TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

UFC · resolved market

Dvalishvili vs. Sandhagen

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dvalishviliof Dvalishvili, Sandhagen
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$999,732
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,087,203

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $999,732 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 612 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2b15…9b08backed Sandhagen25c128,844$32,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,152.4829151.9%151 W · 140 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Dvalishvili77c106,262$81,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,468.023525.7%9 W · 26 L-4.8wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-43.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Sandhagen22c103,241$22,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,814.4535253.1%187 W · 165 L+27.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Sandhagen22c100,000$22,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,999.9419154.5%104 W · 87 L+14.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Dvalishvili78c96,063$74,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,444.416451.6%33 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93fc…34b6backed Sandhagen22c74,220$16,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,559.571637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x88a1…ad45backed Dvalishvili78c68,000$53,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,959.991060%6 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+82.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Dvalishvili77c67,641$51,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,857.4614857.4%85 W · 63 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdecc…9d36backed Dvalishvili78c64,723$50,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,224.5716951.5%87 W · 82 L-0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Sandhagen4c43,873$1,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,696.596841.2%28 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x132a…abe8backed Sandhagen24c34,999$8,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,391.063234.4%11 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed Dvalishvili77c31,450$24,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,127.57841%32 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaf0…153ebacked Dvalishvili76c30,673$23,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,211.562759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Dvalishvili77c30,619$23,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,991.1120139.8%80 W · 121 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25cc…9297backed Sandhagen23c25,000$5,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,749.9850%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x86e7…613ebacked Sandhagen21c25,000$5,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,239.9713453%71 W · 63 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Sandhagen21c20,246$4,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,333.5636745.8%168 W · 199 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0fd…a346backed Dvalishvili79c17,556$13,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,762.291844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xace4…bd19backed Dvalishvili80c13,883$11,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,826.63959%23 W · 16 L+0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Sandhagen17c13,685$2,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,312.455950.8%30 W · 29 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+14.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x832d…d420backed Sandhagen23c13,000$2,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9907656.6%43 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Sandhagen23c12,482$2,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,870.841758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+31.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Dvalishvili77c12,000$9,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,759.9937152.8%196 W · 175 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Dvalishvili78c11,727$9,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,580.0317158.5%100 W · 71 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43ab…7b95backed Sandhagen26c11,319$2,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,998.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdff4…29bebacked Dvalishvili78c11,000$8,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,430366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-10.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Dvalishvili72c9,218$6,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,581.143751.4%19 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa41c…fadebacked Sandhagen23c8,478$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9502441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Sandhagen22c6,667$1,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,466.7412541.6%52 W · 73 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07a9…32c8backed Dvalishvili79c6,329$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.113342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x052c…404ebacked Dvalishvili80c6,250$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,250366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76ed…fa48backed Sandhagen20c6,196$1,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,26511140.5%45 W · 66 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1056…234abacked Dvalishvili78c6,000$4,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,290333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-57.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc092…0cd9backed Sandhagen23c5,458$1,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,23812134.7%42 W · 79 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Sandhagen23c5,431$1,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,247.768940.4%36 W · 53 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf635…e876backed Dvalishvili78c5,128$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.216645.5%30 W · 36 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b8f…ef1bbacked Dvalishvili78c5,095$3,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,129.74580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+28.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc567…04bfbacked Sandhagen23c5,071$1,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,166.391650%8 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+38.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Dvalishvili78c5,000$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10039959.6%238 W · 161 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Dvalishvili77c5,000$3,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1356746.3%31 W · 36 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Sandhagen23c5,000$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1501338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd58…18f9backed Sandhagen23c5,000$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,150540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-36.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Dvalishvili76c5,000$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2001952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Sandhagen22c5,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.9917752%92 W · 85 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20e5…082abacked Dvalishvili77c4,694$3,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed Dvalishvili79c4,684$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983.54837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Dvalishvili77c4,600$3,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0582958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7690…74e1backed Dvalishvili78c4,273$3,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.083458.8%20 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9ce…691abacked Sandhagen10c4,080$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.5717850%89 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f50…4db9backed Sandhagen20c4,067$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.333357.6%19 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+42.