Fifa International · resolved market
Switzerland vs. Germany: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1fb0e59f49675e3ebbf1196af0dd3ccafba91b1d7f7a2ba9ad853b43408c920
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,218
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,980
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,218 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 21c | 6,436$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.97 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 18c | 2,374$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.03 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Over | 80c | 1,255$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.41 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 15c | 797.52$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.66 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…d4bfbacked Over | 70c | 766.2$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.86 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Over | 79c | 524.13$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.28 | 100 | 68%68 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 18c | 499.17$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.91 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 19c | 379.3$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.32 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 19c | 341.48$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.61 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 20c | 291.34$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.27 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 200 | 67.5%135 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 80c | 268$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.6 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 18c | 248.41$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.71 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 20c | 231.95$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.39 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdae3…cf78backed Under | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 19c | 226.24$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.88 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b0…26a7backed Over | 79c | 223.98$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 19c | 212.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefc8…4676backed Over | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 26c | 137.62$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 20c | 135.42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…4731backed Over | 79c | 131.23$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.33 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 27c | 115.54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x140c…f4b4backed Over | 80c | 109.66$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Under | 18c | 100.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Under | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 20c | 96.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2502…87e5backed Under | 20c | 91.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b6…4587backed Under | 19c | 69.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x610d…6c37backed Over | 71c | 67.96$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 30c | 67.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 20c | 62.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 80c | 51.25$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 403 | 55.3%223 W · 180 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 80c | 50.01$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 108 | 68.5%74 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a05…7757backed Under | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6317…9c45backed Over | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5390…1649backed Over | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed Over | 80c | 42$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 46 | 78.3%36 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 74cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Over | 79c | 41.77$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 81 | 63%51 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe57c…b99bbacked Over | 71c | 32.16$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…a572backed Over | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 111 | 74.8%83 W · 28 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaec8…d1f0backed Over | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…5a5fbacked Over | 71c | 29.39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Over | 80c | 29.25$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefc8…7309backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…0d49backed Over | 71c | 24.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854c…a964backed Over | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe153…6b4abacked Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Switzerland vs. Germany: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Germany (-1.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)Germany won
- Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)Germany won
- Switzerland vs. Germany: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Switzerland vs. Germany: O/U 2.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Germany: O/U 3.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Germany: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.