NFL · resolved market
Spread: Bills (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x951e02f4594090123c416874516b90048c09557bf4a9d5b12f4a5f5c629fd97c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brownsof Bills, Browns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $195,603
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $197,822
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $195,603 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Bills | 49c | 55,444$27,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,237.15 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Bills | 50c | 28,406$14,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,203 | 169 | 55%93 W · 76 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Browns | 51c | 26,413$13,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,942.31 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Browns | 51c | 26,352$13,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,912.38 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Browns | 50c | 21,000$10,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,444.72 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Browns | 50c | 20,790$10,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,366.88 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Bills | 49c | 13,698$6,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,712.24 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +9.7wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bills | 49c | 11,691$5,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,728.58 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Browns | 52c | 11,541$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,540.8 | 181 | 40.9%74 W · 107 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Browns | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Bills | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Browns | 51c | 9,000$4,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,410 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Bills | 50c | 8,121$4,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,059.27 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Bills | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Browns | 50c | 6,400$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Browns | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Browns | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe548…a51abacked Bills | 47c | 5,008$2,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,353.53 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 40cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Bills | 51c | 5,008$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.88 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Browns | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 184 | 35.9%66 W · 118 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Browns | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Browns | 49c | 3,860$1,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,970.92 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bills | 48c | 3,750$1,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,808.91 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Bills | 49c | 3,449$1,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bills | 50c | 3,411$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.04 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…1862backed Bills | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -6.5wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -50%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bills | 49c | 2,701$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.49 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Browns | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Bills | 48c | 2,065$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.72 | 168 | 60.7%102 W · 66 L | +18.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Browns | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -12.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bills | 46c | 1,887$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.83 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Bills | 49c | 1,531$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…e56fbacked Bills | 50c | 1,407$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.72 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d7…c17bbacked Browns | 52c | 1,400$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…adc6backed Browns | 55c | 1,057$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.99 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Bills | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Bills | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Browns | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Bills | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7546…3a91backed Browns | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Bills | 51c | 988.24$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +7.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Browns | 51c | 700$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Browns | 49c | 676.61$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.82 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Browns | 51c | 647.41$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.41 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Bills | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 136 | 41.2%56 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Browns | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Bills | 50c | 596.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4d…f0b8backed Browns | 54c | 500$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Browns | 52c | 430$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.4 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a4…adcdbacked Bills | 46c | 410$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Browns | 33c | 400$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b80…657fbacked Browns | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Browns | 51c | 389.19$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.26 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Bills | 60c | 316.44$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.57 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…18debacked Browns | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35de…b39abacked Bills | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Browns | 79c | 292$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.22 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Bills | 50c | 254.05$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Bills | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 243 | 52.7%128 W · 115 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Bills | 49c | 207.84$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.98 | 363 | 41.9%152 W · 211 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57eb…3a67backed Bills | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Browns | 51c | 203.92$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.92 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Browns | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Bills | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 206 | 32%66 W · 140 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44ac…a025backed Bills | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x544e…2d9fbacked Browns | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1977…32e8backed Bills | 50c | 198.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 199 | 48.2%96 W · 103 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x036a…4c9abacked Bills | 50c | 198.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Browns | 52c | 177$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.74 | 245 | 47.8%117 W · 128 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe64…873ebacked Browns | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1da…bdc2backed Browns | 51c | 137$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Bills | 49c | 132$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.68 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Bills | 58c | 122$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.32 | 356 | 48%171 W · 185 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Browns | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Browns | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0676…1f43backed Bills | 36c | 111.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x496c…941cbacked Bills | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bills | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0915…d08abacked Bills | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Bills | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Browns | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6941…efd5backed Browns | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Browns | 49c | 95.1$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…6078backed Browns | 54c | 93.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.15 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ae…2103backed Browns | 52c | 89.94$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -5.4wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Bills | 59c | 85.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…779dbacked Bills | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Browns | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a4…a82dbacked Bills | 50c | 71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Bills | 51c | 68.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.35 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54c1…812fbacked Bills | 50c | 66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed Browns | 51c | 62$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Bills | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 169 | 40.8%69 W · 100 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed Browns | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | +11.8wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ff…1eb6backed Browns | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66bc…c341backed Browns | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Bills | 46c | 57.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 346 | 52.9%183 W · 163 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Browns | 50c | 53.95$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.97 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Browns | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdb…7a7abacked Bills | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bills (-10.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Bills (-6.5)Bills won
- Bills vs. BrownsBills won
- Bills vs. Browns: 1H MoneylineBills won
- Bills vs. Browns: 1H O/U 20.5Over won
- Bills vs. Browns: 1H O/U 21.5Over won
- Bills vs. Browns: O/U 40.5Over won
- Bills vs. Browns: O/U 41.5Over won
- Bills vs. Browns: O/U 42.5Over won
- Bills vs. Browns: O/U 43.5Under won
- Spread: Bills (-8.5)Browns won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.