TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdee3…bca7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
97
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Dota2, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT4757.4%27 W · 20 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.64
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+74.7%+$194.97
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+73.6%+$183.51
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$692Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+115.3%+$797.26
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$345.11
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.58
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$90.57
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.96
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.56
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.64
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+107.7%+$119.8
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$47.58
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+100.4%+$60.61
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$39.96
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.08
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$89.64
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$50.8
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$53.2
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+152.4%+$106.28
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.18
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+141.7%+$80.35
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+39.2%+$21.67
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+85.8%+$96.54
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$26.9
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+61.6%+$169.31
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT2157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 3 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+182.7%+$187.41
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.32
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$44.46
LoL: EDward Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+74.8%+$14.55
LoL: EDward Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+67.1%+$13.25
LoL: EDward Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.59
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.29
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.72
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$41.07
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.66
LoL: LNG Esports vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+84.3%+$20.11
LoL: LNG Esports vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+53.1%+$10.62
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$5.89
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.85
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.03
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+79.7%+$29.71
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.75
LoL: Team WE vs Ultra Prime (BO3)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+108.3%+$52
LoL: Team WE vs Ultra Prime - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$23.02
LoL: Team WE vs Ultra Prime - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$28.5
All 21 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-49.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mlslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kashima Antlers vs. FC Machida Zelvia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$204
Cerezo Ōsaka vs. Avispa Fukuoka: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlas FC vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Le Havre AC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.64
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.