TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x01ee…9b19

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
50
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NFL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 56 out of 100; worst UFC at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-26.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
UFC — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Carlos Ulberg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$219.1
UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Paulo Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$99.22
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Curtis Blaydes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.04
UFC 327: Johnny Walker vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Johnny Walker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.18
Ankalaev vs. Pereirabacked Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$201.81
Dvalishvili vs. Sandhagenbacked Dvalishvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$19.42
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. de Ridderbacked Whittaker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$247
UFC 318 Parlay – Holloway + Holland backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
UFC 318: Ige vs. Pitbull backed Ige · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
UFC 318: Johnson vs. Zellhuberbacked Zellhuber · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
UFC 318: Phillips vs. Oliveirabacked Phillips · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$43
UFC 318: Vettori vs. Allen backed Vettori · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$39
UFC 318: Prado vs. Veretennikovbacked Prado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
UFC 318: Crute vs. Prachniobacked Prachnio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.5
UFC 318: Spann vs. Brzeskibacked Spann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$24
UFC 318: Ferreira vs. McVeybacked Ferreira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+26.2%+$13.87
Peek vs. Ashmozbacked Peek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$50.98
All 17 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.18
Yankees vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$53.34
Padres vs. Diamondbacksbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$224.18
Royals vs. Red Soxbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$170.15
Mets vs. Padresbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Rockies vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
Blue Jays vs. Oriolesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$130.88
Blue Jays vs. Tigersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$194.07
Astros vs. Marinersbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$217.7
Yankees vs. Bravesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$26.02
Orioles vs. Raysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$23
Reds vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$58
Giants vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$98.15
All 13 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST1266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+57.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Broncos (-8.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$214.53
Raiders vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+80.9%+$252.57
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)backed Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$299.8
Patriots vs. Billsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+251.3%+$480.42
Commanders vs. Chargersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+334.8%+$279.18
Broncos vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$288.01
Will there be 49 or more combined points scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$30
Dolphins vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2024, EDT+125.5%+$395.51
49ers vs. Jetsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2024, EDT+51.5%+$23.46
Lions vs. Ramsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2024, EDT+63.5%+$69.9
Bills vs. Cardinalsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2024, EDT+104.1%+$136.18
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2024, EDT+76.4%+$67.13
All 12 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Sep 8, 2024, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-52.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Chess — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Sep 8, 2024, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oregon beat Boise State?backed Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2024, EDT+33.3%+$23.36
Will Iowa beat Iowa State?backed Iowa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$81.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canucks vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.2
Lightning vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$279.47
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.