WNBA · resolved market
Storm vs Dream
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd167ee297497108a89dab1a7d24ca81a6dc094de63d71e5dd9cb11745e526a10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stormof Storm, Dream
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,896
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,148
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,896 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Dream | 50c | 3,916$1,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,965.84 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Dream | 50c | 2,794$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.8 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Dream | 54c | 2,666$1,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,446.27 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Storm | 49c | 2,554$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.54 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -10.3wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Storm | 60c | 2,363$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.48 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Storm | 48c | 2,361$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.16 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Storm | 44c | 1,874$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.34 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Storm | 45c | 1,602$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Storm | 43c | 1,501$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.08 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Dream | 59c | 1,494$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.98 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Dream | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Dream | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Dream | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Dream | 55c | 830$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.5 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Storm | 46c | 799.75$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.37 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +9.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0f77…fdb8backed Dream | 25c | 730$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Dream | 56c | 699.98$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.99 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Storm | 79c | 550$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Storm | 49c | 544.04$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.13 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed Storm | 42c | 442.41$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Dream | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Dream | 57c | 313.78$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.86 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Dream | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Storm | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.06 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Dream | 50c | 280.53$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Dream | 55c | 236.36$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -8.3wins | -0.27per pick | 65cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Storm | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Storm | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Dream | 57c | 202.28$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.62 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Storm | 41c | 201$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.59 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…c6debacked Dream | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Dream | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Storm | 42c | 199.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Dream | 40c | 192.72$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.37 | 320 | 47.8%153 W · 167 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Dream | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Dream | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Storm | 68c | 134.29$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Dream | 55c | 132.42$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.83 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -5.8wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Dream | 56c | 108.88$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.97 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Dream | 27c | 108$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Dream | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d8…183ebacked Dream | 54c | 92.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Storm | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Dream | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Storm | 55c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.51 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Dream | 51c | 47.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Storm | 69c | 44.73$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb39e…5182backed Storm | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Storm | 43c | 44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2388…2937backed Storm | 56c | 39.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c0…aa0cbacked Dream | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d3…a2b9backed Dream | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1319…db4ebacked Dream | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…ac8dbacked Storm | 45c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0cee…1832backed Dream | 55c | 22.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Storm | 55c | 18.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.