Fifa International · resolved market
Lithuania vs. Georgia: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee0032ad10fcf1893bd6dfcb796375a949a90da1ad68f29dbf0cc84239c1f12c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,648
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,860
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,648 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 37c | 8,714$3,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,220 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 3,825$2,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.94 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 58c | 2,548$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.18 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 37c | 1,449$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.24 | 176 | 29%51 W · 125 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb855…90b2backed No | 78c | 907.95$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.75 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 24c | 831.63$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.66 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 72c | 800.43$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.96 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Yes | 16c | 799.9$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.98 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked No | 53c | 750$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed No | 53c | 641$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.27 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 46c | 466.57$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.21 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 47c | 427.01$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.54 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 188 | 22.3%42 W · 146 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a7…aefcbacked Yes | 51c | 397.04$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.37 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed No | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6e…84b4backed No | 52c | 290.38$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.38 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe828…82d1backed No | 79c | 253.21$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 46c | 252.49$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.55 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 47c | 247.2$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.86 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 43c | 239.06$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.8 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b93…1290backed No | 54c | 239.06$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.97 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 76c | 224.81$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.76 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc493…9200backed No | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 76c | 141.25$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.21 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 50c | 128.84$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.94 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…0df5backed No | 60c | 116.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Yes | 26c | 116.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 116 | 31.9%37 W · 79 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Yes | 14c | 115.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 73 | 31.5%23 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked No | 52c | 115$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 76c | 114.9$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 50c | 111$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.14 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 78c | 102.13$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes | 50c | 100.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 311 | 47.9%149 W · 162 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7439…8feebacked No | 58c | 99.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ca…5ed4backed Yes | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed No | 50c | 76.26$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 328 | 55.8%183 W · 145 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked No | 76c | 73.97$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked No | 52c | 67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.16 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 72c | 66.61$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed No | 52c | 48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…361ebacked Yes | 43c | 45.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b60…98a4backed No | 79c | 44.01$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 49c | 41.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked No | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aea…eff2backed Yes | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44aa…20e6backed Yes | 45c | 31.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked No | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 70c | 30.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 169 | 50.9%86 W · 83 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x036f…0dc1backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed No | 58c | 28.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec45…6ba6backed No | 62c | 28.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e96…342abacked Yes | 49c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed No | 70c | 23.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 341 | 44.3%151 W · 190 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed No | 48c | 22.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddae…fbd0backed No | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02a9…642dbacked No | 54c | 22.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08fb…8b8bbacked No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…cec1backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 105 | 24.8%26 W · 79 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed No | 59c | 18.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lithuania vs. Georgia: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Lithuania vs. Georgia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Lithuania vs. Georgia: O/U 2.5Under won
- Lithuania vs. Georgia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Lithuania vs. Georgia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Georgia (-1.5)Georgia won
- Spread: Georgia (-2.5)Lithuania won
- Spread: Lithuania (-1.5)Georgia won
- Spread: Lithuania (-2.5)Georgia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.