TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Spurs: O/U 230.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$276,981
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$277,701

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $276,981 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over52c213,666$110,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102,668.5487451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under48c148,433$71,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71,247.8924650%123 W · 123 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Under48c31,250$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,00051844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Over50c15,580$7,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,789.822648.2%109 W · 117 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1fc…2102backed Over50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27a9…4e01backed Under50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c9,727$4,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,714.599,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under50c8,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0001,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Under50c6,500$3,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,25058449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Under50c5,080$2,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,54065750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Under50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under51c3,809$1,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,960.961,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Under48c3,333$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.8414753.1%78 W · 69 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over51c3,061$1,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,515.0269149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x867c…4e27backed Under49c2,512$1,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,23160%0 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Under49c2,512$1,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,23142648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4a4…3117backed Under4c2,313$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6928616.4%47 W · 239 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over49c2,047$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,044.294,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over48c1,898$911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986.963,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under48c1,887$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.942,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed Under49c1,100$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.8217250%86 W · 86 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under49c1,048$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.063,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under48c616.6$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.094,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under49c594$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.123,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under50c563$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.56,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Under52c480.77$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2507440.5%30 W · 44 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over48c417.39$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.043,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b1a…68d8backed Under51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20414652.1%76 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37a3…fe17backed Under50c378.94$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.472250%11 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f43…c0c2backed Under51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15323435.9%84 W · 150 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57e5…e51ebacked Under51c295$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.4533360.4%201 W · 132 L+17.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under50c279.96$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.971,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Under49c270.1$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.3540546.9%190 W · 215 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under50c204.25$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.154,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022845.2%103 W · 125 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2d3…9af1backed Under51c196$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9612642.1%53 W · 73 L-11.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-23.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Under45c184.88$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.3753149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e4b…1ff9backed Over51c167.27$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.9616347.2%77 W · 86 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under49c163.27$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8087453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7537750.4%190 W · 187 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under48c146$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.082,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa93…0bc7backed Under12c139.09$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0923047.4%109 W · 121 L+19.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under48c136.15$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.352,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae9a…7ceabacked Over52c132.38$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.547847.4%37 W · 41 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca85…fe6cbacked Under12c110.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.614240.5%17 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.568645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.578648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5132346.4%150 W · 173 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x87ae…811bbacked Under51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017545.7%80 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0453453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Under50c97.2$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.662744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under49c90$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.12,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Under13c89.65$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5488057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Under50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4028243.3%122 W · 160 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Over51c76.47$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4745651.1%233 W · 223 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xad31…1c1dbacked Over51c68.63$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.634341.9%18 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Under50c65.4$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4976250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over50c64.7$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.432,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x243c…9ae0backed Under49c64.61$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7338347%180 W · 203 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cf5…b8efbacked Over50c59.41$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4110350.5%52 W · 51 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc981…a53dbacked Under49c58.76$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.792548%12 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59d0…a871backed Under49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257550.7%38 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under51c50.98$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9973…cc32backed Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253046.7%14 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c38…fd63backed Over52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2410069%69 W · 31 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfcba…2398backed Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257851.3%40 W · 38 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Under52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2643246.1%199 W · 233 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa30…c7abbacked Under51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511448.2%55 W · 59 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Under50c49$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.51,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over48c46.48$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.171,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x217c…3aedbacked Over52c41.51$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.922100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c05…639ebacked Under49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208452.4%44 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3798…2e72backed Over51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.61353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x57f6…fed6backed Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.222147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1760…c4edbacked Under51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204564.4%29 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45b8…3c28backed Over52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4616944.4%75 W · 94 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e93…0078backed Over50c38.34$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.173324.2%8 W · 25 L-4.5wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-51.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7ed8…0e99backed Under51c33.44$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0545653.5%244 W · 212 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c39…20eebacked Under51c32.53$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5935843.6%156 W · 202 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabbf…0758backed Under41c30.03$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2339047.7%186 W · 204 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bd6…bf96backed Under50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1523051.3%118 W · 112 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cd6…16abbacked Under50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510558.1%61 W · 44 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48df…e4c9backed Under51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.321553.5%115 W · 100 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b54…ea13backed Under50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1537959.4%225 W · 154 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf672…c3c4backed Under51c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155343.4%23 W · 30 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7291…3d0fbacked Over51c26.86$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.167945.6%36 W · 43 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Under51c25.03$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.745452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Over77c23.81$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.4832952.9%174 W · 155 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8eb7…d529backed Over51c23.41$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4729351.9%152 W · 141 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7838…cd45backed Under51c21.82$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1350%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under48c20.75$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.061,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1087950.6%445 W · 434 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed0…2d0fbacked Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101346.2%6 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick31cpaid+99.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x478e…0c83backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1019346.1%89 W · 104 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5177…1020backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05b0…df5abacked Over55c18.2$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.19850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.