TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Switzerland vs. Germany: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,221
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$60,457

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,221 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under26c6,739$1,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,776.654,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46cf…42eabacked Over57c3,539$2,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,538.523855.3%21 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under43c2,970$1,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,285.271,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Under3c2,793$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.783132.3%10 W · 21 L+5.5wins+0.18per pick15cpaid+71.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under17c2,484$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.843,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under43c2,002$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.6736850.3%185 W · 183 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Over78c1,004$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.232661.5%16 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under21c813.36$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.6250850%254 W · 254 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61bb…5854backed Over57c709.98$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.291656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over57c701.75$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.752250%11 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Over58c699.99$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.992646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Under42c608.93$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.5414323.8%34 W · 109 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82e7…c61cbacked Over60c602.17$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.7713167.9%89 W · 42 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under11c550.19$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.1186455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2508032.5%26 W · 54 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over56c446.54$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.5412254.1%66 W · 56 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4747…2987backed Under46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20050%0 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under36c335.98$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.234,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under40c309.89$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.961,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under42c305.36$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.3621444.9%96 W · 118 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbf4…50bbbacked Over56c290$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick59cpaid+71.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf09b…2101backed Over57c237$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.911540%6 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under22c228.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7823749.8%118 W · 119 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed Over44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.271428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-46.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Under41c202.39$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.9818850%94 W · 94 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under41c201.14$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.41,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Over58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848726.4%23 W · 64 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4af4…f9e0backed Over57c199.96$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.981060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under43c188.95$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.2511060%66 W · 44 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f3a…c3c8backed Over56c180.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.03757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ece…8786backed Over56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.571060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6d1…21c7backed Over58c172.47$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.473243.8%14 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-18.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefd1…c520backed Over59c170.36$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.365655.4%31 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Over59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.492045%9 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-22.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c19…859cbacked Over61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.933256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked Under31c160$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.64238.1%16 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over55c160$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725550.9%28 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under43c143.73$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.3643653.7%234 W · 202 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8520067.5%135 W · 65 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick67cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under10c134.06$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0474034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x503a…860abacked Under30c133.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407247.2%34 W · 38 L+8.7wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+11.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over54c120.37$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.372839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c18…c208backed Over44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6419047.9%91 W · 99 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under42c111.89$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.992,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9759…cb52backed Under45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010013%13 W · 87 L-9.1wins-0.09per pick22cpaid-34.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf6a6…204dbacked Over58c108.62$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.621850%9 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Under30c102.4$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.723565.7%23 W · 12 L+5.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+34.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2919958.3%116 W · 83 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a68…22dfbacked Under10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick20cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08f0…2000backed Over56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442045%9 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6e9…c69cbacked Over58c92.48$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.84683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+47.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9db…dd44backed Over57c88$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.685952.5%31 W · 28 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Over58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2142853.3%228 W · 200 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under42c80.14$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.824653.3%131 W · 115 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over51c79.99$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.250450.2%253 W · 251 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Under26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204522.2%10 W · 35 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2502…87e5backed Under31c74.08$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.045451.9%28 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under20c69.3$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0423751.1%121 W · 116 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed Over56c62$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.282941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbde…3dc9backed Under44c62$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.283161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+11.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x47f9…4731backed Over55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.84748.9%23 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under42c59.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.642,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under23c58$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.281,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over56c57.14$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1482340.9%337 W · 486 L-2.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25c0…c187backed Over59c56.32$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.09757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+24.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over74c53.77$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9828964.4%186 W · 103 L+42.6wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+44.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.575660.7%34 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed Over56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5711846.6%55 W · 63 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e89…fb59backed Over58c52.57$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.93250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x819d…8d4cbacked Over58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Over59c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.512454.8%68 W · 56 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-14%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under42c49.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9920050%100 W · 100 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over58c46.55$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.558,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x389a…cf3dbacked Over58c46.13$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.371464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xafaf…572dbacked Over55c45.44$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.447640.8%31 W · 45 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ad…1ab8backed Over58c44.34$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.62475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+25.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under42c44.34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.623,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x89bd…cd11backed Under43c43.05$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over59c42.37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3745120.6%93 W · 358 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcba2…aa8cbacked Under45c41.4$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7946…387fbacked Over43c40$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.40per pick43cpaid+111.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Over56c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.625352.6%133 W · 120 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over65c39.82$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0235658.7%209 W · 147 L+35.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over55c36.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0410868.5%74 W · 34 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x69e7…7cb7backed Under45c35.56$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165151%26 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b79…e5d8backed Over58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4823142.4%98 W · 133 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ea8…ddc0backed Over58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.481250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfece…8b97backed Over55c33.34$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-74%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb821…5cddbacked Over59c30.68$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.589463.8%60 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under43c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.928133.1%93 W · 188 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x170c…7fe3backed Over57c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.96349.2%31 W · 32 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44b3…7a20backed Over58c29.97$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8a1…6385backed Over57c28.62$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4a3…a39abacked Under44c28.36$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under42c26.89$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.314948.3%72 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddae…fbd0backed Over56c26.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.792972.4%21 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+18.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e3d…b56cbacked Over56c26.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7910534.3%36 W · 69 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over77c25.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9687651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfa4…d580backed Over58c25.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.86333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x091a…b13cbacked Over58c25.28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.