TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

UFC · resolved market

Emmett vs. Zalal

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Zalalof Emmett, Zalal
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$366,995
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$402,420

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $366,995 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83b9…6124backed Emmett20c163,185$32,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,821.773525.7%9 W · 26 L-4.8wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-43.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Zalal79c50,000$39,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,499.9835253.1%187 W · 165 L+27.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Zalal79c43,967$34,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,269.5519154.5%104 W · 87 L+14.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Emmett10c29,559$3,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,083.9520139.8%80 W · 121 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01ba…b77abacked Zalal80c26,900$21,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,38022259.5%132 W · 90 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Zalal79c21,107$16,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,432.523751.4%19 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaf0…153ebacked Zalal79c20,240$16,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,197.952759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Zalal79c17,310$13,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,635.1214857.4%85 W · 63 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Emmett21c15,000$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1506451.6%33 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Zalal79c13,000$10,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,73037152.8%196 W · 175 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Emmett19c10,942$2,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,049.015950.8%30 W · 29 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+14.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Emmett21c10,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10013039.2%51 W · 79 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f91…907fbacked Emmett19c10,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9003661.1%22 W · 14 L+4.7wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+29.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed Emmett10c9,154$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$894.891533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Emmett20c6,299$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.7719544.6%87 W · 108 L-0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3a6…fd55backed Emmett20c5,991$1,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,198.256349.2%31 W · 32 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+27.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2876…c4b2backed Emmett21c5,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0501838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Emmett21c4,263$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.276841.2%28 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Emmett20c4,100$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82035826%93 W · 265 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa41c…fadebacked Emmett19c4,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7602441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1420…f1c9backed Emmett29c2,477$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.59450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+25.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf635…e876backed Emmett22c2,475$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5376645.5%30 W · 36 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Emmett21c2,096$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4507653.9%41 W · 35 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa253…7630backed Emmett20c2,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005240.4%21 W · 31 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Zalal80c2,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40039959.6%238 W · 161 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Zalal80c2,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41042042.6%179 W · 241 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Zalal80c1,818$1,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.528840.9%36 W · 52 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Zalal79c1,756$1,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.6912262.3%76 W · 46 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0dc…84e0backed Emmett18c1,750$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3156547.7%31 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc3d…351dbacked Zalal70c1,742$1,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.9612055.8%67 W · 53 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc567…04bfbacked Emmett21c1,605$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3371650%8 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+38.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Zalal80c1,600$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.9833253.3%177 W · 155 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa941…ec2ebacked Zalal79c1,531$1,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.25362.3%33 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick64cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed Emmett22c1,391$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3061729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Zalal78c1,261$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.1221247.2%100 W · 112 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf366…8185backed Emmett21c1,162$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Emmett5c1,140$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.614530.3%44 W · 101 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…ba94backed Emmett20c1,118$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2211233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Zalal80c1,065$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2133234.4%11 W · 21 L-4.9wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-25.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Emmett21c1,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2105435.2%19 W · 35 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Emmett20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-5.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Zalal80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2004548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ae5…53c8backed Emmett17c999.99$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1705253.8%28 W · 24 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+23.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Emmett32c926$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005431.5%17 W · 37 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Zalal79c760$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.624356.8%138 W · 105 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0688…d67dbacked Emmett21c714.29$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505265.4%34 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4dcd…1722backed Emmett18c700$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1261520%3 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-44.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Zalal78c682.43$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.968348.2%40 W · 43 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Zalal80c626.65$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.3323850.4%120 W · 118 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Emmett20c624.99$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.52740.7%11 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+36.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3349…c0b8backed Zalal80c610$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.25775.4%43 W · 14 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick67cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x83ce…1778backed Emmett20c535.24$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1087233.3%24 W · 48 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Zalal79c508$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3621554.4%117 W · 98 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Zalal67c500$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1653652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ff3…d376backed Emmett20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006448.4%31 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x650a…6eb2backed Emmett19c500$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Emmett20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036745.8%168 W · 199 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06a9…3b80backed Emmett20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003732.4%12 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb34…59eabacked Emmett21c477$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1713044.6%58 W · 72 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde46…a7afbacked Emmett21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Emmett22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015552.3%81 W · 74 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54c0…7653backed Emmett20c450$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65b0…2368backed Emmett21c436.67$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.7728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4c7…7e8abacked Emmett24c412.45$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.16450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0341…3ff3backed Emmett21c382.14$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7940%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5037…a863backed Emmett28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011054.5%60 W · 50 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Emmett21c343.71$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.719418.6%36 W · 158 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ae3…47ccbacked Emmett22c342.26$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Zalal80c334$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.818560%111 W · 74 L+0.9wins0.00per pick60cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc374…ecf5backed Emmett33c304.43$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b0b…f9d6backed Emmett21c300$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8a7…8f05backed Emmett20c295.24$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605839.7%23 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a70…1b59backed Emmett21c280.95$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14cf…0856backed Zalal80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502055%11 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3505…f7a3backed Zalal80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506756.7%38 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c9b…5722backed Zalal80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc02…958abacked Emmett19c249.72$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.353751.4%19 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x15a4…7c24backed Emmett21c249.24$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1961…ed4fbacked Emmett21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb575…2090backed Emmett21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503737.8%14 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x019e…6e49backed Emmett21c237.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.840%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e17…2301backed Emmett21c236.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.653132.3%10 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick26cpaid+45.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc38…e7c2backed Emmett20c234.76$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4812639.7%50 W · 76 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed Emmett22c230$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.316543.6%72 W · 93 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x13dd…b2b7backed Emmett18c222.22$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404526.7%12 W · 33 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5bb1…9551backed Emmett21c214.29$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+38.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xecc7…06b9backed Emmett20c200$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+58.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Emmett19c200$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3716736.5%61 W · 106 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdfee…64bbbacked Emmett21c190.48$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406040%24 W · 36 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f84…7650backed Zalal79c189.87$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.876155.7%34 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa314…5ba7backed Emmett21c177.67$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-42.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85c1…d67bbacked Emmett21c177.1$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.191533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x43cf…462ebacked Emmett25c157.14$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404542.2%19 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb57b…73ecbacked Emmett20c155$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4825%2 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2843…b3d2backed Emmett20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3021144.1%93 W · 118 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf725…136abacked Zalal80c144.01$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.83754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fec…fdc3backed Emmett22c142.07$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.66333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41c…c9b3backed Emmett21c128.57$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279737.1%36 W · 61 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Zalal50c125.86$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.9316955.6%94 W · 75 L+23.8wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+59.8%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xb852…bfaebacked Emmett19c124.48$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.658939.3%35 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.