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4571…e018backed Dvalishvili79c4,017$3,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.37425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick65cpaid-68.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Sandhagen23c4,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9204042.5%17 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04a7…c0dfbacked Sandhagen27c3,757$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Dvalishvili68c3,410$2,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091.1528043.2%121 W · 159 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Dvalishvili79c3,400$2,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7142445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6c0…722ebacked Dvalishvili76c3,387$2,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.967545.3%34 W · 41 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f4d…6055backed Sandhagen24c3,200$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.972536%9 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-35.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed Dvalishvili66c3,174$2,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,086.041533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1f5…e4c2backed Dvalishvili79c3,165$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.564748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6c1…51aabacked Sandhagen13c3,073$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+37.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Sandhagen24c3,061$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.4835826%93 W · 265 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47ab…95dfbacked Dvalishvili77c3,000$2,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6852236.4%8 W · 14 L-4.3wins-0.20per pick56cpaid-43.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa941…ec2ebacked Dvalishvili77c2,961$2,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.425362.3%33 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick64cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Sandhagen16c2,793$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.821247.2%100 W · 112 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Sandhagen22c2,650$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5835040%20 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16d5…5e0cbacked Dvalishvili77c2,573$1,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.22650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-32.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Dvalishvili73c2,555$1,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.9412052.5%63 W · 57 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a8b…b1c8backed Sandhagen34c2,500$853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.9413650%68 W · 68 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Dvalishvili77c2,500$1,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5758348.2%40 W · 43 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Dvalishvili77c2,400$1,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.6353956.6%305 W · 234 L-2.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4762…ba70backed Sandhagen22c2,273$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57f6…3aefbacked Dvalishvili78c2,255$1,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.09250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Dvalishvili78c2,167$1,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.676937.7%26 W · 43 L-7.6wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-28.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd353…f6acbacked Sandhagen24c2,083$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50025251.2%129 W · 123 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Sandhagen5c2,044$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.2710522.9%24 W · 81 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d4f…fda5backed Sandhagen17c2,029$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.051625%4 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Dvalishvili77c2,001$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.155945.8%27 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Dvalishvili78c2,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4405435.2%19 W · 35 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7cb6…c6b0backed Dvalishvili79c2,000$1,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4202100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+122.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9b7…60a4backed Sandhagen3c2,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7032545.2%147 W · 178 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe103…59fdbacked Dvalishvili77c1,999$1,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.77955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x683a…3b03backed Dvalishvili77c1,930$1,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.871353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdde2…6f02backed Dvalishvili78c1,921$1,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.613100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bce…6c1dbacked Dvalishvili77c1,906$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.916569.2%45 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick68cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Sandhagen23c1,876$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.218840.9%36 W · 52 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc38…e7c2backed Sandhagen23c1,840$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41612639.7%50 W · 76 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20dd…f6acbacked Dvalishvili77c1,810$1,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.1631855%175 W · 143 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9c…e006backed Dvalishvili80c1,728$1,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.582263.6%14 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebc3…2626backed Dvalishvili78c1,670$1,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.48256.1%46 W · 36 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbd6…bc18backed Sandhagen6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004856.3%27 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+16.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x501b…2c19backed Sandhagen9c1,576$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+99.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b85…e89abacked Dvalishvili78c1,500$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+79.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Sandhagen8c1,500$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.4330964.7%200 W · 109 L+24.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x075f…833cbacked Sandhagen22c1,489$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.58650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Dvalishvili77c1,329$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.6718560%111 W · 74 L+0.9wins0.00per pick60cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2eb1…830cbacked Sandhagen7c1,313$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.91837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7455…93adbacked Sandhagen21c1,300$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26719531.8%62 W · 133 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Dvalishvili78c1,282$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.054548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e53…b9d1backed Dvalishvili78c1,270$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.381154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Sandhagen22c1,174$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.094348.8%21 W · 22 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.