TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfece…8b97

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
140
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Premier League, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 61 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT2536%9 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+18.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hannover 96 vs. 1. FC Nürnberg: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.51
Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
1. FC Magdeburg vs. 1. FC Kaiserslautern: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+349.4%+$116.03
FC Schalke 04 vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+477.9%+$133.06
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.92
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.48
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+203%+$67
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$312
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Hamburger SV: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.63
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.51
VfL Wolfsburg vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+86.4%+$32.55
VfL Wolfsburg vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$46.75
VfL Wolfsburg vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20.5
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+26%+$3.1
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+213%+$166.33
Borussia Mönchengladbach leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+98.5%+$61.78
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+452.5%+$131.04
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$42
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+156.6%+$188.25
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$12.14
All 25 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a team from England be the 2026 Champions League winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.03
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41
Will a team from Germany be the 2026 Champions League winner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+40.1%+$106.89
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+60%+$107.57
Will FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.32
Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Galatasaray SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$116
Will Galatasaray reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$138.71
Will Newcastle reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$10.92
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+145.1%+$285.98
Will Manchester City reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+189.5%+$246.51
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$102.65
Will Leverkusen reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+30%+$29.11
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$13.75
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 19 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+42%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC: Khamzat Chimaev to Land 1st Minute Takedown?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$184.28
O/U 3.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$56
UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+445.5%+$244.98
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Sean Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$78
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Tatsuro Taira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$12.54
Will Max Holloway win by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$40.99
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Charles Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$63
UFC 326: Reinier de Ridder vs. Caio Borralho (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Reinier de Ridder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$34
UFC 326: Rob Font vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Rob Font · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$29
UFC 326: Michael Johnson vs. Drew Dober (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Michael Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$45
UFC 326: Gregory Rodrigues vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Brunno Ferreira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$40
UFC 326: Cody Garbrandt vs. Xiao Long (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Cody Garbrandt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+143.9%+$59
UFC 326: Cody Brundage vs. Donte Johnson (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Cody Brundage · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14
UFC 326: Ricky Turcios vs. Alberto Montes (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Ricky Turcios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$37
UFC 326: Cody Durden vs. Nyamjargal Tumendemberel (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Cody Durden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$41.6
UFC 326: Sumudaerji vs. Jesus Aguilar (Flyweight, Early Prelims)backed Jesus Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$35
UFC 326: Rodolfo Bellato vs. Luke Fernandez (Light Heavyweight, Early Prelims)backed Rodolfo Bellato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+186.5%+$65.1
All 18 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick37cpaid+46.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Olympics — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+95.1%+$199.5
Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey silver medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$19.77
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey silver medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+622%+$554.39
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+104.1%+$398.32
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20.54
Will Slovakia win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$23.46
Men's Semifinals - USA vs. Slovakiabacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$14.56
Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finlandbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+170.3%+$63
Will Canada win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$154.81
Women's Final - USA vs. Canadabacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+337.5%+$865.21
Men's Quarterfinals - USA vs. Swedenbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+29.3%+$11.83
Men's Quarterfinals - Finland vs. Switzerlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,165Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+160.8%+$1,873.72
Men's Round of 16 - Czechia vs. Denmarkbacked Denmark · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$104.17
Men's Group C - Denmark vs. Latviabacked Denmark · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+49.6%+$9.95
Men's Group A - Switzerland vs. Czechiabacked Czechia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$445Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$444.59
Women's Quarterfinals - Finland vs. Switzerlandbacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+27.1%+$78.17
Men's Group C - Germany vs. Latviabacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$105.15
All 17 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+3.6wins+0.36per pick34cpaid+131.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+90.7%+$50.13
Erling Haaland: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.04
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$8.9
Exact Score: AFC Bournemouth 1 - 0 Manchester City FC?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+397.5%+$56.66
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+515.3%+$55.39
Manchester City FC leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+85.3%+$46.18
Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Crystal Palace FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+334.8%+$77
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+108.3%+$34.63
All 10 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Porto win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$24.79
Will Nottingham Forest reach the UEFA Europa League semifinal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.76
Will Mainz reach the UEFA Europa Conference League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.83
Will Celta win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Roma win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.78
Will Bologna reach the UEFA Europa League quarter-finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+286.3%+$239.88
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$95
Will Porto reach the UEFA Europa League quarter-finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.09
Will Celta reach the UEFA Europa League quarter-finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.72
Will Lyon reach the UEFA Europa League quarter-finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$368Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+111.3%+$409.46
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.28per pick15cpaid+82.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-74%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+163.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-17.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.04
Golden Knights vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+64.1%+$44.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win in Round 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10.39
Will Jake Paul win in Round 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$12.35
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold close between $4500 and $4600 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$44.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jazz vs. 76ersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$64.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$152
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.