NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Spurs: O/U 230.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x667c514efab486cc780a69fc3ee9085334aea35440c5e05b51388f56591d6e26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $276,981
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $277,701
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $276,981 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 52c | 213,666$110,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102,668.54 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 48c | 148,433$71,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,247.89 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Under | 48c | 31,250$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Over | 50c | 15,580$7,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,789.8 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fc…2102backed Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…4e01backed Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 9,727$4,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,714.59 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Under | 50c | 6,500$3,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,250 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Under | 50c | 5,080$2,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,540 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 51c | 3,809$1,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960.96 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Under | 48c | 3,333$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.84 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 51c | 3,061$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,515.02 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x867c…4e27backed Under | 49c | 2,512$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Under | 49c | 2,512$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Under | 4c | 2,313$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.69 | 286 | 16.4%47 W · 239 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 49c | 2,047$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.29 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 48c | 1,898$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.96 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 48c | 1,887$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.94 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Under | 49c | 1,100$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.82 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 49c | 1,048$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.06 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 48c | 616.6$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.09 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 49c | 594$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.12 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 50c | 563$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.5 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Under | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 48c | 417.39$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.04 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Under | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a3…fe17backed Under | 50c | 378.94$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.47 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f43…c0c2backed Under | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Under | 51c | 295$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.45 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 50c | 279.96$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.97 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Under | 49c | 270.1$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.35 | 405 | 46.9%190 W · 215 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 50c | 204.25$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.15 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 228 | 45.2%103 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d3…9af1backed Under | 51c | 196$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Under | 45c | 184.88$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.37 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4b…1ff9backed Over | 51c | 167.27$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.96 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 377 | 50.4%190 W · 187 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 48c | 146$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.08 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Under | 12c | 139.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | +19.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 136.15$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.35 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae9a…7ceabacked Over | 52c | 132.38$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.54 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…fe6cbacked Under | 12c | 110.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 323 | 46.4%150 W · 173 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ae…811bbacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Under | 50c | 97.2$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 49c | 90$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 13c | 89.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 282 | 43.3%122 W · 160 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 51c | 76.47$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.47 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…1c1dbacked Over | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Under | 50c | 65.4$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.49 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 50c | 64.7$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.43 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Under | 49c | 64.61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.73 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf5…b8efbacked Over | 50c | 59.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.41 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…a53dbacked Under | 49c | 58.76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…a871backed Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 51c | 50.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9973…cc32backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…fd63backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 100 | 69%69 W · 31 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…2398backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa30…c7abbacked Under | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 50c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 48c | 46.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.17 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x217c…3aedbacked Over | 52c | 41.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c05…639ebacked Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3798…2e72backed Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57f6…fed6backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1760…c4edbacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b8…3c28backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 169 | 44.4%75 W · 94 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e93…0078backed Over | 50c | 38.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Under | 51c | 33.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Under | 51c | 32.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Under | 41c | 30.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 390 | 47.7%186 W · 204 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd6…bf96backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 230 | 51.3%118 W · 112 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd6…16abbacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…e4c9backed Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 215 | 53.5%115 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7291…3d0fbacked Over | 51c | 26.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Under | 51c | 25.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Over | 77c | 23.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Over | 51c | 23.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7838…cd45backed Under | 51c | 21.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 48c | 20.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed0…2d0fbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 31cpaid | +99.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…0c83backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5177…1020backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b0…df5abacked Over | 55c | 18.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Spurs: O/U 230.5this page
- DeMar DeRozan: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Keegan Murray: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Kings vs. SpursSpurs won
- Kings vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Kings vs. Spurs: O/U 226.5Over won
- Kings vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5Over won
- Kings vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5Over won
- Kings vs. Spurs: O/U 229.5Over won
- Maxime Raynaud: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-17.5)Kings won
- Spread: Spurs (-18.5)Kings won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.