MLB · resolved market
Rockies vs. Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e207a3bf477bf805adf2d034b293d69a14dffad56ef983f36a0b7551352b020
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rockiesof Rockies, Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $988,255
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,017,234
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $988,255 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 250 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ee1…dae8backed Rockies | 30c | 715,765$214,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501,481.98 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Guardians | 70c | 269,600$188,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188,719.97 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Guardians | 70c | 120,000$84,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84,000 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Guardians | 70c | 80,000$56,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,000 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Guardians | 70c | 65,895$46,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,126.61 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Guardians | 70c | 53,000$37,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,100 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Guardians | 70c | 34,500$24,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,150 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Guardians | 70c | 25,015$17,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,450.96 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Rockies | 29c | 21,804$6,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,481.17 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Guardians | 70c | 20,000$14,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,000 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Rockies | 30c | 20,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,000 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Guardians | 71c | 20,000$14,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,200 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Guardians | 71c | 15,662$11,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,120 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Guardians | 71c | 15,000$10,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,650 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Guardians | 70c | 12,500$8,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,750 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Guardians | 40c | 12,319$4,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,969.85 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Guardians | 71c | 10,585$7,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,515.34 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Guardians | 13c | 9,113$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.23 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Guardians | 17c | 8,352$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445.39 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Guardians | 70c | 8,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Rockies | 15c | 6,099$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,168.47 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Guardians | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,450 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Guardians | 70c | 4,752$3,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,338.3 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Guardians | 47c | 4,463$2,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,089.44 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Rockies | 45c | 3,919$1,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,147 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Guardians | 70c | 3,500$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Rockies | 31c | 3,200$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,208 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Rockies | 14c | 2,606$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,253.98 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Rockies | 29c | 2,600$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849.92 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8867…4bb7backed Guardians | 71c | 2,479$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760.11 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Rockies | 25c | 2,478$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,855.82 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rockies | 30c | 2,160$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.77 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Rockies | 29c | 2,100$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,491 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Rockies | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.94 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…d5f3backed Guardians | 68c | 1,971$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.28 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Rockies | 67c | 1,720$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.87 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…7a8dbacked Guardians | 70c | 1,687$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.67 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Guardians | 76c | 1,657$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.16 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x689a…531ebacked Guardians | 68c | 1,571$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.28 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46bd…f910backed Rockies | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb586…c203backed Rockies | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Rockies | 31c | 1,499$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.34 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Guardians | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.98 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1a…1f78backed Rockies | 32c | 1,300$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 55cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29c7…5d54backed Rockies | 32c | 1,300$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…5c93backed Rockies | 56c | 1,147$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.66 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.9wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -43%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Rockies | 35c | 1,036$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.4 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f8…5d3dbacked Guardians | 68c | 1,029$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.72 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78f4…ac3dbacked Guardians | 68c | 1,029$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.72 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Rockies | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Rockies | 31c | 999.96$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.97 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Rockies | 70c | 992.68$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.4 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a24…7f6dbacked Guardians | 72c | 931.75$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Rockies | 45c | 879.89$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.57 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…79e6backed Rockies | 71c | 879.84$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.23 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Guardians | 75c | 801.26$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.95 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Rockies | 31c | 799.93$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.95 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…aee5backed Guardians | 71c | 777.85$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.27 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Rockies | 40c | 773.26$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.25 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Rockies | 66c | 759.12$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.79 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Rockies | 30c | 757$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.9 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Rockies | 25c | 746.79$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.1 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Rockies | 31c | 706.98$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.82 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…6474backed Guardians | 69c | 625.12$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe63…4772backed Rockies | 32c | 625$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +53%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Rockies | 63c | 595.53$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.26 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Guardians | 68c | 583.21$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.54 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Rockies | 60c | 579.61$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.31 | 145 | 65.5%95 W · 50 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2719…28ddbacked Rockies | 60c | 579.61$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.31 | 253 | 64.4%163 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x498b…aa7abacked Rockies | 77c | 550$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Guardians | 70c | 549.62$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.73 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Rockies | 29c | 529.98$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.64 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Rockies | 29c | 510.34$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.34 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65d4…4e71backed Rockies | 77c | 500$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.29 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Rockies | 31c | 499.92$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.94 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Guardians | 69c | 406.25$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.31 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Guardians | 71c | 390$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.9 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Guardians | 71c | 345$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.95 | 119 | 61.3%73 W · 46 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6cca…a0bebacked Guardians | 67c | 344$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.7 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fdd…0661backed Rockies | 33c | 333$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.11 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Rockies | 40c | 331.92$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.4 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f99…95bdbacked Guardians | 68c | 326.06$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 69cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Rockies | 31c | 323$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.87 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Rockies | 30c | 300.18$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.37 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Rockies | 32c | 300$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Guardians | 69c | 297.1$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dde…8a88backed Rockies | 63c | 294.05$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.32 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Rockies | 16c | 293.02$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.66 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Guardians | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Guardians | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8665…85ecbacked Guardians | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…4a51backed Guardians | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Guardians | 17c | 250$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…9b19backed Guardians | 39c | 230.77$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Rockies | 31c | 229.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.69 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…aaadbacked Guardians | 16c | 229.91$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Guardians | 60c | 224.73$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.16 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27d1…a3e4backed Guardians | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2b…49cfbacked Guardians | 72c | 216.5$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd3…1174backed Guardians | 66c | 215$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.2 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.