. Spurs: O/U 230.5Over won
- Maxime Raynaud: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-17.5)Kings won
- Spread: Spurs (-18.5)Kings won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.