NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Wizards
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe128ff9f0e2ebf392ab7b8793da69df758819a2b539518557e57f62d408726d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hornetsof Hornets, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,212,035
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,243,833
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,212,035 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 244 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Wizards | 19c | 220,784$41,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,948.93 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Wizards | 23c | 106,769$24,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,991.67 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0a…4a63backed Wizards | 21c | 76,204$15,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,978.83 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Wizards | 17c | 57,570$9,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,786.86 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…e270backed Wizards | 20c | 55,755$11,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,151 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Hornets | 79c | 45,000$35,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,300 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Hornets | 78c | 43,888$34,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,565.45 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Wizards | 17c | 26,842$4,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,429.61 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Wizards | 19c | 25,537$4,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,851.94 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Hornets | 77c | 25,249$19,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,795.89 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Wizards | 1c | 21,892$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.57 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…bd57backed Wizards | 17c | 18,043$3,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,111.82 | 418 | 32.8%137 W · 281 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Hornets | 76c | 17,157$13,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,117.76 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Wizards | 19c | 15,793$3,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,046.34 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…0caabacked Wizards | 17c | 15,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc374…46f4backed Wizards | 17c | 12,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.99 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Wizards | 18c | 11,510$2,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,071.74 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Wizards | 16c | 10,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.99 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…cca9backed Wizards | 19c | 9,981$1,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,914.53 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards | 17c | 9,607$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633.22 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Wizards | 12c | 8,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Hornets | 80c | 7,555$6,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Wizards | 17c | 6,856$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.51 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb729…4e2ebacked Wizards | 22c | 6,101$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -41%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Wizards | 17c | 6,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Wizards | 1c | 5,852$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.27 | 317 | 9.5%30 W · 287 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wizards | 9c | 5,180$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.7 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89fa…2353backed Wizards | 18c | 5,117$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Wizards | 17c | 5,094$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.98 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…b94fbacked Wizards | 19c | 5,067$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.73 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Wizards | 1c | 5,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdab4…a27abacked Wizards | 18c | 5,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.97 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa051…54ebbacked Wizards | 20c | 4,973$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 154 | 35.7%55 W · 99 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Wizards | 19c | 4,777$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.6 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Wizards | 0c | 4,625$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Hornets | 76c | 3,854$2,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Wizards | 19c | 3,533$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.61 | 385 | 40.3%155 W · 230 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…417bbacked Wizards | 9c | 3,291$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.46 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Wizards | 19c | 3,111$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Wizards | 18c | 2,993$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.9 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f37…4d4bbacked Wizards | 17c | 2,992$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.64 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Wizards | 10c | 2,765$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.77 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Wizards | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae0…d395backed Wizards | 21c | 2,390$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.9 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Wizards | 17c | 2,372$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.11 | 400 | 35.5%142 W · 258 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Hornets | 76c | 2,036$1,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x816b…d69dbacked Hornets | 78c | 2,032$1,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.91 | 247 | 52.6%130 W · 117 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Wizards | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae38…69a2backed Wizards | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacc1…84edbacked Wizards | 3c | 1,895$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.19 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Hornets | 80c | 1,864$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.74 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Wizards | 17c | 1,832$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.44 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Hornets | 79c | 1,798$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.37 | 184 | 38.6%71 W · 113 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3df…beefbacked Wizards | 17c | 1,791$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.47 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Wizards | 8c | 1,666$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.18 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ba…f893backed Wizards | 18c | 1,637$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.9 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2206…49d6backed Wizards | 19c | 1,547$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Wizards | 10c | 1,478$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0304…a3f6backed Wizards | 17c | 1,333$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.61 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Wizards | 12c | 1,318$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.05 | 286 | 16.4%47 W · 239 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x809c…eca3backed Hornets | 79c | 1,270$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.9 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab87…badabacked Wizards | 17c | 1,051$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab6…05a8backed Wizards | 22c | 1,045$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -47%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Wizards | 17c | 1,034$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.78 | 699 | 29.8%208 W · 491 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Wizards | 3c | 1,033$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9f…2ca3backed Wizards | 18c | 1,018$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.22 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Hornets | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a8…0bfcbacked Wizards | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Wizards | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 420 | 0.7%3 W · 417 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf44…0bbdbacked Wizards | 15c | 959.81$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.97 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Hornets | 80c | 946.52$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.38 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…180abacked Wizards | 19c | 900$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Wizards | 3c | 826.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 216 | 5.6%12 W · 204 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Wizards | 17c | 814$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.38 | 524 | 32.6%171 W · 353 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Wizards | 4c | 799.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…31ecbacked Wizards | 14c | 771.97$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Wizards | 17c | 718.39$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.13 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Wizards | 2c | 699.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4b…b327backed Wizards | 14c | 660$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed Wizards | 15c | 649.33$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.4 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Wizards | 2c | 647.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…6127backed Wizards | 15c | 623.64$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Wizards | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 185 | 33%61 W · 124 L | -19.5wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Wizards | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 604 | 44.2%267 W · 337 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ba…4888backed Wizards | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Wizards | 22c | 545.45$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Wizards | 17c | 529.41$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 421 | 43.7%184 W · 237 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72f7…6d94backed Wizards | 17c | 529$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.93 | 189 | 38.1%72 W · 117 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Wizards | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Wizards | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 267 | 51.7%138 W · 129 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Wizards | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 641 | 39%250 W · 391 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…f91bbacked Wizards | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 401 | 27.2%109 W · 292 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…2d68backed Wizards | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 128 | 36.7%47 W · 81 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1acc…8fe0backed Wizards | 20c | 486.42$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.74 | 180 | 43.9%79 W · 101 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4008…2942backed Wizards | 20c | 473.3$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.66 | 182 | 54.4%99 W · 83 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Wizards | 17c | 447.06$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 202 | 37.1%75 W · 127 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1460…d60bbacked Wizards | 19c | 443.33$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 133 | 33.8%45 W · 88 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Wizards | 17c | 441.18$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 235 | 39.1%92 W · 143 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Wizards | 18c | 400$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…a39abacked Hornets | 77c | 400$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 124 | 37.9%47 W · 77 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hornets vs. Wizardsthis page
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-6.5)Wizards won
- Hornets vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Hornets vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Wizards: O/U 225.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Wizards: O/U 226.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Wizards: O/U 227.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Wizards: O/U 228.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Wizards: O/U 229.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Wizards: O/U 237.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Wizards: O/U 238.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Wizards: O/U 243.5Under won
- Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Kyshawn George: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Spread: Hornets (-10.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-11.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-12.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.