TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Real Betis reach the UEFA Europa League quarter-finals?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,197

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,197 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3c80…77b7backed Yes63c1,301$815 inWon+$485.423450%17 W · 17 L-5.2wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-25.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes43c700$301 inWon+$3991723.5%4 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick24cpaid-44.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No57c700$399 inLost-$3992751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+25.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed No38c582.61$223 inLost-$223.192917.2%5 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-59%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes62c345.9$214 inWon+$131.442524%6 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-42.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No38c249.56$94 inLost-$94.471,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd2b…9ff9backed Yes62c209.68$130 inWon+$79.68475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No38c179.61$68 inLost-$68.1688048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Yes62c161.29$100 inWon+$61.299257.6%53 W · 39 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed No57c100$58 inLost-$57.54751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc219…0687backed Yes62c87.1$54 inWon+$33.1450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1969…a09cbacked Yes64c80.04$51 inWon+$29.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7150…6a8abacked Yes65c55.09$36 inWon+$19.132770.4%19 W · 8 L+4.9wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+36.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No38c50$19 inLost-$1913554.1%73 W · 62 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No37c39.04$14 inLost-$14.443432.4%11 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked No36c33.55$12 inLost-$12.085545.5%25 W · 30 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed No37c30$11 inLost-$11.15248.1%25 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No38c29.19$11 inLost-$10.991,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x38e9…736dbacked Yes63c28.63$18 inWon+$10.591346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.21per pick67cpaid-33.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd8a9…21a0backed Yes62c22.58$14 inWon+$8.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.