NBA · resolved market
Spread: Hornets (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa36fd2e209d4a773121923b9800e7b5c2aa2753e1f73d46ba67b5e228393bad0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hornetsof Hornets, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $270,511
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $271,127
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $270,511 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee17…b46ebacked Wizards | 50c | 70,663$35,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,167.63 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Wizards | 51c | 46,709$23,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,704.44 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Wizards | 51c | 46,355$23,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,591.49 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Hornets | 49c | 25,000$12,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,750 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Hornets | 49c | 24,920$12,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,608.23 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Wizards | 54c | 22,719$12,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,268.15 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Hornets | 50c | 20,400$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,200.08 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed Hornets | 51c | 19,704$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,704.13 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Hornets | 46c | 18,600$8,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,044 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hornets | 50c | 12,384$6,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,218.63 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Hornets | 48c | 11,476$5,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,963.81 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Hornets | 50c | 10,150$5,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,075 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde18…83bcbacked Hornets | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Wizards | 49c | 8,575$4,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,201.63 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Hornets | 51c | 7,914$4,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,877.73 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaccb…61dcbacked Hornets | 48c | 7,444$3,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,858.27 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Wizards | 49c | 6,500$3,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,185 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Wizards | 53c | 4,996$2,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,647.77 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Hornets | 51c | 4,480$2,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,195.14 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Wizards | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.99 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hornets | 49c | 3,760$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.68 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Hornets | 49c | 3,650$1,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,848.55 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Hornets | 52c | 3,412$1,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,642.81 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Hornets | 51c | 3,173$1,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,569.12 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Hornets | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Hornets | 51c | 2,790$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.62 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Hornets | 50c | 2,711$1,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.36 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaff1…49cebacked Hornets | 48c | 2,504$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.17 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Wizards | 50c | 2,440$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Hornets | 49c | 2,286$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.86 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Hornets | 49c | 2,181$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.12 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Wizards | 50c | 2,092$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.96 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Hornets | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 184 | 48.9%90 W · 94 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Hornets | 50c | 2,000$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf26…39a6backed Hornets | 46c | 1,689$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.04 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Hornets | 52c | 1,622$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.82 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Hornets | 51c | 1,531$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.19 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Hornets | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Wizards | 46c | 1,488$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.65 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Hornets | 51c | 1,324$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.53 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hornets | 49c | 1,007$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.52 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Hornets | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 228 | 45.2%103 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Hornets | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Hornets | 48c | 897$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.44 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Hornets | 49c | 801.96$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.91 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9931…ea8cbacked Hornets | 50c | 791.7$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.85 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Wizards | 51c | 687$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.37 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Hornets | 48c | 602.99$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.41 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Wizards | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79b0…ea3bbacked Hornets | 51c | 590$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.1 | 151 | 54.3%82 W · 69 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Hornets | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdab9…cdfcbacked Wizards | 51c | 549.02$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hornets | 47c | 509.65$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.13 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Wizards | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Hornets | 52c | 421.65$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.39 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb3…380ebacked Hornets | 50c | 415.91$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.96 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Wizards | 50c | 400$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.57 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Hornets | 48c | 375.93$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.48 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Wizards | 56c | 358.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…4bbfbacked Wizards | 38c | 312.65$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 405 | 41%166 W · 239 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Hornets | 46c | 312$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.48 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Hornets | 50c | 300.33$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.22 | 184 | 38.6%71 W · 113 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Hornets | 55c | 263.81$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.34 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Wizards | 53c | 249.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Hornets | 51c | 229.41$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.41 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Wizards | 51c | 205.88$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 395 | 52.2%206 W · 189 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Hornets | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Hornets | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Hornets | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Wizards | 50c | 200$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Hornets | 46c | 179$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.66 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x696d…f89dbacked Hornets | 49c | 166.78$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.63 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Wizards | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Hornets | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Hornets | 72c | 112.32$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.73 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Wizards | 49c | 109.81$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.2 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Hornets | 46c | 107.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.25 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Hornets | 48c | 105.92$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.87 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Wizards | 49c | 103.14$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Wizards | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 377 | 50.4%190 W · 187 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…7b83backed Wizards | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 114 | 20.2%23 W · 91 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Hornets | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204e…55eabacked Hornets | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Hornets | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Hornets | 52c | 99.98$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.25 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Hornets | 47c | 99.67$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.15 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Wizards | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb36d…de27backed Hornets | 46c | 94.7$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.14 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Wizards | 29c | 88.18$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd194…24b8backed Hornets | 49c | 86.78$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.26 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Hornets | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Wizards | 49c | 79$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 282 | 43.3%122 W · 160 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Hornets | 50c | 78.6$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.3 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Hornets | 63c | 75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Wizards | 53c | 71.89$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.75 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Wizards | 50c | 68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Wizards | 50c | 63.68$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc345…2c35backed Hornets | 47c | 61.49$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 108 | 56.5%61 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x074e…317fbacked Wizards | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Wizards | 52c | 59.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hornets (-11.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-6.5)Wizards won
- Hornets vs. WizardsHornets won
- Hornets vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Hornets vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Wizards: O/U 225.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Wizards: O/U 226.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Wizards: O/U 227.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Wizards: O/U 228.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Wizards: O/U 229.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Wizards: O/U 237.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Wizards: O/U 238.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Wizards: O/U 243.5Under won
- Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Kyshawn George: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Spread: Hornets (-10.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-12.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.