Fifa International · resolved market
Switzerland vs. Germany: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e633927ccf29fa225e664a90c64e63fa6a9c96b999187d3059f5a4adc6919ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,902
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,284
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,902 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 40c | 5,184$2,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,091.71 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 62c | 2,743$1,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.92 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 39c | 1,850$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.85 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed No | 2c | 1,522$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.44 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 58c | 1,346$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.77 | 432 | 48.4%209 W · 223 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 39c | 1,143$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.65 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed No | 39c | 1,080$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.2 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 38c | 985.9$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.16 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…bb2abacked Yes | 62c | 809.15$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.15 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…c26abacked Yes | 63c | 796.08$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.08 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | +10.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 52c | 767.1$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.1 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 61c | 737.7$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.7 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 38c | 657.1$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.7 | 143 | 23.8%34 W · 109 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…bde1backed Yes | 60c | 583.33$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5886…fe3bbacked No | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12bd…8f48backed Yes | 60c | 444$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 61c | 399.99$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.19 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 28c | 312.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.16 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e8…50c2backed Yes | 60c | 282.51$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…f949backed Yes | 62c | 272.58$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.58 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed No | 41c | 246.31$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.79 | 328 | 55.8%183 W · 145 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 38c | 235.76$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.5 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4363…d6e0backed Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked No | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa846…f93bbacked Yes | 60c | 175$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ca…5ed4backed Yes | 59c | 170$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cc…2e39backed Yes | 80c | 169$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.11 | 102 | 65.7%67 W · 35 L | +11.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Yes | 61c | 150.83$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa296…743dbacked Yes | 58c | 138.08$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Yes | 59c | 111$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.51 | 199 | 35.2%70 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfece…8b97backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -74%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x125f…b7e8backed Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 62cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d4…3691backed Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Yes | 61c | 80$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d0…8dadbacked Yes | 59c | 79.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 131 | 59.5%78 W · 53 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8088…24dabacked Yes | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 60c | 62.87$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 21c | 59.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…6cb9backed Yes | 58c | 58.57$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Yes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 200 | 67.5%135 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd650…bbd5backed Yes | 61c | 52.46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 50c | 51.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 50c | 51.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ff…18acbacked Yes | 61c | 50.82$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 39c | 50.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Yes | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…d68abacked Yes | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd8…5335backed Yes | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f38…39f2backed Yes | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69bd…af6ebacked Yes | 61c | 33.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x604e…f1cdbacked Yes | 60c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf54…1a62backed Yes | 61c | 32.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa00…9fe3backed Yes | 61c | 32.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…e4a3backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf1…5776backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x616e…a666backed Yes | 60c | 31.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 38c | 26.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed No | 41c | 25.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 341 | 44.3%151 W · 190 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddae…fbd0backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8724…b082backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ca…2f70backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ad…b486backed Yes | 58c | 24.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4009…ad5dbacked Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57bd…1c8cbacked Yes | 61c | 24.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79b3…d6efbacked Yes | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9b…490bbacked Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…d33ebacked Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +7.9wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a2…75a9backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3608…f911backed Yes | 59c | 19.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a9…7876backed Yes | 62c | 18.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3319…ba79backed Yes | 62c | 16.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Switzerland vs. Germany: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Germany (-1.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)Germany won
- Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)Germany won
- Switzerland vs. Germany: O/U 1.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Germany: O/U 2.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Germany: O/U 3.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Germany: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.