UFC · resolved market
Will Max Holloway win by KO or TKO?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb2865539e62ad58936fcedbb68964fc6513deff78a4c60929ef1059300917e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,940
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,940 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 57c | 5,534$3,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,371.05 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 57c | 5,518$3,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,352.55 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed No | 63c | 2,625$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.45 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5464…9d3ebacked Yes | 45c | 2,235$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.96 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff7…7f87backed Yes | 42c | 2,131$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.03 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf05…291bbacked Yes | 40c | 1,999$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.73 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 61c | 1,528$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.34 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ce…978cbacked Yes | 43c | 1,257$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.45 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…4cd5backed Yes | 43c | 1,023$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed No | 60c | 889.01$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.83 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked No | 63c | 753.89$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.27 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Yes | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 155 | 56.8%88 W · 67 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 58c | 646.88$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.17 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 59c | 605.85$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.75 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01d4…33d8backed Yes | 41c | 557.56$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc4…db58backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 59c | 430.06$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.93 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27e4…9b87backed Yes | 42c | 429.81$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2b…9fa5backed Yes | 38c | 393.6$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5085…9bbcbacked Yes | 40c | 387.5$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7531…4c33backed Yes | 42c | 355.66$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c7…5d22backed Yes | 43c | 352.27$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 57c | 301.24$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.53 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56cb…21a0backed Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ee…7e3abacked Yes | 41c | 246.49$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb20…40a6backed No | 59c | 243.98$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3d…a3e8backed No | 70c | 242.31$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x751d…9f55backed Yes | 42c | 236.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7b…3425backed Yes | 42c | 236.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4008…2942backed Yes | 41c | 233.9$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x950a…71e4backed Yes | 43c | 233.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 64c | 232.91$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 210 | 31.9%67 W · 143 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc6…9487backed Yes | 28c | 196.43$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Yes | 40c | 187.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eff…98febacked Yes | 45c | 185.44$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…8faebacked No | 62c | 184.63$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.16 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc11e…cd02backed Yes | 42c | 166.85$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa80d…d9e6backed Yes | 43c | 160$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa810…5246backed Yes | 40c | 146.73$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf81a…75e3backed Yes | 42c | 142.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997a…1b8fbacked Yes | 42c | 129.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…41d5backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -41%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10c6…34bcbacked Yes | 42c | 126.43$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4c…0314backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bc…ec72backed Yes | 16c | 120$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81a2…0907backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x887b…a74ebacked Yes | 43c | 104.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 59c | 103.59$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.48 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7545…1ecfbacked Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc80…ae6fbacked Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfece…8b97backed No | 59c | 99.98$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.99 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +42%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41ba…8059backed Yes | 30c | 93.94$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +177.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x275b…611fbacked Yes | 43c | 90.7$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5e…0381backed Yes | 40c | 87.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83e1…6993backed No | 64c | 80.66$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Yes | 38c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 71c | 79.98$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b5…4642backed Yes | 43c | 75.88$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab60…fef6backed Yes | 40c | 72.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93fe…9a10backed Yes | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…a8e5backed Yes | 41c | 70.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92c9…de3bbacked Yes | 42c | 70.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 56c | 65.05$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.87 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6a…0b6bbacked Yes | 39c | 64.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +29%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc4…a739backed Yes | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1edc…00cfbacked Yes | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa706…f953backed Yes | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4962…b294backed Yes | 38c | 61.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08d8…a23bbacked Yes | 40c | 61.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x653b…f478backed Yes | 41c | 60.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…5c6cbacked Yes | 41c | 60.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f0…bf7dbacked Yes | 42c | 60.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -7.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x29dd…6dafbacked Yes | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5752…207dbacked Yes | 41c | 51.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…2d13backed Yes | 39c | 50.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c9…e67ebacked Yes | 42c | 49.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…4257backed Yes | 42c | 48.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c8…efc1backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80a9…52ecbacked Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…ada8backed Yes | 40c | 46.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb90…9ce5backed Yes | 44c | 45.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +44%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc50a…616bbacked Yes | 42c | 43.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa6…9377backed Yes | 41c | 42.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d4…56a2backed Yes | 41c | 42.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69bc…c942backed Yes | 42c | 39.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf080…0544backed Yes | 39c | 38.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22e8…233ebacked Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c3…e02cbacked Yes | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19df…e8c7backed Yes | 41c | 36.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…63f3backed Yes | 42c | 35.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a42…2096backed Yes | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9a…3c1fbacked Yes | 37c | 35.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x566a…881abacked Yes | 37c | 34.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89d3…59a6backed Yes | 42c | 34.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c3…b7a3backed Yes | 41c | 34.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5d…124dbacked No | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Max Holloway win by KO or TKO?this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
- O/U 0.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 3.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 4.5 RoundsOver won
- UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)Charles Oliveira won
- Will Charles Oliveira win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.