Ligue 1 · resolved market
Le Havre AC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b1e30a0c384be4351ef8a1f0d5f5a882411d5dbe43d4a1c372ad772f225b432
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,375
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,854
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,375 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 13c | 4,636$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.99 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 46c | 3,599$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,932.12 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf16e…43afbacked Under | 13c | 3,148$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,749.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +163.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 16c | 2,979$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,513.56 | 227 | 45.8%104 W · 123 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Under | 16c | 2,715$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,279.08 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 27cpaid | +669.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb98…b473backed Over | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…81d2backed Over | 29c | 1,750$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed Under | 6c | 1,370$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.73 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +254.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 12c | 988.6$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.52 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…91a2backed Under | 3c | 864.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.97per pick | 3cpaid | +3,233.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Under | 59c | 850.34$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed Over | 30c | 841.05$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ae…c095backed Over | 30c | 822.36$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec1e…0d9cbacked Under | 2c | 771$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.98per pick | 2cpaid | +4,451.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 75c | 600$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed Over | 79c | 477.86$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.51 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb978…fac0backed Over | 31c | 406.65$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…fe4abacked Over | 43c | 399.99$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Under | 53c | 377.25$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b13…37dbbacked Under | 59c | 337.75$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 20c | 331.58$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.59 | 183 | 51.4%94 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 69c | 318$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.03 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 76c | 311.9$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.86 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8220…b081backed Under | 33c | 303.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Over | 49c | 280$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…bca7backed Over | 48c | 229.98$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d82…545bbacked Over | 42c | 182.09$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Under | 14c | 164.03$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 8cpaid | +139.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 79c | 143.82$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Under | 35c | 132$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -59%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 36c | 88.89$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.94 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +44%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d0…47e3backed Over | 31c | 81.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 21c | 79.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.69 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 32c | 77.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.34 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 22c | 71.27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 59c | 62.48$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.09 | 132 | 50.8%67 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 69c | 57.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +110.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 70c | 54.96$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…eebebacked Over | 30c | 52.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 35c | 52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 25c | 52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 66c | 50.27$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x429e…383dbacked Over | 31c | 48.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3b…880abacked Over | 31c | 48.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeda…8e35backed Over | 54c | 48.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b6…886ebacked Over | 74c | 40.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Over | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Over | 77c | 36.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 62c | 36.32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 66c | 34.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 71c | 33.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 78c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed Under | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +113.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 75c | 26.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Over | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d41…6a2ebacked Under | 71c | 21.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Under | 71c | 21.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Over | 79c | 19.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 58cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 74c | 15.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +39%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x096b…7676backed Over | 76c | 15.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xace3…f9b0backed Over | 77c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Le Havre AC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Le Havre AC vs. AS Monaco FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Le Havre AC vs. AS Monaco FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Le Havre AC vs. AS Monaco FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Le Havre AC vs. AS Monaco FC: AS Monaco FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Le Havre AC vs. AS Monaco FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Le Havre AC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Le Havre AC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Le Havre AC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Le Havre AC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Le Havre AC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)Le Havre AC won
- Spread: AS Monaco FC (-2.5)Le Havre AC won
- Spread: Le Havre AC (-1.5)AS Monaco FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.