UFC · resolved market
Fight to Go the Distance?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18d7ac8704490d3226e30e751bdfe107127b33a09796676f388328c00907cbac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,096
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,096 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Yes | 31c | 12,333$3,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,525.2 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked No | 71c | 7,221$5,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,135.53 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed No | 71c | 6,830$4,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,838.07 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 29c | 4,273$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,019.84 | 360 | 48.3%174 W · 186 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked No | 52c | 2,658$1,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab72…0888backed Yes | 56c | 1,867$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…b9f0backed No | 71c | 1,557$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Yes | 32c | 1,551$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.8 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c54…82babacked No | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Yes | 35c | 1,375$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.41 | 318 | 55%175 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Yes | 30c | 1,353$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.03 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +19%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 30c | 1,296$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.18 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked No | 71c | 1,217$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.15 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 65c | 737$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.05 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7112…99dcbacked No | 71c | 702.27$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Yes | 29c | 693.3$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x641a…a144backed No | 72c | 640.58$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.82 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 68c | 620$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.6 | 367 | 55.3%203 W · 164 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1c…f13cbacked No | 72c | 599.41$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.58 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…0617backed Yes | 33c | 592.74$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.51 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49e5…03fdbacked No | 3c | 510$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe578…2d6ebacked Yes | 34c | 484.46$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +190%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa792…5353backed No | 73c | 480.21$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…f6cebacked No | 70c | 459.38$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.38 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…f7d7backed No | 69c | 457.14$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.64 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7531…4c33backed Yes | 34c | 435.89$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 64c | 428.27$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.95 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f32…1532backed Yes | 33c | 391.13$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.13 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0267backed No | 56c | 303.95$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.21 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a24…dcbfbacked Yes | 44c | 299.41$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…1fdabacked Yes | 34c | 290.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.82 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56cb…21a0backed Yes | 34c | 290.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x983c…ee3dbacked Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…41d5backed No | 72c | 208.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -41%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 62c | 198.57$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.29 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed No | 68c | 191.29$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.08 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c5…8874backed Yes | 34c | 184.89$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +137.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5db1…f39dbacked Yes | 43c | 183.47$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0324…e973backed No | 72c | 177.55$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 61c | 167.45$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.14 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfee…64bbbacked No | 72c | 165.17$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.92 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4baa…fd17backed Yes | 43c | 151.07$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b37…17bdbacked Yes | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26cc…d643backed Yes | 33c | 122.75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes | 37c | 121.69$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.69 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…eee8backed No | 73c | 120$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.28 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Yes | 35c | 116.34$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.57 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Yes | 31c | 112.1$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…fd49backed Yes | 29c | 101.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.72 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4066…e3c3backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.37per pick | 52cpaid | +87.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7b…5485backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a2…5a5fbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…9723backed No | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked No | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fa…c29dbacked No | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.88 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691f…5e69backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dd…2297backed No | 72c | 97.22$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 27c | 94.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.69 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e86…6bc9backed Yes | 32c | 94.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a80…9917backed Yes | 38c | 91.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.72 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Yes | 42c | 83.16$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.16 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d2…3287backed No | 27c | 78.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 30c | 76.47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.15 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 49cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaded…6fa0backed No | 68c | 73.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b87…1833backed Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed No | 69c | 68.12$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f5…6b92backed Yes | 32c | 67.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +134.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b0…c11bbacked No | 73c | 66.67$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc45c…488abacked Yes | 30c | 65.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 39c | 65.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f55…bae8backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e8…4675backed Yes | 75c | 63.21$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…22b6backed Yes | 33c | 62.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +202.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb15…a3f4backed Yes | 33c | 61.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67f1…c425backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…3b17backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x620b…211ebacked Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3c…afb1backed Yes | 29c | 58.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3767…5e7cbacked No | 70c | 58.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92b4…2487backed No | 69c | 57.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe131…7594backed No | 53c | 51.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f4…16e9backed Yes | 31c | 48.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x352f…bf97backed Yes | 36c | 47.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f9…22febacked Yes | 34c | 44.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 53c | 42.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd64e…6925backed No | 69c | 40.37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 30c | 39.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1abb…1495backed No | 71c | 38.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fc…da6abacked Yes | 62c | 32.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98cc…a178backed No | 70c | 31.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf9…5705backed Yes | 35c | 30.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 24cpaid | +154%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked No | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3713…ab6fbacked No | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef6…8c16backed No | 65c | 29.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 37c | 29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.21 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f34…94d0backed No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3d…9e87backed Yes | 63c | 28.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 62c | 26.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…ec7cbacked Yes | 74c | 25.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4914…2bcbbacked No | 70c | 25.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fight to Go the Distance?this page
- O/U 0.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 3.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 4.5 RoundsOver won
- UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)Charles Oliveira won
- Will Charles Oliveira win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will Max Holloway win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.