MLB · resolved market
Braves vs. Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb033a26bb4d9f99f0f502115264ed350ff6fa682bfe14f2685e1500a39647c49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bravesof Braves, Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,020,322
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,031,372
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,020,322 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ee1…dae8backed Royals | 41c | 909,683$369,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369,024.55 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Braves | 60c | 300,971$180,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120,388.57 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Braves | 59c | 247,947$146,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,992.51 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Braves | 59c | 138,000$81,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,580 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Braves | 59c | 125,000$73,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,250 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Braves | 59c | 30,000$17,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,300 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Braves | 59c | 27,000$15,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,070 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Braves | 60c | 17,797$10,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,118.8 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Royals | 40c | 11,738$4,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,692.55 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Braves | 60c | 11,000$6,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,450 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Braves | 60c | 10,204$6,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,081.6 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Royals | 40c | 7,500$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Braves | 60c | 6,666$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,666.4 | 991 | 49.9%495 W · 496 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Braves | 60c | 6,422$3,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,585.7 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Braves | 61c | 6,096$3,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,377.4 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Braves | 60c | 5,950$3,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.5 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Braves | 47c | 5,835$2,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,110.42 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Royals | 64c | 5,399$3,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,479.5 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Braves | 61c | 5,226$3,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,038.22 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Royals | 32c | 4,545$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.1 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Royals | 66c | 3,789$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Royals | 39c | 3,200$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Braves | 37c | 3,200$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,027.29 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Royals | 39c | 3,101$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.39 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Royals | 39c | 3,083$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.22 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Royals | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…83ccbacked Braves | 61c | 2,003$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.17 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Royals | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Royals | 40c | 1,700$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.06 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Braves | 61c | 1,683$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.37 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…7a8dbacked Braves | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Braves | 69c | 1,436$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.2 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Braves | 79c | 1,325$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.19 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea8c…ef09backed Royals | 39c | 1,299$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3a…1440backed Royals | 38c | 1,250$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Royals | 40c | 1,193$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.11 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Royals | 8c | 1,009$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.46 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Braves | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae3…fad6backed Braves | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +44%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Royals | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Braves | 61c | 1,000$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Royals | 35c | 970.27$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.01 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Braves | 60c | 897.88$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.66 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x665a…174ebacked Braves | 61c | 849.99$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Royals | 39c | 847.48$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.52 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Royals | 39c | 800$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Braves | 59c | 772.44$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.37 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Braves | 59c | 741$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.81 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Braves | 62c | 725.81$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.81 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Braves | 62c | 719.85$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.54 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd3…1174backed Braves | 74c | 717$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.81 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Royals | 40c | 709.03$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.48 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Royals | 39c | 707$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.73 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x534e…ecfebacked Braves | 69c | 707$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.71 | 274 | 58.8%161 W · 113 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x594f…392cbacked Royals | 39c | 699.96$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Braves | 75c | 693$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.42 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Braves | 69c | 652$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.57 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764d…e977backed Braves | 61c | 650$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Braves | 58c | 649.11$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.63 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Braves | 71c | 634.26$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.99 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…67f0backed Braves | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Royals | 41c | 600$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…aee5backed Braves | 61c | 599.99$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Royals | 21c | 575.59$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.87 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Royals | 41c | 565.85$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.31 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Royals | 40c | 556.63$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.65 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Braves | 78c | 550$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7580…cb71backed Braves | 62c | 543.71$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.03 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe259…b890backed Braves | 73c | 535.84$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.32 | 161 | 62.1%100 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Royals | 39c | 529.97$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.34 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6254…d8b7backed Braves | 62c | 516.42$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.95 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Braves | 62c | 512$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.69 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Royals | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8729…9a8dbacked Royals | 39c | 499.99$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Braves | 60c | 498$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.2 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc352…51e3backed Royals | 40c | 495$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Braves | 59c | 445$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.45 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Braves | 66c | 431.09$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.74 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Braves | 61c | 417.75$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.92 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7322…bb35backed Braves | 61c | 404.41$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.72 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f17…c521backed Royals | 39c | 350$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Braves | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Royals | 42c | 309.45$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Braves | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Royals | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Royals | 39c | 299.96$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.34 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Royals | 38c | 296.57$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.7 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…e15cbacked Royals | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…4a51backed Royals | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Braves | 70c | 254$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.2 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Braves | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Braves | 60c | 245$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Royals | 41c | 239.22$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.25 | 1,086 | 46.2%502 W · 584 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf8…ba0dbacked Royals | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Braves | 73c | 230$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…606cbacked Royals | 40c | 228.32$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.33 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57f8…1bc3backed Royals | 40c | 208.33$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.33 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Braves | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Royals | 38c | 199.96$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.99 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Royals | 40c | 191.68$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.67 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.