MLB · resolved market
Blue Jays vs. Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x868f649f73da6e89a8b564068f14943f9a0e611482ad8d70155c44608a6c3f06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jaysof Blue Jays, Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $375,269
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $395,477
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $375,269 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Blue Jays | 45c | 231,888$104,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127,307.4 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Guardians | 55c | 88,888$48,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,888.4 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Guardians | 55c | 59,324$32,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,456.03 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Guardians | 55c | 48,635$26,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,727.25 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Blue Jays | 45c | 19,635$8,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,799.25 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…b3d7backed Guardians | 43c | 13,106$5,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,606.12 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Guardians | 36c | 11,230$4,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,004.56 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe56d…b306backed Blue Jays | 50c | 9,999$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,999.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7657…a5b9backed Guardians | 50c | 9,996$4,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,998 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Guardians | 55c | 9,768$5,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,371.53 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Guardians | 55c | 7,321$4,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,026.58 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Guardians | 54c | 6,884$3,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,695.68 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Guardians | 38c | 6,480$2,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,468.39 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Blue Jays | 47c | 6,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,199.97 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Guardians | 54c | 5,318$2,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,882.79 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Guardians | 20c | 5,233$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.7 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Guardians | 17c | 4,672$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.22 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Guardians | 35c | 4,061$1,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.73 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Guardians | 52c | 2,909$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Blue Jays | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Guardians | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.99 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Guardians | 56c | 2,273$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.72 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Blue Jays | 45c | 2,159$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.56 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5be6…c003backed Blue Jays | 49c | 2,061$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Guardians | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Blue Jays | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.99 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6f…a572backed Blue Jays | 50c | 1,820$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Blue Jays | 60c | 1,631$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.88 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5b…e79dbacked Blue Jays | 48c | 1,364$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.65 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Guardians | 50c | 1,290$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.99 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…ed7ebacked Blue Jays | 76c | 1,125$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.04 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9e…8529backed Blue Jays | 48c | 1,039$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08e1…8156backed Guardians | 51c | 1,039$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Guardians | 52c | 1,033$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6256…1a00backed Guardians | 51c | 1,022$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Blue Jays | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed00…f47abacked Guardians | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Blue Jays | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Blue Jays | 49c | 999.99$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.99 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa9…1b54backed Blue Jays | 48c | 896.09$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.97 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Blue Jays | 45c | 851$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.05 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Guardians | 55c | 836.14$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.88 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa203…56e8backed Guardians | 50c | 820$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226d…f49ebacked Blue Jays | 40c | 734.69$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.69 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Guardians | 57c | 715.8$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.01 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72cf…69aebacked Guardians | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Guardians | 40c | 664.54$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.87 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Blue Jays | 60c | 609$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.86 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Guardians | 39c | 609$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.82 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Blue Jays | 68c | 584.24$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.76 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Guardians | 53c | 544.19$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.03 | 991 | 49.9%495 W · 496 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Guardians | 38c | 521.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Blue Jays | 50c | 502.54$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.54 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65d4…4e71backed Blue Jays | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Guardians | 2c | 500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…095cbacked Guardians | 57c | 462.49$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.62 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff24…76c1backed Blue Jays | 49c | 451.02$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.02 | 93 | 32.3%30 W · 63 L | -16.8wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Blue Jays | 44c | 399.99$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.99 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Guardians | 51c | 389.25$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Blue Jays | 44c | 372.27$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Guardians | 34c | 359.14$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.61 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Guardians | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Guardians | 13c | 253.8$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Blue Jays | 44c | 248.14$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.96 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Guardians | 50c | 220.57$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Guardians | 9c | 213.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Blue Jays | 48c | 209$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.68 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Blue Jays | 47c | 205.34$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.26 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Blue Jays | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…c6debacked Blue Jays | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 122 | 67.2%82 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Guardians | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Blue Jays | 45c | 199.98$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Blue Jays | 50c | 198.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.92 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Guardians | 55c | 182$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec4…5bc8backed Guardians | 54c | 160$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90d1…935fbacked Blue Jays | 45c | 155.53$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x142d…dd52backed Guardians | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…0427backed Blue Jays | 47c | 148$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Blue Jays | 43c | 141$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.03 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Blue Jays | 49c | 139.98$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.39 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Blue Jays | 43c | 128.53$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.26 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Guardians | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Blue Jays | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Guardians | 54c | 124.68$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.32 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c99…2731backed Blue Jays | 47c | 124$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb597…2949backed Blue Jays | 44c | 123.18$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…1cf5backed Guardians | 54c | 120$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Guardians | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Guardians | 26c | 117.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.46 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked Blue Jays | 45c | 112.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.33 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Blue Jays | 45c | 111$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.05 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Blue Jays | 48c | 109.61$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Blue Jays | 44c | 105.23$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.93 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Guardians | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3b…f625backed Guardians | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Blue Jays | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 179 | 54.7%98 W · 81 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Blue Jays | 43c | 90.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.44 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Guardians | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…6e30backed Blue Jays | 47c | 87$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…7d2bbacked Blue Jays | 56c | 83.93$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.93 | 32 | 81.3%26 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 71cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.