TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6966…7a8d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
66
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Lol, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 53 out of 100; worst MLB at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2025, EDT4045%18 W · 22 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rays vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$743Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$607.5
Dodgers vs. Redsbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,888Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,888
Rockies vs. Guardiansbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$502Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$501.6
Blue Jays vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$884Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$884
Pirates vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$812Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$812.2
Marlins vs. Cardinalsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+150%+$540
Red Sox vs. Twinsbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,040Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$960
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,060Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$940
Rockies vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,181Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,180.67
Braves vs. Royalsbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$600
Nationals vs. Astrosbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$197.2
Phillies vs. White Soxbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,980Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,980
Blue Jays vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$509.99
Mariners vs. Angelsbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$870Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$870
Dodgers vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$780
Guardians vs. Royalsbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$688Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$688
Diamondbacks vs. Piratesbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$111.92
Mariners vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$410
Athletics vs. Astrosbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$960
Cubs vs. White Soxbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,220Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$780
Rockies vs. Oriolesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$450
Red Sox vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,160
Astros vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$177.21
Orioles vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$899Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$651
Padres vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$665.52
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Sep 11, 2025, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
League of Legends: EDward Gaming vs. JD Gamingbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$160.39
League of Legends: Weibo Gaming vs. Bilibili Gamingbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.1
League of Legends: BNK FEARX vs. OKSavingsBank BRIONbacked OKSavingsBank · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$744Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$743.85
League of Legends: JD Gaming vs. Team WEbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$76.98
League of Legends: Hanwha Life Esports vs. KT Rolsterbacked Hanwha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$105
League of Legends: Dplus KIA vs. BNK FEARXbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$99
Will AG.AL win the 2025 League of Legends Esports World Cup Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$43
League of Legends: AG.AL vs. Gen.Gbacked AG.AL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$502Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$501.87
League of Legends: G2 vs. T1backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,309Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$391
League of Legends: Gen.G vs. G2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$264.99
League of Legends: Bilibili Gaming vs. G2backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+206.5%+$250.45
League of Legends: Cloud9 vs. FURIAbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$690
League of Legends: CTBC Flying Oyster vs. GAMbacked CTBC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,263Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+37%+$467.1
All 13 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+70.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+44.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs DKbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$7.7
IEM Cologne: Natus Vincere vs. FaZebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+204.6%+$108.7
League of Legends: Anyone's Legend vs. Bilibili Gamingbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$114.3
All 3 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
F1 Belgian GP: Piastri vs. Norris backed Piastri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,175Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$1,325
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$490
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$35.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Sep 13, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
South Florida vs. Miamibacked South Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 12, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Commanders vs. Packersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$185
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford backed Canelo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$620
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.