TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x00ea…f807

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
49
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: College Football, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 53 out of 100; worst MLB at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2025, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$27.17
Bucks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.05
Nets vs. Bullsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.7
Heat vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST+85.2%+$19.59
76ers vs. Pistonsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Grizzlies vs. Spursbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST+64.9%+$19.8
Thunder vs. Cavaliersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2025, EST-100%-$21.5
Hawks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+66.7%+$18.83
Heat vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST-100%-$26.9
Pacers vs. Bullsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST+72.4%+$18.54
Hawks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST+108.3%+$19.96
76ers vs. Magicbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST-100%-$18.42
All 12 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-43.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.34per pick51cpaid-66.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Chiefsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$24.25
Buccaneers vs. Chargersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+138.1%+$27.2
Colts vs. Patriotsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+63.9%+$16.25
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$25.83
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-03-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$22.35
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Algeria win on 2025-12-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$953Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$952.8
Will Uzbekistan vs. Uruguay end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,025Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+37%+$378.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brentford win on 2025-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20.54
Will West Ham win on 2024-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST-100%-$17
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fresno State vs. Colorado Statebacked Colorado State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$516Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$1,096.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
South Dakota State Jackrabbits vs. South Dakota Coyotesbacked South Dakota Coyotes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$755Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+138.1%+$1,042.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$423Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$422.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will St Mirren FC win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$757Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$757.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Lorient vs. Stade Brestois 29 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,081Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,080.62
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.