TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe7b2…6127

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
226
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Venezuela, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Venezuela at 59 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT12639.7%50 W · 76 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 126 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Clippers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+176%+$146.04
Knicks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$117
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+242.7%+$69.62
Mavericks vs. Celticsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+62.2%+$18.65
Raptors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+60.2%+$33.14
Spread: Lakers (-13.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+108.3%+$108.33
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+112.8%+$67.66
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.42
Grizzlies vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$29.03
76ers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$131
Celtics vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Hornets vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$93
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Raptors vs. Bucksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+85.8%+$34.3
Cavaliers vs. Thunderbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$92.63
Rockets vs. Knicksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$74.06
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+100%+$75
76ers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+220.7%+$72.82
Magic vs. Sunsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$37
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+38.9%+$19.44
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+75.4%+$37.72
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Showing 25 of 126 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST4647.8%22 W · 24 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$124
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+81.6%+$73.42
Spread: Rams (-7.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Bears vs. 49ersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$64
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+138.6%+$106.71
Jaguars vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Buccaneers vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+222.6%+$24.48
Spread: Patriots (-12.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+96.1%+$28.82
Steelers vs. Brownsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$151
Ravens vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Texans vs. Chargers: O/U 40.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Texans vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$47
Spread: Broncos (-13.5)backed Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Broncos vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+311.1%+$93.33
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Spread: 49ers (-6.5)backed Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$11
49ers vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+185.7%+$46.42
Steelers vs. Lionsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+261%+$151.35
Spread: Broncos (-3.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Buccaneers vs. Panthersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Spread: Bills (-10.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+138.4%+$48.43
Spread: Eagles (-7.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+108.3%+$17.33
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST4240.5%17 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Senators vs. Flamesbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+127.3%+$14
Lightning vs. Jetsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Red Wings vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$107.9
Flames vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+122.1%+$128.19
Panthers vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+264.2%+$46.25
Sabres vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$26.35
Sabres vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Avalanche vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$31
Kings vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$38
Blue Jackets vs. Blackhawksbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Stars vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Capitals vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Predators vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+197.5%+$98.77
Utah vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+163.2%+$24.47
Predators vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Sabres vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Canadiens vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Bruins vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+148.1%+$37.02
Capitals vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+81.8%+$9
Rangers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+120.4%+$12.5
Blue Jackets vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Flyers vs. Krakenbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Maple Leafs vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+141.4%+$35.34
Capitals vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+373.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+203%+$24.36
Maduro out by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+326.4%+$39.17
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+592%+$118.39
All 3 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+257.1%+$54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dubai Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Otto Virtanenbacked Virtanen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+143.9%+$143.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+112.8%+$45.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iowa State Cyclones vs. BYU Cougarsbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$30.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$70
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.