NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Wizards: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5cc988e14a35586a5357b1a243ff824d7cad918bfa9f9f4c688bec7a7e4029fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $160,403
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $166,220
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,403 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 52c | 40,850$21,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,375.14 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 33,366$15,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,571.23 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Over | 48c | 31,175$14,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,322.93 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 53c | 20,706$10,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,962.36 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 53c | 12,804$6,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,786.28 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 46c | 12,715$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,814.57 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2795…fd6bbacked Under | 54c | 10,118$5,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,463.53 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Under | 52c | 8,160$4,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,243.2 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Over | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Over | 46c | 5,102$2,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,756.19 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Over | 46c | 4,967$2,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,682.39 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Over | 47c | 3,886$1,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,059.55 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Under | 52c | 3,442$1,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,790 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Over | 48c | 2,750$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 56c | 2,682$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Under | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 49c | 1,572$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.5 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 47c | 1,352$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.87 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 47c | 1,230$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.87 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Under | 31c | 749.12$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.97 | 184 | 38.6%71 W · 113 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 47c | 648$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.44 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b4…e861backed Over | 64c | 571.77$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.84 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 18c | 565.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.35 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 47c | 504.07$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.13 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 74c | 496.74$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.84 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Over | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 185 | 56.8%105 W · 80 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Over | 49c | 283$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.33 | 239 | 46.4%111 W · 128 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 69c | 278.47$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.59 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 72c | 277.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.57 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 49c | 256.73$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.55 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4b…1ff9backed Over | 47c | 244.68$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.68 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 47c | 220.54$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.56 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Over | 46c | 147.45$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.63 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +29.4wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 47c | 147.38$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.38 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7715…ada4backed Over | 48c | 145$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.4 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Over | 51c | 140$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.6 | 157 | 59.9%94 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Under | 8c | 138.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 51c | 110.41$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.1 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Over | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 219 | 48.9%107 W · 112 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 47c | 76.89$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.75 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Under | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 34c | 68.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc056…92debacked Under | 33c | 68.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3526…8b74backed Over | 51c | 59.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Under | 23c | 54.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 122 | 27%33 W · 89 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8a…4b6cbacked Over | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 181 | 50.3%91 W · 90 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Over | 46c | 39.46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.31 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Over | 48c | 32.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 454 | 60.4%274 W · 180 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…f519backed Under | 55c | 29.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec70…5116backed Over | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fa…222bbacked Over | 48c | 21.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 182 | 50%91 W · 91 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e7…a322backed Over | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Over | 73c | 17.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 156 | 62.8%98 W · 58 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04f1…37cdbacked Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hornets vs. Wizards: O/U 225.5this page
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-6.5)Wizards won
- Hornets vs. WizardsHornets won
- Hornets vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Hornets vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Wizards: O/U 226.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Wizards: O/U 227.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Wizards: O/U 228.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Wizards: O/U 229.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Wizards: O/U 237.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Wizards: O/U 238.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Wizards: O/U 243.5Under won
- Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Kyshawn George: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Spread: Hornets (-10.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-11.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-12.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.