TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Nottingham Forest reach the UEFA Europa League quarter-finals?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,438

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,438 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x588d…099abacked No67c746.38$500 inLost-$500.075841.4%24 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed Yes33c697.43$230 inWon+$467.282751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+25.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfec0…aeb9backed Yes55c645.57$355 inWon+$290.961952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+26%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5282…82fcbacked No45c600$270 inLost-$27050%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes32c138.04$45 inWon+$93.463432.4%11 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked No66c122.78$81 inLost-$80.785545.5%25 W · 30 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc219…0687backed Yes34c118.99$40 inWon+$78.99450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbff8…7073backed No19c80.58$15 inLost-$15.25520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-66.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56a3…7a2bbacked Yes34c72.64$25 inWon+$47.642100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+173.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No36c50$18 inLost-$1813554.1%73 W · 62 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked No69c48.6$34 inLost-$33.539255.4%51 W · 41 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No62c44.88$28 inLost-$27.631,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3772…1685backed Yes34c44.12$15 inWon+$29.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes50c35.88$18 inWon+$17.84860.4%29 W · 19 L+9.0wins+0.19per pick42cpaid+53.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x5f01…4ca2backed Yes40c25$10 inWon+$153467.6%23 W · 11 L+4.7wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+38.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9cea…ffd2backed Yes75c19.99$15 inWon+$4.991788.2%15 W · 2 L+3.8wins+0.23per pick66cpaid+35.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.