UFC · resolved market
Mix vs. Wiklacz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x955e8f4a7fd54c179f79fab5543e0f4bfebaa524fe41e139f75d27af04c2667a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wiklaczof Mix, Wiklacz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $245,218
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $263,009
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $245,218 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Wiklacz | 25c | 66,277$16,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,745.62 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Mix | 74c | 50,000$37,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,999.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Wiklacz | 72c | 35,614$25,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,895.18 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Mix | 76c | 35,001$26,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,549.05 | 57 | 75.4%43 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Mix | 76c | 33,000$25,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,020 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Wiklacz | 25c | 31,223$7,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,416.94 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Wiklacz | 26c | 15,385$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,384.62 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Mix | 42c | 11,808$5,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,002.61 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Mix | 35c | 8,007$2,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,767.95 | 105 | 22.9%24 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…56cbbacked Mix | 75c | 7,953$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Mix | 61c | 7,756$4,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,727.04 | 201 | 39.8%80 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Mix | 75c | 5,000$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,750 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Mix | 75c | 4,582$3,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,456.45 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Wiklacz | 26c | 4,317$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,193.99 | 130 | 39.2%51 W · 79 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Wiklacz | 24c | 4,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,040 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Wiklacz | 25c | 3,754$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,815.25 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…7d29backed Mix | 75c | 3,474$2,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,620.77 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.9wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Wiklacz | 24c | 3,188$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,433.64 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Wiklacz | 32c | 3,093$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,102.86 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2876…c4b2backed Wiklacz | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Wiklacz | 56c | 3,000$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Wiklacz | 16c | 2,785$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,339.4 | 281 | 43.1%121 W · 160 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Wiklacz | 16c | 2,752$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300.72 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Wiklacz | 25c | 2,650$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,987.13 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07a9…32c8backed Mix | 76c | 2,632$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wiklacz | 25c | 2,550$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912.5 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Mix | 76c | 2,435$1,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850.8 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Mix | 34c | 2,200$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Mix | 80c | 1,965$1,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,571.09 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Mix | 76c | 1,902$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.17 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98f3…bf14backed Wiklacz | 24c | 1,869$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.61 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Wiklacz | 24c | 1,800$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85f1…a6b5backed Mix | 76c | 1,716$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb575…2090backed Wiklacz | 25c | 1,596$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.3 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac8c…415cbacked Mix | 43c | 1,430$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.86 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Mix | 48c | 1,337$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.3 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Wiklacz | 25c | 1,160$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Wiklacz | 23c | 1,143$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.79 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ad…be8cbacked Mix | 42c | 1,052$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.02 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Mix | 57c | 1,006$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.7 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Wiklacz | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.25 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Mix | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fc…5ddfbacked Wiklacz | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc3…2626backed Mix | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Wiklacz | 44c | 977.01$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.17 | 540 | 56.7%306 W · 234 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked Wiklacz | 25c | 863.38$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.54 | 92 | 28.3%26 W · 66 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…9d19backed Wiklacz | 25c | 800$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2201…9071backed Wiklacz | 71c | 798.81$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.67 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Mix | 76c | 750$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf0…153ebacked Mix | 74c | 736.77$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.21 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…5e12backed Wiklacz | 38c | 683.15$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.31 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +6.0wins | +0.40per pick | 47cpaid | +914%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Mix | 75c | 666.01$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.18 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa941…ec2ebacked Mix | 75c | 666$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.5 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Mix | 76c | 658.5$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.36 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Wiklacz | 25c | 650$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Mix | 75c | 622.51$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.88 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…fa48backed Mix | 74c | 550$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Wiklacz | 24c | 530$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.75 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e8…4675backed Wiklacz | 25c | 514.68$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.01 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Mix | 76c | 500$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.5 | 367 | 55.3%203 W · 164 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e67…91b0backed Wiklacz | 25c | 500$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.69per pick | 32cpaid | +231.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Wiklacz | 11c | 485.52$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.3 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Wiklacz | 26c | 450$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Wiklacz | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd14c…17bebacked Mix | 74c | 300$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 131 | 60.3%79 W · 52 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Wiklacz | 25c | 290$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.5 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Mix | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Wiklacz | 34c | 258$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.26 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59a6…2fa2backed Mix | 79c | 252.77$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Wiklacz | 60c | 250.32$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.13 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Wiklacz | 25c | 250$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Mix | 76c | 217.29$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed Wiklacz | 26c | 200$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Wiklacz | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 248 | 47.2%117 W · 131 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Mix | 76c | 200$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb18b…4e0ebacked Wiklacz | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…be8bbacked Wiklacz | 27c | 193.15$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked Wiklacz | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1961…ed4fbacked Wiklacz | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Mix | 50c | 179.99$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.56 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…54a7backed Mix | 39c | 167.06$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.84 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Wiklacz | 25c | 158.82$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.76 | 124 | 46.8%58 W · 66 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…bc18backed Wiklacz | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Mix | 43c | 154.24$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.86 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…1778backed Wiklacz | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.85 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Mix | 74c | 150$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a7…8f05backed Wiklacz | 26c | 149.23$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.43 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Mix | 73c | 148.15$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.15 | 141 | 44.7%63 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…f634backed Wiklacz | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.15 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ec…1bafbacked Mix | 75c | 133.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc02…958abacked Wiklacz | 26c | 125$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.89 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Wiklacz | 56c | 124.41$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.25 | 265 | 52.1%138 W · 127 L | +23.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Wiklacz | 25c | 120$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe86…ec62backed Wiklacz | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.38 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Mix | 42c | 112.68$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.53 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -9.8wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Mix | 41c | 112.35$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.29 | 158 | 39.2%62 W · 96 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57b…73ecbacked Wiklacz | 17c | 110$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Mix | 53c | 107.67$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.3 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed Mix | 39c | 106.37$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.48 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…ba94backed Wiklacz | 20c | 104.76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.81 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mix vs. Wiklaczthis page
- Ankalaev vs. PereiraPereira won
- Dvalishvili vs. SandhagenDvalishvili won
- Emmett vs. ZalalZalal won
- Gutierrez vs. BasharatBasharat won
- Magomedov vs. PyferPyfer won
- Muniz vs. ShahbazyanShahbazyan won
- Procházka vs. Rountree Jr.Procházka won
- Santos vs. ChiassonSantos won
- Santos vs. YooSantos won
- Soriano vs. VeretennikovSoriano won
- Vanderford vs. BrahimajBrahimaj won
- Walker vs. HardyHardy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.