UFC · resolved market
Emmett vs. Zalal
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01bed8e29fdfa1c28385a8ad25a67197a394167330bbf7fe28ccf59b96eb7413
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zalalof Emmett, Zalal
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $366,995
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $402,420
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $366,995 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Emmett | 20c | 163,185$32,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,821.77 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Zalal | 79c | 50,000$39,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,499.98 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Zalal | 79c | 43,967$34,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,269.55 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Emmett | 10c | 29,559$3,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,083.95 | 201 | 39.8%80 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Zalal | 80c | 26,900$21,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,380 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Zalal | 79c | 21,107$16,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,432.52 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf0…153ebacked Zalal | 79c | 20,240$16,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,197.95 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Zalal | 79c | 17,310$13,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,635.12 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Emmett | 21c | 15,000$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Zalal | 79c | 13,000$10,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,730 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Emmett | 19c | 10,942$2,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,049.01 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Emmett | 21c | 10,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 130 | 39.2%51 W · 79 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Emmett | 19c | 10,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Emmett | 10c | 9,154$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.89 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Emmett | 20c | 6,299$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.77 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Emmett | 20c | 5,991$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.25 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2876…c4b2backed Emmett | 21c | 5,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Emmett | 21c | 4,263$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.27 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Emmett | 20c | 4,100$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Emmett | 19c | 4,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…f1c9backed Emmett | 29c | 2,477$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf635…e876backed Emmett | 22c | 2,475$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Emmett | 21c | 2,096$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa253…7630backed Emmett | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Zalal | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Zalal | 80c | 2,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Zalal | 80c | 1,818$1,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.52 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Zalal | 79c | 1,756$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.69 | 122 | 62.3%76 W · 46 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0dc…84e0backed Emmett | 18c | 1,750$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…351dbacked Zalal | 70c | 1,742$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.96 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc567…04bfbacked Emmett | 21c | 1,605$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Zalal | 80c | 1,600$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.98 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa941…ec2ebacked Zalal | 79c | 1,531$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.2 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Emmett | 22c | 1,391$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Zalal | 78c | 1,261$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.12 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf366…8185backed Emmett | 21c | 1,162$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Emmett | 5c | 1,140$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…ba94backed Emmett | 20c | 1,118$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Zalal | 80c | 1,065$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Emmett | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Emmett | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Zalal | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed Emmett | 17c | 999.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Emmett | 32c | 926$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Zalal | 79c | 760$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.6 | 243 | 56.8%138 W · 105 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0688…d67dbacked Emmett | 21c | 714.29$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcd…1722backed Emmett | 18c | 700$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Zalal | 78c | 682.43$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.96 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Zalal | 80c | 626.65$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.33 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Emmett | 20c | 624.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Zalal | 80c | 610$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.2 | 57 | 75.4%43 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…1778backed Emmett | 20c | 535.24$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Zalal | 79c | 508$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.36 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Zalal | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff3…d376backed Emmett | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x650a…6eb2backed Emmett | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Emmett | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…3b80backed Emmett | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…59eabacked Emmett | 21c | 477$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.17 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde46…a7afbacked Emmett | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Emmett | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54c0…7653backed Emmett | 20c | 450$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b0…2368backed Emmett | 21c | 436.67$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c7…7e8abacked Emmett | 24c | 412.45$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…3ff3backed Emmett | 21c | 382.14$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5037…a863backed Emmett | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Emmett | 21c | 343.71$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.7 | 194 | 18.6%36 W · 158 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae3…47ccbacked Emmett | 22c | 342.26$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Zalal | 80c | 334$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.8 | 185 | 60%111 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc374…ecf5backed Emmett | 33c | 304.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Emmett | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a7…8f05backed Emmett | 20c | 295.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a70…1b59backed Emmett | 21c | 280.95$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14cf…0856backed Zalal | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed Zalal | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9b…5722backed Zalal | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc02…958abacked Emmett | 19c | 249.72$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15a4…7c24backed Emmett | 21c | 249.24$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1961…ed4fbacked Emmett | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb575…2090backed Emmett | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019e…6e49backed Emmett | 21c | 237.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e17…2301backed Emmett | 21c | 236.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.65 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…e7c2backed Emmett | 20c | 234.76$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Emmett | 22c | 230$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.3 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13dd…b2b7backed Emmett | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb1…9551backed Emmett | 21c | 214.29$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecc7…06b9backed Emmett | 20c | 200$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Emmett | 19c | 200$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 167 | 36.5%61 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfee…64bbbacked Emmett | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…7650backed Zalal | 79c | 189.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed Emmett | 21c | 177.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c1…d67bbacked Emmett | 21c | 177.1$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.19 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cf…462ebacked Emmett | 25c | 157.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57b…73ecbacked Emmett | 20c | 155$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Emmett | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf725…136abacked Zalal | 80c | 144.01$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fec…fdc3backed Emmett | 22c | 142.07$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41c…c9b3backed Emmett | 21c | 128.57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 97 | 37.1%36 W · 61 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Zalal | 50c | 125.86$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.93 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +23.8wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Emmett | 19c | 124.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Emmett vs. Zalalthis page
- Ankalaev vs. PereiraPereira won
- Dvalishvili vs. SandhagenDvalishvili won
- Gutierrez vs. BasharatBasharat won
- Magomedov vs. PyferPyfer won
- Mix vs. WiklaczWiklacz won
- Muniz vs. ShahbazyanShahbazyan won
- Procházka vs. Rountree Jr.Procházka won
- Santos vs. ChiassonSantos won
- Santos vs. YooSantos won
- Soriano vs. VeretennikovSoriano won
- Vanderford vs. BrahimajBrahimaj won
- Walker vs. HardyHardy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.