TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Porto reach the UEFA Europa League quarter-finals?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$18,342

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,342 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5452…d448backed No21c4,429$926 inLost-$925.951020%2 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-29.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8d7…1252backed Yes78c3,930$3,078 inWon+$852.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked No21c3,490$733 inLost-$732.85545.5%25 W · 30 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0515…64cdbacked Yes80c1,250$1,000 inWon+$2503100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed No22c1,190$261 inLost-$261.042917.2%5 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-59%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c80…77b7backed Yes79c1,000$790 inWon+$2103450%17 W · 17 L-5.2wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-25.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No22c944$210 inLost-$209.988048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No21c699.85$149 inLost-$149.461,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No18c582.74$105 inLost-$105.142751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+25.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No22c580$127 inLost-$126.81,02647.4%486 W · 540 L-3.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed No22c511$112 inLost-$112.4211130.6%34 W · 77 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfece…8b97backed No21c290.89$61 inLost-$61.091040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No22c277$61 inLost-$61.345841.4%24 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61ec…838fbacked Yes79c253.16$200 inWon+$53.161973.7%14 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Yes79c251.69$200 inWon+$51.699257.6%53 W · 39 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x569b…c66ebacked No22c90.91$20 inLost-$201435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc949…022dbacked Yes79c81.96$65 inWon+$16.96250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-37%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1951…7542backed Yes78c70$55 inWon+$15.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No22c65.68$14 inLost-$14.453432.4%11 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc771…25eabacked Yes80c62.5$50 inWon+$12.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-30.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bd4…6eafbacked Yes77c58$45 inWon+$13.34540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-47.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No21c50$10 inLost-$10.513554.1%73 W · 62 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1591…1e09backed Yes79c22.61$18 inWon+$4.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.