UFC · resolved market
Vanderford vs. Brahimaj
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc8ecd23f4cdb765da54d3ffb1276fc5bb55b486de6d195859f8fca8842ada09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brahimajof Vanderford, Brahimaj
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,475
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,564
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,475 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Brahimaj | 29c | 20,954$6,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,942.97 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf0…153ebacked Vanderford | 71c | 15,000$10,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,649.99 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Vanderford | 72c | 5,555$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.6 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Brahimaj | 28c | 5,059$1,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,642.62 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Brahimaj | 19c | 4,136$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,349.97 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Brahimaj | 29c | 3,701$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,634.08 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Brahimaj | 19c | 2,630$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,122.2 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Vanderford | 72c | 2,455$1,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,767.6 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Vanderford | 72c | 2,437$1,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,754.64 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Vanderford | 75c | 2,073$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545.1 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Vanderford | 71c | 2,060$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.25 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Vanderford | 71c | 2,028$1,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,434.21 | 122 | 62.3%76 W · 46 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc3…2626backed Brahimaj | 28c | 1,998$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.6 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…7d29backed Vanderford | 72c | 1,997$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.6 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.9wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x285b…5231backed Vanderford | 72c | 1,930$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.52 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Vanderford | 72c | 1,676$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.76 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Brahimaj | 28c | 1,553$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.16 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x465b…41c3backed Brahimaj | 32c | 1,217$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.35 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Vanderford | 71c | 1,065$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.14 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Vanderford | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.97 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed Brahimaj | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07a9…32c8backed Vanderford | 73c | 959.73$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Brahimaj | 27c | 889.73$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.5 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1e…2e41backed Brahimaj | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.66 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Vanderford | 72c | 665.99$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.41 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Vanderford | 2c | 644.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 201 | 39.8%80 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Vanderford | 72c | 625$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Brahimaj | 22c | 560.61$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.55 | 264 | 51.9%137 W · 127 L | +23.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…fa48backed Vanderford | 72c | 555.56$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Brahimaj | 28c | 549.99$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Brahimaj | 28c | 532.34$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.61 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Vanderford | 72c | 501.14$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.82 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…bc18backed Brahimaj | 23c | 431.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.67 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Vanderford | 34c | 430.83$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.78 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Brahimaj | 29c | 350$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.5 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e194backed Vanderford | 73c | 342.47$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Brahimaj | 30c | 324.8$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.42 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Brahimaj | 27c | 300$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 141 | 44.7%63 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2467…c702backed Brahimaj | 29c | 300$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd14c…17bebacked Brahimaj | 29c | 300$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 131 | 60.3%79 W · 52 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Vanderford | 70c | 299.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 366 | 55.2%202 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb575…2090backed Brahimaj | 29c | 273.24$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…d366backed Vanderford | 72c | 270.83$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…aa71backed Brahimaj | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a7…8f05backed Brahimaj | 30c | 196.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.75 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcece…8c50backed Brahimaj | 29c | 172.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.4 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -5.0wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Brahimaj | 28c | 169.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.39 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed Vanderford | 72c | 156.94$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…7650backed Vanderford | 72c | 153.57$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.57 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Vanderford | 68c | 151.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.35 | 248 | 47.2%117 W · 131 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…8cb6backed Brahimaj | 29c | 150$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.5 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Brahimaj | 19c | 147$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.77 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Brahimaj | 28c | 144$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.68 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…6598backed Brahimaj | 18c | 111$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.02 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36bc…ec72backed Brahimaj | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Brahimaj | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Vanderford | 59c | 99.98$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.99 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…0ff2backed Brahimaj | 29c | 99.41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.58 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c1…d67bbacked Vanderford | 72c | 93.33$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…51afbacked Brahimaj | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.21 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Vanderford | 69c | 75$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.75 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x367a…de0cbacked Brahimaj | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3149…9762backed Brahimaj | 29c | 65.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43cf…462ebacked Brahimaj | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1406…eb4fbacked Brahimaj | 32c | 63.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +112.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Vanderford | 70c | 55.15$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.55 | 167 | 36.5%61 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…aafdbacked Brahimaj | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Brahimaj | 41c | 51.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x288d…66c8backed Brahimaj | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +137.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0c…04cbbacked Vanderford | 71c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc02…958abacked Vanderford | 72c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…9b3fbacked Brahimaj | 38c | 34.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -6.7wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…f634backed Vanderford | 73c | 32.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df4…9e8fbacked Brahimaj | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Vanderford | 69c | 25.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 124 | 46.8%58 W · 66 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2361…e16ebacked Vanderford | 71c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Vanderford | 75c | 23.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 158 | 39.2%62 W · 96 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c65…845dbacked Vanderford | 72c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.3wins | -0.28per pick | 55cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vanderford vs. Brahimajthis page
- Ankalaev vs. PereiraPereira won
- Dvalishvili vs. SandhagenDvalishvili won
- Emmett vs. ZalalZalal won
- Gutierrez vs. BasharatBasharat won
- Magomedov vs. PyferPyfer won
- Mix vs. WiklaczWiklacz won
- Muniz vs. ShahbazyanShahbazyan won
- Procházka vs. Rountree Jr.Procházka won
- Santos vs. ChiassonSantos won
- Santos vs. YooSantos won
- Soriano vs. VeretennikovSoriano won
- Walker vs. HardyHardy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.