MLB · resolved market
Orioles vs. Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x321baec01521c6e80283ede8f5c906178390f542cf77f7394a2215c2cc9d48b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raysof Orioles, Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $169,297
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $179,745
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,297 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65e4…a3bdbacked Rays | 54c | 92,850$50,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,737.36 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Orioles | 46c | 25,555$11,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,755.3 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Orioles | 46c | 25,000$11,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,500 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Orioles | 46c | 22,090$10,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,161.36 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Orioles | 46c | 17,500$8,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,050 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Rays | 54c | 11,998$6,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,519.14 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Orioles | 43c | 11,050$4,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,697.46 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…bb43backed Orioles | 25c | 6,095$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Rays | 27c | 5,405$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,965.92 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Orioles | 45c | 4,594$2,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,076.87 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rays | 41c | 4,033$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,365.82 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Orioles | 46c | 3,482$1,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,601.62 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Rays | 51c | 3,015$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.87 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Rays | 54c | 2,444$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.44 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Orioles | 29c | 2,262$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.63 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Orioles | 69c | 2,251$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550.72 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Orioles | 68c | 2,206$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Orioles | 49c | 2,099$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.98 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Rays | 47c | 1,312$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.98 | 623 | 46.2%288 W · 335 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Rays | 66c | 1,236$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.12 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Rays | 36c | 1,216$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.58 | 1,396 | 55.2%770 W · 626 L | -28.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Orioles | 68c | 1,178$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 64cpaid | -40%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Orioles | 74c | 1,024$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.3 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Rays | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba9e…97c0backed Rays | 54c | 833.02$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.19 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeefb…d354backed Orioles | 47c | 829.79$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Orioles | 61c | 817.2$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Rays | 53c | 782.32$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.69 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Rays | 54c | 724.98$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.49 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Rays | 73c | 690.43$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.43 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x996c…d8b9backed Rays | 33c | 468.29$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.29 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Orioles | 46c | 439.99$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.4 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Orioles | 46c | 420.98$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.65 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Orioles | 60c | 374.27$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.56 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Rays | 41c | 339.77$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.77 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Rays | 54c | 314.81$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.81 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Orioles | 30c | 304.37$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.59 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf6…d0e7backed Orioles | 71c | 301.75$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.4 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae0e…6527backed Rays | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Orioles | 5c | 293.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…e2eebacked Rays | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Orioles | 58c | 238.1$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.1 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb5…6530backed Rays | 54c | 227.46$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.63 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.4wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Orioles | 9c | 218.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Orioles | 46c | 216.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Orioles | 47c | 213.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x514b…ad6abacked Orioles | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Orioles | 45c | 200.02$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.01 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Rays | 26c | 200$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35d4…ba68backed Orioles | 67c | 198.29$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.58 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Orioles | 46c | 195.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.15 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Rays | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd78…230fbacked Orioles | 78c | 174.08$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.78 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89ca…5b45backed Rays | 54c | 166.67$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.67 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Rays | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Orioles | 45c | 157$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.65 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Orioles | 65c | 153.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Orioles | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba73…e538backed Rays | 52c | 150$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.3 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 41cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77f1…a137backed Rays | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…aa92backed Rays | 33c | 137.04$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.04 | 379 | 51.7%196 W · 183 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Rays | 45c | 127$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.17 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Orioles | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,215 | 40.5%492 W · 723 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Rays | 53c | 110.11$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Rays | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Orioles | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Orioles | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…b03fbacked Orioles | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 150 | 80%120 W · 30 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…9d12backed Rays | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0667…42e1backed Orioles | 74c | 88.18$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.25 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Orioles | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Rays | 55c | 81.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.82 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…9973backed Orioles | 74c | 65.84$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Rays | 47c | 65.49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.43 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa239…599dbacked Rays | 54c | 62.96$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Orioles | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 249 | 53%132 W · 117 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Rays | 50c | 60.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Orioles | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Rays | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeae4…2e84backed Orioles | 74c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd920…b7b6backed Orioles | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87d3…b82cbacked Orioles | 75c | 60$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Rays | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…9b19backed Rays | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Orioles | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6724…275cbacked Orioles | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Rays | 34c | 43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Rays | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Rays | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa16f…fdcabacked Rays | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x644f…a946backed Orioles | 67c | 35.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Orioles | 46c | 31.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Orioles | 47c | 31.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 1,086 | 46.2%502 W · 584 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc043…8121backed Orioles | 74c | 31.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c6…7624backed Orioles | 33c | 31.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Rays | 35c | 29.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 307 | 40.4%124 W · 183 L | -11.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fd…ae7cbacked Orioles | 77c | 25.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 64cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcebd…3769backed Orioles | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae90…c05fbacked Orioles | 74c | 21.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Rays | 53c | 21.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.