TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdfee…64bb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
160
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Champions League, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 51 out of 100; worst Middle East at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT6040%24 W · 36 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Joaquin Buckley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC 328: Jeremy Stephens vs. King Green (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Jeremy Stephens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Tatsuro Taira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alexander Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Yaroslav Amosov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$76.35
UFC 328: Jim Miller vs. Jared Gordon (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Jared Gordon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
UFC 328: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Roman Kopylov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$177.78
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jirí Procházka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Azamat Murzakanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.63
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Curtis Blaydes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.38
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.92
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+244.8%+$244.83
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
UFC 325: Fiziev vs. Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Fiziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$144
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+52%+$20.82
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$71
UFC 324: Pulyaev vs. Gautier (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Pulyaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+35.1%+$140.54
UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+75.4%+$30.18
UFC 322: Edwards vs. Prates (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Edwards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$40
UFC 322: Dariush vs. Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+53.8%+$53.85
UFC 322: Vieira vs. Nickal (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Nickal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+40.8%+$25.28
UFC 322: Kopylov vs. Rodrigues (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Kopylov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Ankalaev vs. Pereirabacked Ankalaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2560%15 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Putin not meet?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+106%+$827.31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,996Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,996.41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$70.14
Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,404Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+97.8%+$1,373.29
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+68.7%+$137.2
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,570Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+29.7%+$1,061.18
EU agrees use of Russian assets to fund Ukraine by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$220.68
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$183.13
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$94.9
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$31.58
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,469Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+42.8%+$629.41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15,143Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+28.5%+$4,311.1
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$114.01
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$243.8
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,288Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,287.83
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.4
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$456Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+45%+$205.49
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+67.9%+$50.94
Russia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$272
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+40.5%+$202.26
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$930Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+40%+$371.85
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,327Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+246.5%+$3,272.16
Will Russia capture Yablunivka before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
Trump x Putin talk before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 25 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-4.2wins-0.28per pick55cpaid-58.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Middle East — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$463Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+106.4%+$492.27
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
US x Iran ceasefire by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$3,960Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$3,960
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,050
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$867Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$867
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$700
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$220.51
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+25%+$25
US strike on Syria by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$240
Will France recognize Palestine in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$249.86
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+52.8%+$133.17
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by July 11? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
All 15 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST1442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-28.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Predators (-1.5)backed Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Utah vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Penguins vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+127.3%+$25.45
Flyers vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Kings (-1.5)backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+39.1%+$7.82
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Capitals (-1.5)backed Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Flames vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Canadiens vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Rangers vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Lightning vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Blues vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+78.6%+$11.79
Spread: Stars (-1.5)backed Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+44.9%+$6.74
Spread: Penguins (-1.5)backed Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 14 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-50.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+31.5%+$111.81
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+37.1%+$148.32
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$212.3
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,018Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+80.8%+$1,630.4
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$4,612Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$4,612.37
U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,368Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+41.8%+$571.7
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on November 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$611Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$611.48
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,121Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,120.69
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$61.44
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$125.28
All 12 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick58cpaid-53.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.45per pick65cpaid-68.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-64.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick33cpaid+100%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$608Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+31.6%+$192
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Usyk vs Dubois 2backed Usyk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$56.41
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.