TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x605a…c6de

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
349
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: WNBA, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 58 out of 100; worst NBA at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST17454.6%95 W · 79 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 174 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+96.1%+$24.49
Pacers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+26.6%+$4.2
Cavaliers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11.83
Magic vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$71.26
Raptors vs. Hornetsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+78.5%+$84.86
Clippers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+63.6%+$11.27
Wizards vs. 76ersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.48
Nuggets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$81.99
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+39.3%+$16.6
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$41.08
Raptors vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$28.67
Wizards vs. Hornetsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$67.13
Pelicans vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+25.4%+$3.44
Mavericks vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+101.8%+$11.6
Pacers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+43.6%+$12.45
Hornets vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+27.2%+$6.85
Rockets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+173.4%+$33.62
Bucks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$30.32
Heat vs. Knicksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$16.07
Raptors vs. Netsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$39.17
Trail Blazers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$41.43
Suns vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+38.6%+$24.49
Wizards vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$81.31
Mavericks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+68.4%+$35.34
Celtics vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$17.38
Showing 25 of 174 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 5, 2025, EDT12267.2%82 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 122 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Yankees vs. Astrosbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+25%+$4
Braves vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+25%+$4
Blue Jays vs. Redsbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT+32%+$9.7
Rangers vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Cardinals vs. Redsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.4
Pirates vs. Cardinalsbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Rangers vs. Royalsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
Tigers vs. Twinsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.5
Marlins vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$11
Cubs vs. Blue Jaysbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$21.12
Marlins vs. Guardiansbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+25%+$10
Pirates vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$15.6
Cubs vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT+41.3%+$52.6
Royals vs. Twinsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.5
Cubs vs. Cardinalsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT+37%+$21.6
Athletics vs. Oriolesbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$17.6
Angels vs. Tigersbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+43.5%+$36.4
Rays vs. Marinersbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.04
Mets vs. Brewersbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.6
Guardians vs. White Soxbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+25%+$6
Marlins vs. Bravesbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.5
Royals vs. Red Soxbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+67.1%+$52.2
Guardians vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.3
Braves vs. Royalsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.5
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Showing 25 of 122 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT3473.5%25 W · 9 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick62cpaid+18.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
WNBA — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mercury vs. Acesbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+67.2%+$100.5
Lynx vs. Mercurybacked Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$173.99
Aces vs. Feverbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Fever vs. Acesbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$66
Liberty vs. Mercurybacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$154
Storm vs. Acesbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+38.7%+$111.7
Fever vs. Dreambacked Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$377.79
Lynx vs. Valkyriesbacked Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$11.1
Mercury vs. Libertybacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+142.4%+$234.99
Aces vs. Stormbacked Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$70
Dream vs. Feverbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+87.5%+$14
Fever vs. Dreambacked Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+49.5%+$33.1
Dream vs. Sunbacked Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.05
Lynx vs. Valkyriesbacked Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+61.9%+$15.3
Wings vs. Valkyriesbacked Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$16.5
Mercury vs. Mysticsbacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+34%+$12.7
Liberty vs. Valkyriesbacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.3
Mystics vs. Sparksbacked Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$6.6
Sky vs. Mercurybacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT+25%+$20
Mystics vs. Libertybacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT+25%+$100
Sun vs. Libertybacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$35
Wings vs Sparksbacked Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$16
Mercury vs Valkyriesbacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$30.4
Sun vs Mysticsbacked Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.1
Storm vs Dreambacked Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$66
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST1369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vikings vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$38.09
Eagles vs. Commandersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+47.1%+$6.4
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+148.9%+$280.6
Vikings vs. Cowboysbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+93.3%+$36.2
Colts vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+51.7%+$56.91
Ravens vs. Billsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.6
Chiefs vs. Chargersbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
Cowboys vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+37.3%+$32.6
Bears vs. Chiefs backed Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$31
Eagles vs. Jets backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+36.6%+$13.4
Patriots vs. Giants backed Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Steelers vs. Panthers backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+65.3%+$7.9
Bengals vs. Commanders backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$17.5
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-33%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$45.97
Blues vs. Panthersbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+100%+$49
Kings vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$12.82
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$13
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.99
All 5 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Aug 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Appalachian State vs. Charlottebacked Appalachian State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$10.56
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.