UFC · resolved market
Dvalishvili vs. Sandhagen
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61ef853c0ecc72a583da722cf6434681f9b92d10652cded44d8f889beb923418
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dvalishviliof Dvalishvili, Sandhagen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $999,732
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,087,203
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $999,732 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 612 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Sandhagen | 25c | 128,844$32,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,152.48 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Dvalishvili | 77c | 106,262$81,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,468.02 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Sandhagen | 22c | 103,241$22,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,814.45 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Sandhagen | 22c | 100,000$22,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,999.94 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Dvalishvili | 78c | 96,063$74,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,444.41 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93fc…34b6backed Sandhagen | 22c | 74,220$16,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,559.57 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Dvalishvili | 78c | 68,000$53,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,959.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Dvalishvili | 77c | 67,641$51,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,857.46 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Dvalishvili | 78c | 64,723$50,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,224.57 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Sandhagen | 4c | 43,873$1,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,696.59 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x132a…abe8backed Sandhagen | 24c | 34,999$8,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,391.06 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Dvalishvili | 77c | 31,450$24,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,127.5 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf0…153ebacked Dvalishvili | 76c | 30,673$23,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,211.56 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Dvalishvili | 77c | 30,619$23,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,991.11 | 201 | 39.8%80 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Sandhagen | 23c | 25,000$5,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,749.98 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Sandhagen | 21c | 25,000$5,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,239.97 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Sandhagen | 21c | 20,246$4,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,333.56 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fd…a346backed Dvalishvili | 79c | 17,556$13,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,762.29 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xace4…bd19backed Dvalishvili | 80c | 13,883$11,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,826.6 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Sandhagen | 17c | 13,685$2,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,312.45 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…d420backed Sandhagen | 23c | 13,000$2,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,990 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Sandhagen | 23c | 12,482$2,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,870.84 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Dvalishvili | 77c | 12,000$9,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,759.99 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Dvalishvili | 78c | 11,727$9,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,580.03 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ab…7b95backed Sandhagen | 26c | 11,319$2,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,998.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff4…29bebacked Dvalishvili | 78c | 11,000$8,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,430 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Dvalishvili | 72c | 9,218$6,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,581.14 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Sandhagen | 23c | 8,478$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Sandhagen | 22c | 6,667$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.74 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07a9…32c8backed Dvalishvili | 79c | 6,329$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.11 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x052c…404ebacked Dvalishvili | 80c | 6,250$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…fa48backed Sandhagen | 20c | 6,196$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…234abacked Dvalishvili | 78c | 6,000$4,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Sandhagen | 23c | 5,458$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Sandhagen | 23c | 5,431$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.76 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf635…e876backed Dvalishvili | 78c | 5,128$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.21 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b8f…ef1bbacked Dvalishvili | 78c | 5,095$3,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.74 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc567…04bfbacked Sandhagen | 23c | 5,071$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.39 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Dvalishvili | 78c | 5,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Dvalishvili | 77c | 5,000$3,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Sandhagen | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd58…18f9backed Sandhagen | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Dvalishvili | 76c | 5,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Sandhagen | 22c | 5,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.99 | 177 | 52%92 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…082abacked Dvalishvili | 77c | 4,694$3,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Dvalishvili | 79c | 4,684$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.54 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Dvalishvili | 77c | 4,600$3,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…74e1backed Dvalishvili | 78c | 4,273$3,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.08 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…691abacked Sandhagen | 10c | 4,080$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.57 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed Sandhagen | 20c | 4,067$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.33 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4571…e018backed Dvalishvili | 79c | 4,017$3,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Sandhagen | 23c | 4,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…c0dfbacked Sandhagen | 27c | 3,757$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Dvalishvili | 68c | 3,410$2,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.15 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Dvalishvili | 79c | 3,400$2,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked Dvalishvili | 76c | 3,387$2,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.96 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4d…6055backed Sandhagen | 24c | 3,200$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.97 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Dvalishvili | 66c | 3,174$2,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.04 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f5…e4c2backed Dvalishvili | 79c | 3,165$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.56 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c1…51aabacked Sandhagen | 13c | 3,073$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Sandhagen | 24c | 3,061$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.48 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Dvalishvili | 77c | 3,000$2,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa941…ec2ebacked Dvalishvili | 77c | 2,961$2,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.42 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Sandhagen | 16c | 2,793$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.8 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Sandhagen | 22c | 2,650$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16d5…5e0cbacked Dvalishvili | 77c | 2,573$1,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Dvalishvili | 73c | 2,555$1,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.94 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Sandhagen | 34c | 2,500$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.94 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Dvalishvili | 77c | 2,500$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Dvalishvili | 77c | 2,400$1,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.63 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Sandhagen | 22c | 2,273$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57f6…3aefbacked Dvalishvili | 78c | 2,255$1,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Dvalishvili | 78c | 2,167$1,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.67 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Sandhagen | 24c | 2,083$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Sandhagen | 5c | 2,044$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.27 | 105 | 22.9%24 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4f…fda5backed Sandhagen | 17c | 2,029$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.05 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Dvalishvili | 77c | 2,001$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.15 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Dvalishvili | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb6…c6b0backed Dvalishvili | 79c | 2,000$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +122.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Sandhagen | 3c | 2,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…59fdbacked Dvalishvili | 77c | 1,999$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.77 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…3b03backed Dvalishvili | 77c | 1,930$1,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.87 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdde2…6f02backed Dvalishvili | 78c | 1,921$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.61 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…6c1dbacked Dvalishvili | 77c | 1,906$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.91 | 65 | 69.2%45 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Sandhagen | 23c | 1,876$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.21 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…e7c2backed Sandhagen | 23c | 1,840$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Dvalishvili | 77c | 1,810$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.16 | 318 | 55%175 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed Dvalishvili | 80c | 1,728$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.58 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc3…2626backed Dvalishvili | 78c | 1,670$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.4 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…bc18backed Sandhagen | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x501b…2c19backed Sandhagen | 9c | 1,576$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +99.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…e89abacked Dvalishvili | 78c | 1,500$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Sandhagen | 8c | 1,500$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.43 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x075f…833cbacked Sandhagen | 22c | 1,489$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Dvalishvili | 77c | 1,329$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.67 | 185 | 60%111 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb1…830cbacked Sandhagen | 7c | 1,313$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.91 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked Sandhagen | 21c | 1,300$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Dvalishvili | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.05 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…b9d1backed Dvalishvili | 78c | 1,270$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.38 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Sandhagen | 22c | 1,174$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.09 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dvalishvili vs. Sandhagenthis page
- Ankalaev vs. PereiraPereira won
- Emmett vs. ZalalZalal won
- Gutierrez vs. BasharatBasharat won
- Magomedov vs. PyferPyfer won
- Mix vs. WiklaczWiklacz won
- Muniz vs. ShahbazyanShahbazyan won
- Procházka vs. Rountree Jr.Procházka won
- Santos vs. ChiassonSantos won
- Santos vs. YooSantos won
- Soriano vs. VeretennikovSoriano won
- Vanderford vs. BrahimajBrahimaj won
- Walker vs. HardyHardy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.