TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Brentford win on 2025-02-26?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$68,219
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$79,134

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,219 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3045…8f78backed Yes48c15,967$7,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,627.4712037.5%45 W · 75 L-15.8wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-30.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No51c7,911$4,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,901.7379639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Yes71c6,082$4,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,328.5614732.7%48 W · 99 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed No52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4005747.4%27 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes45c2,222$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009235.9%33 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked No56c2,141$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.911548.7%56 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes56c1,578$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88814156.7%80 W · 61 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed No59c1,530$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.567458.1%43 W · 31 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32bd…c195backed Yes44c1,500$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.99850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d9…3bf4backed Yes44c1,500$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes44c1,374$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.5279650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x42e0…0578backed No56c1,250$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5502055%11 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No55c1,140$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.0616660.8%101 W · 65 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6894…a7cfbacked No55c1,100$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+119.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No55c1,080$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.6483459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Yes47c999.99$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4655536.4%20 W · 35 L-0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9edc…a0c0backed No56c891.97$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.47366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2b2…66d8backed Yes48c842.68$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.22933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-40.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes75c842.67$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63228070%196 W · 84 L+49.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+54.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes48c688.22$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.638230.5%25 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-29.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x034b…8bc0backed No54c596.41$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.372937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-23.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x78ad…b32ebacked No29c550.68$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.98560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+35.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e62…ec52backed No56c505.69$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94eb…37e6backed Yes71c500$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3552161.9%13 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked No30c500$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3504146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x25eb…8ce7backed Yes44c459$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.5417447.7%83 W · 91 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x641b…6116backed Yes46c454.6$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.913545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No35c449.41$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.1269772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Yes49c411.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006737.3%25 W · 42 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-30.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No55c408.99$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.181559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4475…0d28backed No56c400$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1762100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes72c361.74$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.5637652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Yes45c354.99$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.9840135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0560…d77dbacked Yes46c324.3$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.182744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked No54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13811761.5%72 W · 45 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes45c280.26$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.2290751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8bf…c049backed Yes78c256.41$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004346.5%20 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbddd…8559backed Yes45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+62.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf92…37eabacked Yes70c217.77$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.552334.8%8 W · 15 L-4.6wins-0.20per pick55cpaid-41.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Yes45c216.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3614659.6%87 W · 59 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4407…8f2bbacked No55c216.36$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.361741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-33.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd589…c946backed No52c203$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9234251.8%177 W · 165 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb5b…69ebbacked Yes48c199.69$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9514441%59 W · 85 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed No54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1932737.6%123 W · 204 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb6c…e44fbacked No56c178$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.327159.2%42 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes43c161.76$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.5640640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2f1…f229backed Yes48c156.25$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757949.4%39 W · 40 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ef7…b0debacked No53c154.72$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.728752.9%46 W · 41 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a41…88d9backed Yes73c136.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe985…8f5ebacked No53c133.79$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.882100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+61%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23f1…e733backed No53c125$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.753100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+109.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7efa…acbebacked Yes47c125$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5118…c9e7backed Yes49c124.55$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0717…cda4backed Yes49c121.84$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-55.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No55c119$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.9365557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x34c5…f2afbacked Yes48c116.67$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Yes51c115.44$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7538645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05ff…b701backed Yes44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506544.6%29 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc41f…a6babacked No53c110.25$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.82450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd47…8277backed Yes45c109.1$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499949.5%49 W · 50 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes46c107.84$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012053.3%64 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x789e…c510backed Yes48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bd4…8643backed Yes48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503551.4%18 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked No56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4414754.4%80 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Yes45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4526054.2%141 W · 119 L+1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked No56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a4f…c4f2backed No56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447146.5%33 W · 38 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5f5…94bebacked No55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6173…4258backed Yes46c99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.545026%13 W · 37 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-29%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd388…c819backed Yes48c97.88$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed Yes44c94.5$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.586854.4%37 W · 31 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-20.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No55c92$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.41,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67b8…2449backed Yes49c82.1$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406556.9%37 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0d…f737backed Yes48c77$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bb8…7471backed No44c67$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5214062.9%88 W · 52 L+16.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+66.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x67da…cef0backed Yes48c66.72$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb567…fe68backed Yes47c63.21$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.51333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8854…48f7backed Yes48c63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x445a…4acbbacked Yes48c63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36a8…8718backed Yes48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302548%12 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes48c52.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2542755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1977…32e8backed Yes43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3f7…c30bbacked Yes44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e4a…9fe7backed No57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No54c44.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7359958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8655…a314backed Yes48c44.6$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.41650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cf6…7ec7backed No53c44.53$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.93366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+32.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cdc…248abacked No52c44$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.12250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4eb…161fbacked No53c43.81$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.59450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f7f…105bbacked Yes49c43.67$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.430%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa41d…decfbacked No53c43.34$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.37366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+74%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27e2…b89abacked Yes47c43.34$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37a4…01c9backed No53c43.3$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.352100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+57.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5df…9ce6backed Yes47c43.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.35366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+37%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x086a…e0b2backed No52c43.13$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.72100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f9b…4193backed No53c43.02$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.225100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+118.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x00ea…f807backed Yes48c42.79$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0e6…7358backed Yes47c42.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204535.6%16 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No76c42.09$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.166031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.