Fifa International · resolved market
Lithuania vs. Georgia: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ad316ae6b92e3b9d9d2962393c1ab3e4e637bfc665debaee0d8f80298ae82b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,229
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,566
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,229 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 6,984$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,084.38 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…79a5backed Over | 35c | 6,747$2,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,379 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Over | 43c | 5,827$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 12c | 5,621$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.19 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 34c | 4,100$1,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392.94 | 432 | 48.4%209 W · 223 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 71c | 1,896$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.28 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…dababacked Under | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.2 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Over | 19c | 1,439$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.76 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 16c | 1,370$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.57 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 55c | 1,263$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.04 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 54c | 1,211$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.16 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Over | 47c | 1,150$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.49 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 1,134$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.02 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 43c | 1,056$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 188 | 22.3%42 W · 146 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d4…8e51backed Over | 47c | 1,055$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 34cpaid | +35%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 52c | 978.46$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.66 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x053e…1e27backed Over | 9c | 960.57$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 55c | 942.02$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.94 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 35c | 875.94$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.4 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7351…b857backed Over | 9c | 790.45$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 51c | 748.95$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.99 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Under | 80c | 688.51$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.7 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 67c | 654.83$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.7 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…ee20backed Over | 48c | 629.5$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.16 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc6…f773backed Over | 48c | 626.88$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.9 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 40c | 616.33$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.53 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Over | 41c | 615.37$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.11 | 176 | 29%51 W · 125 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 68c | 504.47$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.48 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 46c | 499.99$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 67c | 491.49$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.68 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9749backed Over | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Over | 26c | 457.69$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 151 | 43%65 W · 86 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 67c | 421.62$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.61 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 64c | 405.46$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.51 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 291 | 38.8%113 W · 178 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 52c | 375.39$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.18 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Over | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa10e…4ea1backed Over | 33c | 354.25$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.9 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…a7c1backed Under | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked Over | 40c | 349$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.08 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 53c | 299.99$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x724c…1521backed Under | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 38c | 264.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Under | 79c | 260$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 304 | 63.5%193 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…58cebacked Under | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 97 | 60.8%59 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Under | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 21c | 236.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.28 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c19…859cbacked Over | 47c | 212.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 52c | 205$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.4 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…e628backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…bca7backed Over | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed Over | 10c | 189.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 53c | 187$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.46 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 60c | 184.21$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.95 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 54c | 177.78$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.78 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Under | 57c | 172.37$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.28 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 53c | 167.92$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.92 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Over | 10c | 166.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0b…94d1backed Over | 10c | 165.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 823 | 40.9%337 W · 486 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 61c | 151.54$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.64 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x267b…5081backed Over | 10c | 149.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Under | 54c | 145$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.7 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 54c | 133.24$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.88 | 436 | 53.7%234 W · 202 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 52c | 133$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.18 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc26c…ffddbacked Over | 23c | 119.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.26per pick | 38cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Under | 60c | 115.96$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.07 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Under | 53c | 113$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.11 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 35c | 105.71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 52c | 104.9$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.35 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Over | 33c | 101$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 15c | 100.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 165 | 35.2%58 W · 107 L | +15.3wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d3…bb0abacked Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 308 | 36%111 W · 197 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 481 | 47.8%230 W · 251 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Under | 52c | 95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.13 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…6cb9backed Over | 36c | 94.38$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Over | 47c | 92$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 71c | 89.19$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.99 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 52c | 83.6$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.92 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Under | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 40c | 79.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 31c | 72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 363 | 29.8%108 W · 255 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Over | 49c | 71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b04…9f95backed Over | 36c | 69.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed62…6f83backed Over | 42c | 69.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 45c | 66.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Over | 31c | 63.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Over | 50c | 62.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 54c | 62$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 328 | 55.8%183 W · 145 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Under | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 85 | 72.9%62 W · 23 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Over | 49c | 51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Over | 49c | 51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lithuania vs. Georgia: O/U 2.5this page
- Lithuania vs. Georgia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Lithuania vs. Georgia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Lithuania vs. Georgia: O/U 3.5Under won
- Lithuania vs. Georgia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Georgia (-1.5)Georgia won
- Spread: Georgia (-2.5)Lithuania won
- Spread: Lithuania (-1.5)Georgia won
- Spread: Lithuania (-2.5)Georgia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.