Fifa International · resolved market
Switzerland vs. Germany: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d5536027dedfaa3c4d18fb8841f33b2f0483310a1204d234dfd4f46e2ad7566
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,221
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,457
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,221 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 26c | 6,739$1,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,776.65 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46cf…42eabacked Over | 57c | 3,539$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,538.52 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 43c | 2,970$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.27 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Under | 3c | 2,793$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.78 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 17c | 2,484$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.84 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 43c | 2,002$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.67 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Over | 78c | 1,004$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.23 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 21c | 813.36$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.62 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…5854backed Over | 57c | 709.98$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.29 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.75 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Over | 58c | 699.99$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.99 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Under | 42c | 608.93$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.54 | 143 | 23.8%34 W · 109 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…c61cbacked Over | 60c | 602.17$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.77 | 131 | 67.9%89 W · 42 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 11c | 550.19$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.11 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 56c | 446.54$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.54 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4747…2987backed Under | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 36c | 335.98$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.23 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 40c | 309.89$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.96 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 42c | 305.36$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.36 | 214 | 44.9%96 W · 118 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf4…50bbbacked Over | 56c | 290$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf09b…2101backed Over | 57c | 237$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.91 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 22c | 228.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.78 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Under | 41c | 202.39$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.98 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 41c | 201.14$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.4 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Over | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 87 | 26.4%23 W · 64 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4af4…f9e0backed Over | 57c | 199.96$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.98 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 43c | 188.95$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.25 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3a…c3c8backed Over | 56c | 180.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.03 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ece…8786backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d1…21c7backed Over | 58c | 172.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.47 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…c520backed Over | 59c | 170.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.36 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c19…859cbacked Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Under | 31c | 160$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over | 55c | 160$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 43c | 143.73$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.36 | 436 | 53.7%234 W · 202 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 200 | 67.5%135 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 10c | 134.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…860abacked Under | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over | 54c | 120.37$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.37 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 42c | 111.89$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9759…cb52backed Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 100 | 13%13 W · 87 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a6…204dbacked Over | 58c | 108.62$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.62 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 30c | 102.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a68…22dfbacked Under | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08f0…2000backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e9…c69cbacked Over | 58c | 92.48$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.84 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Over | 57c | 88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.68 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 428 | 53.3%228 W · 200 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 42c | 80.14$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 51c | 79.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Under | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2502…87e5backed Under | 31c | 74.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 20c | 69.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Over | 56c | 62$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Under | 44c | 62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…4731backed Over | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 42c | 59.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 23c | 58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 56c | 57.14$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.14 | 823 | 40.9%337 W · 486 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25c0…c187backed Over | 59c | 56.32$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.09 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 74c | 53.77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 289 | 64.4%186 W · 103 L | +42.6wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e89…fb59backed Over | 58c | 52.57$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x819d…8d4cbacked Over | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 42c | 49.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 200 | 50%100 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 58c | 46.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…cf3dbacked Over | 58c | 46.13$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.37 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 55c | 45.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ad…1ab8backed Over | 58c | 44.34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 42c | 44.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…cd11backed Under | 43c | 43.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 451 | 20.6%93 W · 358 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba2…aa8cbacked Under | 45c | 41.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7946…387fbacked Over | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.40per pick | 43cpaid | +111.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Over | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 65c | 39.82$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 55c | 36.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 108 | 68.5%74 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…7cb7backed Under | 45c | 35.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b79…e5d8backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 231 | 42.4%98 W · 133 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea8…ddc0backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfece…8b97backed Over | 55c | 33.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -74%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked Over | 59c | 30.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 94 | 63.8%60 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Over | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44b3…7a20backed Over | 58c | 29.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a1…6385backed Over | 57c | 28.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a3…a39abacked Under | 44c | 28.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 42c | 26.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddae…fbd0backed Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 105 | 34.3%36 W · 69 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 77c | 25.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa4…d580backed Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…b13cbacked Over | 58c | 25.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Switzerland vs. Germany: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Germany (-1.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)Germany won
- Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)Germany won
- Switzerland vs. Germany: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Switzerland vs. Germany: O/U 1.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Germany: O/U 3.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Germany: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.