UFC · resolved market
UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b0035092a2f8c0d63c9c476d87d03c7f7066127404b5c984b80c1bbef08cc63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paulo Costaof Paulo Costa, Azamat Murzakanov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,564,115
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,639,102
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,564,115 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 937 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ae1…9fadbacked Paulo Costa | 31c | 335,721$105,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230,247.36 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Paulo Costa | 31c | 198,424$61,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136,912.79 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Azamat Murzakanov | 68c | 188,601$127,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127,575.3 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Azamat Murzakanov | 68c | 125,000$85,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85,499.93 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Paulo Costa | 30c | 121,457$36,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85,073.41 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2f…aaf8backed Azamat Murzakanov | 70c | 73,650$51,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,555 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…74e1backed Azamat Murzakanov | 69c | 67,078$46,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,497.06 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Azamat Murzakanov | 54c | 64,669$34,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,823.44 | 159 | 39.6%63 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f28…266ebacked Azamat Murzakanov | 69c | 56,365$38,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,891.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +39%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…02c3backed Azamat Murzakanov | 70c | 46,349$32,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,431.26 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Azamat Murzakanov | 69c | 45,088$30,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,961.71 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd61c…84fbbacked Paulo Costa | 26c | 43,781$11,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,295.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 32cpaid | +181.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…d420backed Azamat Murzakanov | 71c | 37,402$26,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,696.18 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Azamat Murzakanov | 69c | 34,327$23,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,707.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Paulo Costa | 54c | 32,429$17,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,769.52 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Paulo Costa | 33c | 30,570$10,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,365.1 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Paulo Costa | 30c | 25,617$7,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,981.95 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Azamat Murzakanov | 66c | 21,364$14,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,169.24 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c28…9e49backed Paulo Costa | 34c | 21,085$7,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,904.02 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Paulo Costa | 30c | 16,037$4,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,246.61 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Paulo Costa | 30c | 14,891$4,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,377.66 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Paulo Costa | 35c | 14,630$5,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,500.33 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Paulo Costa | 30c | 14,184$4,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,939.75 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Paulo Costa | 31c | 13,274$4,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,223.14 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Paulo Costa | 31c | 11,503$3,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,937.21 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Paulo Costa | 68c | 11,498$7,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,689.63 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Azamat Murzakanov | 68c | 10,360$7,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,044.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf92a…99acbacked Paulo Costa | 30c | 10,214$3,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,149.49 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Paulo Costa | 30c | 10,004$3,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,002.76 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…ff78backed Azamat Murzakanov | 69c | 10,000$6,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,900 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Paulo Costa | 31c | 9,907$3,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,790.09 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…01a8backed Paulo Costa | 35c | 9,294$3,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,032.52 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Azamat Murzakanov | 77c | 9,276$7,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,125.75 | 201 | 39.8%80 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed Paulo Costa | 30c | 7,865$2,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,505.42 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Paulo Costa | 30c | 7,727$2,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,392.19 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc14f…7d8dbacked Azamat Murzakanov | 69c | 7,361$5,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,078.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a8…06d9backed Paulo Costa | 30c | 7,150$2,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,005 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Azamat Murzakanov | 69c | 7,112$4,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,907 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Azamat Murzakanov | 69c | 7,112$4,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,907 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Paulo Costa | 25c | 6,480$1,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,886.26 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Paulo Costa | 34c | 6,293$2,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,126.65 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…ca79backed Paulo Costa | 31c | 6,099$1,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,181.22 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Azamat Murzakanov | 68c | 6,072$4,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,129.59 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Azamat Murzakanov | 68c | 6,000$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,080 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec2…ab6bbacked Paulo Costa | 36c | 6,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,839.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Paulo Costa | 49c | 5,854$2,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,959.78 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Azamat Murzakanov | 68c | 5,788$3,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,928.51 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Paulo Costa | 30c | 5,710$1,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,996.78 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Paulo Costa | 30c | 5,336$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,755.8 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Paulo Costa | 31c | 5,092$1,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,513.49 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Azamat Murzakanov | 70c | 5,046$3,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,532.2 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Paulo Costa | 30c | 4,790$1,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,353 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…ff9bbacked Paulo Costa | 31c | 4,781$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,298.85 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…5240backed Paulo Costa | 32c | 4,544$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,105.13 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa125…de52backed Azamat Murzakanov | 65c | 4,520$2,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,923.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…8abebacked Azamat Murzakanov | 70c | 4,357$3,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,049.6 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…e864backed Paulo Costa | 30c | 4,175$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,922.31 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2256…0386backed Azamat Murzakanov | 64c | 4,162$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,649.96 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Paulo Costa | 29c | 4,123$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,911.32 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Paulo Costa | 32c | 3,879$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,637.42 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1975…f07bbacked Paulo Costa | 32c | 3,837$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,609.02 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Azamat Murzakanov | 33c | 3,721$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.64 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Azamat Murzakanov | 70c | 3,713$2,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.35 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Azamat Murzakanov | 62c | 3,658$2,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,258.82 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Azamat Murzakanov | 69c | 3,657$2,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,527.47 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Paulo Costa | 33c | 3,578$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,385.81 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x087b…713ebacked Paulo Costa | 33c | 3,500$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,360 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a54…4a03backed Azamat Murzakanov | 63c | 3,500$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Azamat Murzakanov | 63c | 3,434$2,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,173.13 | 224 | 38.4%86 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…1fcabacked Azamat Murzakanov | 70c | 3,300$2,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,305 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed Paulo Costa | 31c | 3,247$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240.34 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Paulo Costa | 27c | 3,229$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,357.33 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Paulo Costa | 31c | 3,123$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,154.99 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +4.5wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Azamat Murzakanov | 69c | 3,086$2,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,139.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Paulo Costa | 31c | 3,067$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,126.21 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Azamat Murzakanov | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Azamat Murzakanov | 58c | 2,937$1,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,712.93 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Paulo Costa | 33c | 2,926$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,966.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +204.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked Azamat Murzakanov | 69c | 2,900$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Paulo Costa | 31c | 2,857$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,964.26 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc30a…7eb3backed Azamat Murzakanov | 70c | 2,806$1,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,964 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Paulo Costa | 30c | 2,799$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Paulo Costa | 33c | 2,791$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,863.7 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9451…c3f9backed Azamat Murzakanov | 71c | 2,768$1,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,965.2 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x474b…7b57backed Azamat Murzakanov | 68c | 2,733$1,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,858.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Paulo Costa | 37c | 2,729$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.7 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6447…8075backed Paulo Costa | 33c | 2,700$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,809.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…0b30backed Paulo Costa | 33c | 2,699$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,808.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed2…4671backed Paulo Costa | 36c | 2,671$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,709.51 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52f4…2b15backed Paulo Costa | 51c | 2,643$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.12 | 161 | 56.5%91 W · 70 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe41a…1a28backed Paulo Costa | 32c | 2,477$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,684.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Paulo Costa | 34c | 2,360$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.02 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1918…20d1backed Paulo Costa | 31c | 2,349$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620.51 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Paulo Costa | 31c | 2,300$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Paulo Costa | 29c | 2,287$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,613.95 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Paulo Costa | 39c | 2,278$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.77 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Paulo Costa | 32c | 2,275$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547.15 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Azamat Murzakanov | 55c | 2,258$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.32 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Azamat Murzakanov | 58c | 2,237$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291.8 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Azamat Murzakanov | 56c | 2,190$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.39 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
- Will Azamat Murzakanov win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will Paulo Costa win by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.