NHL · resolved market
Flyers vs. Kraken
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49dad62d526b12af3a60e09806e247681ee105f0f96b0c7fc00d140ea52c1638
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Krakenof Flyers, Kraken
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $410,070
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $409,016
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $410,070 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 356 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Flyers | 56c | 113,267$63,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,543.89 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Kraken | 44c | 57,368$25,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,199.75 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Kraken | 66c | 56,859$37,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,108.02 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…b3e4backed Kraken | 44c | 48,173$21,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,977.13 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Flyers | 56c | 20,995$11,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,822.84 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Flyers | 28c | 17,753$4,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,940.63 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Flyers | 36c | 16,110$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,799.59 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Kraken | 43c | 13,464$5,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,682.1 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Kraken | 42c | 12,500$5,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,249.91 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Kraken | 43c | 11,913$5,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,790.68 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Kraken | 46c | 11,126$5,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,953.55 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Kraken | 43c | 10,436$4,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,953.01 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Flyers | 58c | 9,766$5,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,640.28 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Flyers | 35c | 8,345$2,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,917.42 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Flyers | 24c | 7,322$1,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,751.99 | 324 | 51.2%166 W · 158 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Flyers | 51c | 6,740$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,450.29 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Flyers | 56c | 5,218$2,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,922.34 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Kraken | 45c | 5,000$2,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,775 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Kraken | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Flyers | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Flyers | 11c | 4,981$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.22 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3107…63b9backed Flyers | 27c | 4,260$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.2 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33f6…e0debacked Kraken | 43c | 4,026$1,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,294.89 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed Kraken | 49c | 3,995$1,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,051.07 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Kraken | 49c | 3,569$1,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,821.05 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Flyers | 57c | 3,518$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Flyers | 57c | 3,447$1,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,951.56 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Flyers | 55c | 3,286$1,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,807.23 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Flyers | 56c | 3,216$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,801.21 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Kraken | 71c | 3,131$2,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.06 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Kraken | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650.22 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Flyers | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Kraken | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19e7…1d2bbacked Flyers | 55c | 2,750$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Kraken | 43c | 2,640$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.8 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Flyers | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6736…0222backed Kraken | 43c | 2,499$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dbe…134ebacked Flyers | 58c | 2,499$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578f…5570backed Flyers | 58c | 2,489$1,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23e8…4baebacked Kraken | 43c | 2,489$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df8…6898backed Flyers | 58c | 2,459$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4271…06eebacked Kraken | 43c | 2,459$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,401.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21cf…20afbacked Kraken | 43c | 2,429$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1841…7be5backed Flyers | 58c | 2,429$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf063…64dbbacked Flyers | 58c | 2,399$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc75…46febacked Kraken | 43c | 2,399$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Flyers | 20c | 2,299$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.46 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Flyers | 1c | 2,222$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Flyers | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Flyers | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed Kraken | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Flyers | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.97 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Flyers | 55c | 1,835$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.07 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Flyers | 55c | 1,800$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…c3eabacked Flyers | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Flyers | 12c | 1,669$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.69 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Flyers | 9c | 1,666$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.94 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Flyers | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Flyers | 19c | 1,381$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.07 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -20.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66c9…2e68backed Kraken | 73c | 1,363$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.05 | 47 | 78.7%37 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Kraken | 43c | 1,300$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Flyers | 54c | 1,280$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.15 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Kraken | 67c | 1,250$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.48 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Kraken | 55c | 1,219$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.94 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Kraken | 42c | 1,200$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.99 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Flyers | 30c | 1,182$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Flyers | 55c | 1,125$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.75 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd40b…429abacked Flyers | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.69 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Kraken | 43c | 1,088$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.52 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Flyers | 31c | 1,032$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.34 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Flyers | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…3061backed Flyers | 27c | 930$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.1 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf44…4040backed Flyers | 54c | 926$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc760…a21abacked Kraken | 45c | 920$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Kraken | 44c | 904$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…e1b9backed Flyers | 55c | 880$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Flyers | 59c | 854.61$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Flyers | 54c | 824.23$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.08 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Flyers | 30c | 801.59$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.82 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Kraken | 44c | 800$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…d38ebacked Kraken | 42c | 759.99$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.79 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Flyers | 56c | 750$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d9…d51ebacked Kraken | 46c | 750$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c2…5f79backed Kraken | 46c | 710$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.4 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Kraken | 64c | 658.54$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.21 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Kraken | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.17 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Kraken | 44c | 646$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.92 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Flyers | 49c | 643.2$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.75 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Flyers | 11c | 606.82$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.55 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Flyers | 56c | 600$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 222 | 48.2%107 W · 115 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Kraken | 45c | 599.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.99 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fa…ec67backed Flyers | 55c | 580$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -4.2wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Kraken | 45c | 551$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.05 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Flyers | 25c | 523.34$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.5 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed Kraken | 43c | 511.63$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.63 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | +13.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Flyers | 27c | 509.99$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 598 | 52.3%313 W · 285 L | +34.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…0e32backed Flyers | 60c | 504.06$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Flyers | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Flyers | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 209 | 51.7%108 W · 101 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Kraken | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flyers vs. Krakenthis page
- Flyers vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Flyers (-1.5)Kraken won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.