TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0e93…0078

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
233
Categories scored
33
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Middle East, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 63 out of 100; worst NBA at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT4544.4%20 W · 25 L+8.4wins+0.19per pick26cpaid+68.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
Middle East — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.36
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.05
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.7
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.59
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.02
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+200.9%+$34.43
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+283%+$94.64
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.71
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$19.64
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.89
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.28
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.91
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+365.5%+$55.59
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.78
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.53
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.46
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.98
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.18
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.14
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.61
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.37
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.15
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT3324.2%8 W · 25 L-4.5wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-51.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.56
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$4.18
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Will the Miami Heat win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.26
Pacers vs. Spurs: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.82
Spread: 76ers (-5.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$34.15
76ers vs. Jazz: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.17
Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.61
Suns vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.8
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.61
Spread: Pistons (-14.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+77.5%+$13.1
Spread: Knicks (-10.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$15.16
Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$21.19
Spread: Celtics (-2.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Celtics (-1.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$22.69
Spread: Hornets (-11.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$13.08
Cavaliers vs. Thunderbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$45.1
Rockets vs. Knicksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50.58
Grizzlies vs. Heatbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$68.95
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT2218.2%4 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-62.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 April 6-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.3
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 March 30-April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.25
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.75
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.97
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.55
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.91
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.34
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.1
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.35
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 March 16-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.82
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 March 16-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.57
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 9-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.98
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 9-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.29
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 9-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 March 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.83
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+138.1%+$27.29
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 February 23-March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$19.93
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$39.59
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$118.68
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$121.58
All 22 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.13
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$40.56
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.93
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.92
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.2
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+177.8%+$26.67
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$10.86
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+194.1%+$35.72
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+108.3%+$16.25
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$13.75
All 18 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+51.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.13
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+1,031%+$294.26
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.99
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.91
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+150%+$22.5
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.43
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.92
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+497.1%+$83
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.4
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.13
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT156.7%1 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick25cpaid-73.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Tweets — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.33
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.91
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.53
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.14
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.66
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12.03
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.55
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$58.1
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$119.13
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+299.1%+$166.36
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$83.64
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$43.79
All 15 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.15
Will Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.2
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+140.4%+$23.4
Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$27.99
Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Hofstra Pride · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.65
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-7.5)backed Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$16.25
Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$15.75
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.12
Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Prairie View A&M Panthersbacked Prairie View A&M Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+136.2%+$28.83
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhornsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+105.5%+$15.4
Duke Blue Devils vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10.27
All 13 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick24cpaid-70.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.23
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.61
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.24
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+168.5%+$22.96
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.05
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.81
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.73
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.44
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.63
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+46.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+37.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-40.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+123.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick74cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.1
Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)backed SSC Napoli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.31
All 3 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AZ win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+194.1%+$28.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$24.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rio Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Vit Koprivabacked Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+150%+$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+117.4%+$23.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$4.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will New York City FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$11.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.55
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.