MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf80d8f1ae494f916164f3599921c1442633eba38829b3c02d82ad3ea091d1c2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athleticsof Athletics, Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,669
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,840
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,669 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 483 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Orioles | 52c | 9,944$5,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,145.21 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Athletics | 48c | 5,300$2,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,756 | 1,159 | 49.3%571 W · 588 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc5…ba19backed Athletics | 49c | 3,070$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,565.7 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d57…d7ffbacked Orioles | 51c | 2,550$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.5 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Orioles | 51c | 2,254$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.77 | 1,361 | 50.8%691 W · 670 L | +13.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Athletics | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Athletics | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Orioles | 51c | 1,750$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.98 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Athletics | 70c | 1,157$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.67 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Orioles | 32c | 1,083$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.91 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea93…8159backed Orioles | 52c | 1,031$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc145…4ce3backed Athletics | 49c | 1,031$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.61 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Orioles | 50c | 1,000$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.67 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Orioles | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Orioles | 67c | 976.63$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.84 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Athletics | 61c | 899.74$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.38 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Athletics | 50c | 885.14$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.14 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Orioles | 50c | 834.7$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.35 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Athletics | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.33 | 672 | 48.5%326 W · 346 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Orioles | 38c | 811.57$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.32 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Orioles | 52c | 769.25$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.01 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Athletics | 62c | 694.95$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.08 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Athletics | 49c | 684.96$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.96 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2209…823ebacked Orioles | 52c | 684.62$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7e…0fbfbacked Athletics | 49c | 677.55$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.55 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Athletics | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 384 | 57.3%220 W · 164 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Athletics | 67c | 470.83$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.88 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 48c | 457.35$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.63 | 9,891 | 46.4%4,594 W · 5,297 L | +40.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Athletics | 47c | 341.06$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.76 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Athletics | 50c | 320$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Orioles | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 633 | 52.8%334 W · 299 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Athletics | 48c | 315$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.8 | 1,452 | 49.9%725 W · 727 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Athletics | 48c | 311.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.24 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Athletics | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Orioles | 69c | 270$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.3 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Orioles | 50c | 258$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 5,240 | 56.8%2,974 W · 2,266 L | +130.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Athletics | 40c | 245$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Athletics | 77c | 242.55$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.79 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…f177backed Orioles | 52c | 242.29$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.99 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Orioles | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf12c…a8abbacked Orioles | 52c | 228.84$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…edbabacked Orioles | 49c | 223.1$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Athletics | 48c | 209$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.68 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Athletics | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Athletics | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Athletics | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7752…490bbacked Athletics | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe52…8d34backed Orioles | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ad…afb5backed Orioles | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4258…2612backed Orioles | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -8.5wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -29%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…b555backed Athletics | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…88e6backed Athletics | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbf…f78fbacked Orioles | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -6.6wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6caa…d782backed Athletics | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea21…9033backed Orioles | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfa…2fa8backed Athletics | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6f…a521backed Athletics | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0a…bb8ebacked Athletics | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab77…cd04backed Athletics | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46fe…78dabacked Athletics | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +9.3wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +37%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ff…42f7backed Athletics | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…cc30backed Orioles | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9194…cc43backed Athletics | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97cd…1d85backed Athletics | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e5…0bccbacked Athletics | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa393…f478backed Athletics | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x806e…2d21backed Orioles | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -11.2wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…af2cbacked Orioles | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce4f…0170backed Athletics | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf45…413abacked Athletics | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebb…670dbacked Orioles | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79d7…a553backed Orioles | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb65a…3aa3backed Athletics | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1138…be8fbacked Athletics | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda76…0838backed Athletics | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -7.4wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e3…fbbebacked Athletics | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfb…18d9backed Orioles | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x597e…d24cbacked Orioles | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x223e…602bbacked Athletics | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e7…c54abacked Orioles | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa079…ed58backed Athletics | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb79f…8197backed Athletics | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf3…b281backed Orioles | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba6…8340backed Athletics | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…1e7abacked Orioles | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee1…a478backed Orioles | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0900…ced0backed Athletics | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56f5…0071backed Athletics | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f1…a93dbacked Athletics | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc3…1270backed Athletics | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea60…f4f6backed Orioles | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +9.3wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf397…3adfbacked Athletics | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfea…35d3backed Athletics | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x436b…c7ccbacked Athletics | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe96b…3394backed Orioles | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +7.4wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x144b…199ebacked Orioles | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -9.3wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa09e…0883backed Orioles | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fd…1753backed Athletics | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4582…70c6backed Athletics | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33d6…e499backed Orioles | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.