TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xddae…fbd0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
119
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst Serie A at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT5468.5%37 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$874Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$873.74
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$525Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+67.6%+$354.96
Mexico City: Alex Hernandez vs Juan Pablo Ficovichbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.28
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$332Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$212.01
Madrid: Joel Schwaerzler vs Roman Safiullinbacked Joel Schwaerzler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$16.15
Monza: Timofey Skatov vs Hugo Gastonbacked Hugo Gaston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$99.31
Campinas: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Murkel Dellienbacked Pedro Boscardin Dias · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+26%+$6.43
Mexico City: James Duckworth vs Stefan Kozlovbacked James Duckworth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.22
Mexico City: Beibit Zhukayev vs Corentin Denollybacked Beibit Zhukayev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+97.7%+$15.16
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.57
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Tomas Etcheverry vs Terence Atmanebacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$13
Sarasota: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Hynek Bartonbacked Nishesh Basavareddy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.26
Wuning: Justin Boulais vs Kaichi Uchidabacked Kaichi Uchida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.25
Mexico City: Bor Artnak vs Alan Magadanbacked Bor Artnak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+64.2%+$15.67
Mexico City: Tibo Colson vs Miguel Tobonbacked Miguel Tobon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.59
Madrid: Daniel Rincon vs Toby Samuelbacked Toby Samuel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.04
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Tomas Etcheverry vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+71.9%+$56.08
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.45
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+78.4%+$13.44
Bucharest Open: Alex Molcan vs Mariano Navonebacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$75.57
Bucharest Open: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$482Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+42%+$202.57
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$64.28
Grand Prix Hassan II: Luca Van Assche vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Tallon Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.66
Sao Leopoldo: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Facundo Acostabacked Facundo Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$9.19
Credit One Charleston Open: Maria Sakkari vs Paula Badosabacked Maria Sakkari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.63
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT2972.4%21 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+18.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Denmark win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.52
Will Italy win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.52
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+100%+$24.25
Kosovo vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.78
Will England win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Luxembourg win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+68.5%+$20.71
Will Norway win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Norway vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Andorra win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Serbia win on 2026-03-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+54%+$8.1
San Marino vs. Andorra: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.73
Will France win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$11.59
Will Belarus win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.44
Will Georgia win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Lithuania vs. Georgia: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.73
Will England win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will Germany win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+106.3%+$36.16
Switzerland vs. Germany: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.79
Will Montenegro win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
Montenegro vs. Andorra: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$18.85
Montenegro vs. Andorra: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Switzerland vs. Germany: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
Will Austria win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$19.59
Will Poland win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
Will Sweden win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$8.76
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+32.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-48.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+61.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.85
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$10.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.