TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1977…32e8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
323
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Middle East, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 56 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST19948.2%96 W · 103 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 199 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Texans (-6.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+154%+$308
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+69.5%+$81.99
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$105
Chargers vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$103.39
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$135.99
Spread: Eagles (-6.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$101.24
Spread: Bills (-1.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+112.8%+$116.59
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+499.8%+$1,016.6
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$102
Spread: Rams (-10.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Packers vs. Vikingsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+185.7%+$185.71
Dolphins vs. Patriotsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+143.9%+$143.9
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Chiefs vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+218.4%+$207.47
Chargers vs. Broncosbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Cardinals vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+31.6%+$31.58
Jets vs. Billsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Cowboys vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+170.3%+$170.27
Titans vs. Jaguarsbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Saints vs. Falconsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Browns vs. Bengalsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+300%+$300
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 199 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2025, EDT4436.4%16 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Florida win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+1,248%+$431.43
Will Houston win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.92
Will Duke win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$80.94
Will Chaz Lanier win the Wooden Award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT+68.4%+$17.77
Will Tennessee win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.68
Will Houston make the 2025 Final Four?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$65
Will Alabama make the 2025 Final Four?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Will Duke make the 2025 Final Four?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$44
Will Purdue win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.2
Will Michigan win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.67
Will Arizona win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.8
Will a 14, 15, or 16 seed win in first round of NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$186.41
Will Florida win the SEC Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.42
Will Duke win the ACC conference tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.33
Will Michigan State win the Big Ten conference tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT+34%+$7.62
Will UCLA win the Big Ten conference tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.45
Stony Brook vs. Delawarebacked Stony Brook · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST-100%-$13.54
Southern vs. Florida A&Mbacked Florida A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Grambling State vs. Bethune-Cookmanbacked Grambling State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$16.5
Illinois vs. Michiganbacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST-100%-$27.97
Wisconsin vs. Michigan Statebacked Michigan State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST+62.2%+$7.55
Arizona vs. Iowa Statebacked Iowa State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST+53.7%+$17.47
St. Joseph's vs. Fordhambacked St. Joseph's · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+42.7%+$14.97
UCLA vs. Purduebacked UCLA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$15.5
Princeton vs. Columbiabacked Princeton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+56.2%+$16.43
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2025, EDT2737%10 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-30.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rick Hatchett die in Season 3 of the White Lotus?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT+137.6%+$24.32
Will "Anora" win the most Oscars in the 2025 Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+75.4%+$21.5
Will "Anora" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+66.7%+$40
Will "The Brutalist" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$16.94
Will Demi Moore win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$329.97
Will Brady Corbet win Best Director at the 2025 Oscars for "The Brutalist"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Sean Baker win Best Director at the 2025 Oscars for "Anora"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+88.7%+$47
Will "No Other Land" win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+56.3%+$9
Will Zoe Saldaña win Best Supporting Actress at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+25%+$11.33
Will "Anora" win Best Original Screenplay at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST+42.9%+$7.5
Will "The Wild Robot" win Best Animated Feature at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST-100%-$16.25
Will "Shōgun" win Best Cast in a Drama Series at the 2025 SAG Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST-100%-$19.56
Will "Wicked" win Best Cast in a Motion Picture at the 2025 SAG Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST-100%-$92.24
Will "Anora" win Best Cast in a Motion Picture at the 2025 SAG Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST+56.3%+$18
Will "Emilia Pérez" win Best Cast in a Motion Picture at the 2025 SAG Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST-100%-$76.81
Will Cynthia Erivo win Best Actor at the 2025 SAG Award for "Wicked"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST-100%-$15.07
Will Kieran Culkin win Best Actor at the 2025 SAG Award for "A Real Pain"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST-100%-$89
Will "Anora" win Best Film at the 2025 BAFTA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST-100%-$52
Will "The Brutalist" win Best Film at the 2025 BAFTA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST+79.6%+$84.52
Will "Conclave" win Best Film at the 2025 BAFTA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST+253%+$288.84
Will Marianne Jean-Baptiste win Best Actress at the 2025 BAFTA Awards for "Hard Truths"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST-100%-$61.5
Will Adrien Brody win Best Actor at the 2025 BAFTA Awards for "The Brutalist"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST-100%-$124.98
Will Demi Moore win Best Actress at the 2025 BAFTA Awards for "The Substance"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST-100%-$69
Will Ralph Finnes win Best Actor at the 2025 BAFTA Awards for "Conclave"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST-100%-$56
Will Sean Baker win Best Director at the 2025 BAFTA Awards for "Anora"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2025, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+27.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$304
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$80.99
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.5
Knicks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST+40.6%+$54.49
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+40.8%+$14.5
Celtics vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST+194.1%+$33
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Spurs vs. Pelicansbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20.5
Clippers vs. Pistonsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Hornets vs. Lakersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST+614.3%+$258
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST+400%+$88
Lakers vs. 76ersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$46.95
Warriors vs. Kingsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$64.02
All 14 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2025, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-28.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump remove majority of reciprocal tariffs before 90 day deadline? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.2
Will Trump remove Harvard tax exempt status?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.16
Will Japan counter tariff the U.S. in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.9
Will Trump remove 10% blanket tariff in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.25
Will Mexico counter tariff the U.S. in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$27.88
Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$68.46
Record low border encounters in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.2
Kilmar Abrego Garcia released from custody by next Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$9.6
Will Trump lower tariffs on EU in April? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.2
Will Trump reduce majority of tariffs in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+239%+$28.2
Trump pauses any reciprocal tariff before Wednesday? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.64
Will Trump announce a general Tariff on imports on April 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT+282.5%+$48.68
Will Donald Trump dance in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$69.49
25% aluminum tariff in effect before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
All 14 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2025, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+121.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+1,308.5%+$650.3
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$602Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$602.03
Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.4
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$62.23
Will the Liberal Party win between 41% and 44% of the vote in the 2025 Canadian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$48.8
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$110
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,219Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+28.9%+$351.97
Will the Liberal Party win by 50–74 seats?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Will Mark Carney lose his seat?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+285.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Michigan (-1.5)backed Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$102
Notre Dame vs. Miamibacked Notre Dame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$84.01
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-37.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the NHL 4 Nations Face-Off?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST+100%+$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jerome Powell say "Tightening" during the March meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+77.5%+$26.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Corey Conners win The 2025 Masters?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$937Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$936.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham win on 2025-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$88
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Intel x TSMC joint venture announced before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$65.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.